The Green Bay Packer faithfull will host the Vikings on TNF

TNF Betting Trends – Minnesota at Green Bay, WI on October 2

Written by on October 1, 2014

A NFC North matchup between the Minnesota Vikings (2-2) and the Green Bay Packers (2-2) is scheduled to open the NFL week 5 betting on Thursday Night Football, at 8:25 PM ET at Lambeau Field. The Packers will be playing their third straight game against an NFC north division rival after losing to the Detroit Lions in week three, and beat the Chicago Bears last Sunday. Green Bay is 1-2-1 against the spread this with their only without a loss or a win coming against the NY Jets in week two. The Minnesota Vikings are surprisingly 2-2 in the season despite the fact that they lost their starting QB Matt Cassel – perhaps for the better-, RB Adrian Peterson, and cut WR Jerome Simpson. The victory over the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday was perhaps one of the most impressive surprises in the entire week. Vikings rookie QB Teddy Bridgewater left the game with an ankle injury and his status for Thursday is questionable. The averages winning margin for TNF games has been a crushing 28 points, and if Bridgewater is not around, I will expect the trend to continue. The Packers are listed 9.5 point favorites in the NFL betting odds for this matchup.

TNF Betting Trends – Vikings Vs. Packers

Run, Run, Run for the Vikings

The Vikings best shot at winning this game is giving the ball to their running back Matt Asiata, who comes from recording 78 yards and 3 TDs on Sunday against the Falcons. The Green Bay Packers allows 176 rushing yards every week, listed worst in the entire league. If Minnesota wants to pass the ball they go have some huge problems as the Packers defense is 5th defending the pass, allowing just 214 yards per game; plus, they ranked third after four weeks with five interceptions recorded by the secondary.

A good night For Rodgers

QB Aaron Rodgers is lucky this game is not on Monday night where he has a horrible 3-8 record over 11 games, but on Thursday Night he has played four wins in six games with 11 TDs and just 2 INTs. The Vikings defense is 17th in stopping the run and defending the pass, but they will try to focus on defending Rodgers and the Packers versatile passing offense; mostly, because RB Eddy Lacy hasn’t recorded a 50 rushing yards game in the entire season.

Against the spread

The Packers are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games as favorites, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October, but 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite, and 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The good news for Green Bay is they are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 against teams from the NFC North division. The Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, but 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC North.
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers
The Minnesota Vikings visit the Green Bay Packers on a NFC North Thursday Night Football betting showdown.
Starts: 10/02/2014 8:30PM
Lambeau Field, 1265 Lombardi Avenue
Green Bay, Wisconsin