Top NFL SU Expert Picks Of The Week (Oct. 23 – 24)

Posted by Eric Williams on Thursday,October 20, 2016 4:21, EST in

If you love taking the guesswork out of often arduous ATS betting selections by making straight-up (SU) wagers more often than not, then you’re in luck!

Thanks to the trio of top Week 7 SU picks that you’re about to receive, you’re going to have a great opportunity to cash in three times this coming weekend. Since haste makes waste, let’s get started!

Here’s A Closer Look At The Top NFL SU Expert Picks Of The Week (Oct. 23 – 24)

 

 

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

When: Sunday, October 23, 2016 at 8:30 PM ET
Where: University of Phoenix Stadium
TV: NBC
NFL Odds: Arizona Cardinals -1 / Over/Under: 43.5

Analysis: The Seattle Seahawks have won three straight games including their narrow 26-24 win over Atlanta in Week 7 despite failing to cover the spread as a 6.5-point home favorite. While the Arizona Cardinals have won two straight games including their convincing 28-3 beat down over the reeling Jets on Monday night, the Cards are clearly not the pick to beat Seattle in their NFC west divisional battle this coming weekend.

I know the Seahawks and Richard Sherman were lucky to get away with a pass interference call on the final play of the game, but the fact of the matter is that Seattle is finding ways to win while still adjusting to their new identity while Arizona has basically won their last two games because they played pitiful teams in the Niners and Jets the last two weeks.

More importantly, the Seahawks have pretty much owned the Cardinals since Russell Wilson took over as the team’s starting quarterback in 2012 and spanked Arizona 36-6 in last season’s playoffs to dispatch the then, 13-win Cards. While Arizona holds a four-point edge in scoring, Seattle is playing its normal brand of stingy defense in limiting their opponents to just 15.6 points per game this season.

I know Arizona is giving up just 17.3 points per game, but the Cardinals have been a classic Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde kind of team this season in splitting their last four games. Seattle has gone 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against Arizona while the Cardinals have gone 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. Seattle wins outright to cover the NFL betting line.

My Pick: Seattle 24 Arizona 21

Baltimore Ravens at New York Jets

When: Sunday, October 23, 2016 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: MetLife Stadium)
TV: CBS
NFL Odds: New York Jets -1 / Over/Under: 42.5

Analysis:  There’s just not whole lot of sense in beating around the bush with my pick on this Week 7 matchup since the New York Jets apparently can’t beat a bunch of high schoolers these days. New York has lost four straight in increasingly deflating fashion including their pitiful 28-3 loss to Arizona on Monday night.

Now, with backup Geno Smith scheduled to start in place of struggling veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick, the Jets look like they’re in even bigger trouble – even against a Baltimore team that has dropped three straight of their own including their 27-23 Week 6 loss to the Giants. Baltimore averages four points per game more than New York while simultaneously allowing eight fewer points per contest defensively. More importantly, the Ravens have a Super Bowl winning quarterback while New York has….um….the interception-tossing Geno Smith going for them.

New York is 1-4 ATS in their last five games against AFC opponents and 0-4 ATS following a loss by 14 or more points. Conversely, Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games – and completely desperate after dropping their last three games. Baltimore wins outright to cover the NFL betting line!

My Pick: Baltimore 27 NY Jets 24

Houston Texans at Denver Broncos

When: Monday, October 24, 2016 at 8:30 PM ET
Where: Sports Authority Field at Mile High
TV: ESPN
NFL Odds: Denver Broncos -6.5 / Over/Under: 41.5

Analysis: Quarterback Brock Osweiler and the Houston Texans have been wildly inconsistent all season in alternating wins and losses over their last five games even if they did manage to get past Indianapolis 26-23 in their AFC South matchup this past weekend. The Texans probably shouldn’t have won at all, seeing as how they were down two touchdowns with three minutes remaining in regulation.

Denver is seriously motivated to get back in the win column after dropping their last two games including their humbling 21-13 loss against San Diego in their last contest. The Broncos are the easy pick for me in this contest with Houston’s Brock Osweiler seriously underperforming after signing with Houston in the offseason and Denver owning one of the best defenses in the game today (Thanks to Wade Phillips).

 

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The Texans are 1-4 ATS in their L/5 games versus a team with a winning record and an uninspiring 1-7 ATS in their last eight Monday Night Football games. Conversely, Denver has gone 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.

Sure, the Broncos may be 1-6-1 in their last eight Monday Night matchups, but they’re also 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record. With Brock Osweiler playing awful football – and going up against a defense that knows him all too well, Denver wins by at least a touchdown!

My Pick: Denver 27 Houston 17