Top NFL Parlay Picks Of The Week (Nov. 6th)

Posted by Eric Williams on Thursday,November 3, 2016 2:25, EST in

Can the Minnesota Vikings rebound from their stunning Monday Night Football loss against lowly Chicago to dispatch Detroit in their Week 9 NFC North divisional matchup? Will it be the Miami Dolphins or New York Jets that extends their modest winning streak when the longtime AFC East rivals meet in South Beach on Sunday?

Last but not least, will the streaking Dallas Cowboys avoid the upset against the winless browns to cover the NFL betting lines? Let’s find out the answers to all three questions.

A Closer Look At The Top NFL Parlay Picks Of The Week (Nov. 6th)

 

 

Detroit at Minnesota

When: Sunday, November 6, 2016 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium
TV: FOX
Odds: Minnesota -6

Analysis: The Detroit Lions (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) let me down in a big way by falling to Houston 20-13 last weekend to snap their three-game winning streak. The Minnesota Vikings (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS) have been limited to just 10 points in two straight losses against Philly in Week 7 and Chicago on Monday night.

Still, I’m going with the semi-desperate Vikings to get the win and get back on track for both, a NFC North divisional title and high-seed in the NFC playoffs. Detroit is the more explosive offensive team in this battle, but Minnesota is far and away the better defensive team as they rank a stellar first in points allowed (14.8 ppg). Sam Bradford and company are a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS at home this season while Detroit has dropped three of their four road games this season.

While these NFC North division rivals have split the last 10 meetings evenly, Minnesota won both of last season’s meetings and are the pick to win and cash in again. Detroit has lost six of its last 10 road games outright while going 6-12 ATS in their last 18 road games overall. Minnesota has compiled a blistering 10-2 ATS mark in their last dozen games while going 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Detroit. I like Minnesota to put their fair share of points on the board against Detroit’s 23rd-ranked scoring defense (23.7 ppg) while limiting Matthew Stafford and the Lions much like the Texans did last weekend.

Pick: Minnesota 28 Detroit 21

NY Jets at Miami

When: Sunday, November 6, 2016 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium
TV: CBS
Odds: Miami -3.5

Analysis: The New York Jets (3-5 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) and Miami Dolphins (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) have both won two straight games, but let’s be honest for a moment. The fact of the matter is that Miami’s wins over Pittsburgh and Buffalo have been far more impressive than New York’s wins over Baltimore and lowly Cleveland, making the Dolphins the pick to win and cover the NFL betting line against the Jets. Miami squeaked past Buffalo 28-25 and have scored 28 points or more three times in their last five games. New York had to fight tooth and nail to get past the lowly Browns 31-28 this past weekend.

While Ryan Fitzpatrick is back under center in the Big Apple, things are still clearly off kilter for the Jets as New York ranks an uninspiring 23rd in points allowed (26.0 ppg) and a discouraging 28th in scoring (18.7 ppg). Miami may be ranked just 22nd in scoring (20.8 ppg), but the Dolphins are limiting their opponents to 22.7 points per game to rank a respectable 16th in points allowed. More importantly, (and I can’t believe I’m writing it) Miami has the edge under center with Ryan Tannehill playing much better football this season than New York’s enigmatic Fitzpatrick. Miami may be a discouraging 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games, but New York is just 2-4 ATS in its last six games and 3-6-2 ATS in its last 11 road games. The Fins win a thriller to narrowly cover the NFL betting line!

Pick: Miami 27 New York 23

 

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Dallas at Cleveland

When: Sunday, November 6, 2016 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: FirstEnergy Stadium
TV: FOX
Odds: Dallas -7

Analysis: The Dallas Cowboys (6-1 SU, 6-0-1 ATS) have won six straight games while looking increasingly better under rookie signal-caller Dak Prescott. The same can’t be said about a Cleveland Browns (0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS) team that has yet to win a single game this season and has some serious issues on both sides of the ball. Dallas got past Philadelphia 29-23 in an absolute overtime thriller as Prescott made play after play down the stretch to led the ‘Boys to victory.

Cleveland fought its heart out, but ended up on the wrong side of a heartbreaking 31-28 loss against the Jets this past weekend. The Browns are ranked 25th in scoring at 19.7 points per game while also ranking an awful 30th in points allowed (29.7 ppg). Simply put, those numbers don’t bode well against a Cowboys team that is ranked seventh in scoring (26.8 ppg) and an identical seventh in points allowed (18.5 ppg). Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last five games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games while Cleveland has gone 1-4 ATS in their last five games and a pitiful 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Cowboys win and cover the spread with room to spare.

Pick: Dallas 35 Cleveland 21