Teams That Won’t Beat the NFL Odds on Week 1

Posted by Joe Solari on May 9, 2016 in

Reading between the early 2016 NFL lines, and with no pun intended, there are certain teams that leave a lot to be desired. Either they’ve not made much of an effort to improve on their rosters from last year, or they’ve lost/won’t have some game-changing talents, or they are known for their horrendous play (particularly at the start of the season), making them prime candidates to bet against in Week 1. Wondering who we are talking about? Here’s the list of shame…

Teams That Won’t Beat the NFL Odds on Week 1

SAN DIEGO at Kansas City

Following their stellar 11-win regular season in 2015 after losing five of their first six games, it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that coach Andy Reid has finally figured the right combination for his team, both offensively and defensively. And with the core of Kansas City still intact, you can expect even a bigger season from the Chiefs, who are likely to start 2016 in the same way they ended 2015 (on a 10-win run). This, of course, won’t bode well with the Chargers who are silently aiming for a rebuilding season after they barely escaped the category of 2015’s worst teams. Add to the fact that the Chiefs have always been among the best home teams in the league, expect Kansas City’s regular season winning streak to continue from where it left off last year.


To put in the most respectable terms possible, the Jaguars are a bad team to bet on. This is a squad that went a dismal 5-11 last year, and that was considered as HUGE improvement for them, underlining just how low the ceiling has been for this team. And don’t hold your breath wanting to hear about their performance in the previous seasons; they have a combined record of 12-36 (.250) since 2013. Against a Green Bay team that has been hitting the double-digit win mark effortlessly over the past couple of seasons, including a 10-6 mark last year and a solid cumulative of 64-27 (.703) over its past 91 games played; hell will probably have to freeze first before Green Bay drops this season-opener to Jacksonville.

MIAMI at Seattle

Besides the fact that Pete Carroll is a coach that values and often emphasizes on the value of strong starts to the season, the Seahawks have a dependable QB in Russell Wilson (who is 31-16-3 ATS at Home in his career) and Seattle’s defense (17.3 PPG allowed, #1 in NFL in 2015) has proven worth its salt over the last couple of years. Against Ryan Tannehill and the Miami Dolphins (who were a pathetic 3-5 ATS Away last season and are 5-8 ATS in their last L13 as road underdog), you can expect the Seahawks to obliterate the Fish in a one-sided showdown at CenturyField, Seattle.

NEW ENGLAND at Arizona


SAN FRANCISCO vs. Los Angeles

With a bevy of talent at his disposal last year, Coach Chip Kelly guttered the Philadelphia team in the worst possible way, leading to his sacking. The Niners, who were just as bad—if not worse than the Eagles in 2015—resorted to take Kelly for their primed-to- fail franchise. With virtually no one expecting much from San Francisco, it’s safe to say that no one will be shocked if the Niners record another poor season. That can only mean good things for San Fran’s opponents this season, starting with the Rams (in Week 1) who are in a new city and will have whole of Los Angeles behind them for this game. The nerves could obviously affect the Rams here, but knowing Jeff Fisher and his knack for starting his season decently, I am willing to trust them for the win here.