Top NFL Week 1 SU Picks

Posted by Jordan Walterss on Friday,August 4, 2017 9:16, EDT in

Are you starting to gear up for your fantasy football draft? Well, if you are wondering who the featured back will be in Washington, you have an answer: Rob Kelley. When healthy, Kelley has been the first running back through the rotation at camp, and coach Jay Gruden has stuck with experienced runners over rookies in the recent past. The team is high on fourth-round rookie Samaje Perine, but he might have to earn trust first. Here are two straight-up picks with the latest NFL Odds for Week 1.

Top NFL Week 1 SU Picks

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins

When: Sunday, Sept. 10, 1 PM ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium
TV: Fox
Radio: WFUS 103.5 FM (Tampa Bay) / Sportsradio 560 WQAM (Miami)
Stream Option: NFL Live
Opening NFL Week 1 Lines: Dolphins -1

Tannehill Likely Out

On Thursday, the Dolphins’ season nearly imploded when starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill went down with what looked like a serious left knee injury. But an MRI Tannehill does not have a tear in his left knee after falling in practice.

The team is still discussing multiple options going forward with doctors, and it’s not yet clear whether Tannehill could miss days, weeks or longer. Tannehill, who suffered a sprained ACL and MCL in the same knee last season, fell awkwardly on the sideline while scrambling and didn’t get up. He was never hit on the play.

Tannehill is coming off his best and most efficient season in 2016, going 8-5 as a starter with a career-best 93.5 passer rating before he suffered the season-ending injury on Dec. 11. Matt Moore went 2-2 while filling in for Tannehill, who didn’t require surgery. Moore would presumably start Week 1 if Tannehill isn’t ready, although there’s talk the Fins might look at Colin Kaepernick.

The news isn’t as good for offensive lineman Ted Larsen, who is feared to have season-ending biceps tear. Larsen is in the mix at left guard, and also has experience at center, which would be a trouble spot if Mike Pouncey (hip) isn’t ready for Week 1. Larsen is the favorite at left guard. The Dolphins view Larsen as an athletic, scrappy guard capable of flourishing in the team’s zone run game. At a minimum, he’ll miss at least a few games.

Bucs Without Martin

Tampa Bay will be without projecting starting running back Doug Martin the first three games due to a PED suspension from late last season. Jacquizz Rodgers is in line to start with Martin out, and Bucs coach Dirk Koetter has said that Rodgers could be a feature running back for an entire season.

“I don’t see why not. That’s hard for any back to do. Backs take a pounding out there. Right now we’re just worried about getting to Miami on September 10. We have good depth at running back. It’s going to be fine, it’s going to work out,” Koetter said.

The Buccaneers also have Charles Sims, Peyton Barber and rookie Jeremy McNichols on their depth chart at the position. Martin finished last season with 421 yards and three touchdowns in 144 attempts.He was the NFL’s second-leading rusher in 2015.

Expert NFL Week 1 Prediction

I liked Tampa before Tannehill’s injury. I like the Bucs even more now.

The Cowboys are the favorite SU pick for NFL Week 1.

NFL Week 1 Top ATS Picks

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys

When: Sunday, Sept. 10, 8:30 PM ET
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington
TV: NBC
Radio: 101.9 FM (NY) / 105.3 FM The Fan (Dallas)
Stream Option: NFL Live
Opening NFL Week 1 Lines: Cowboys -6

Giants Hoping On Shepard

As of this writing, the New York Giants are awaiting MRI results of second-year receiver Sterling Shepard. He had sprained his ankle Wednesday. Usually sprained ankles don’t require MRIs. Coach Ben McAdoo reiterated that Shepard’s injury looks like a “rolled, basketball ankle.” Shepard was carted off on Wednesday but appears to have dodged a devastating injury. Later Wednesday he posted a picture of himself looking up at the sky on Instagram with the caption “Why you so good to me!! #allglory2god.”

Shepard, 23, made 65 receptions for 683 yards and eight touchdowns last season. He was second among all rookie wide receivers in touchdowns. The Giants could have the NFL’s best trio of receiver in Shepard alongside Odell Beckham Jr. and Brandon Marshall. Shepard is the Giants’ starting slot receiver. He played more snaps (804) in the slot last season than any player in the NFL.

Dallas Short-Handed

The Cowboys still are waiting to hear if running back Ezekiel Elliott will be suspended a game or two to start the season. Recently, the league suspended Cowboys DE Damontre Moore two games for violating the league’s substance abuse policy.

The Moore suspension stems from a December DWI arrest. With Moore, David Irving and Randy Gregory all facing suspensions and the league still deciding the fates of Nolan Carroll, Damien Wilson and Elliott, the Cowboys are going to be short-handed early in the year. Moore will be eligible to return against the Cardinals on Monday Night Football in Week 3.

Elliott is facing potential discipline for an alleged domestic violence charge made last summer by an ex-girlfriend in Columbus, Ohio. Carroll was arrested on suspicion of driving while under the influence on May 30. Wilson was arrested on two counts of assault with a deadly weapon on July 4.

For the second straight year, the Cowboys are facing a fine from the NFL under the league’s remittance policy because of the number of suspended players.

Expert NFL Week 1 Prediction

The Giants beat the Cowboys twice last year, and I fully believe Elliott misses this game. He’s worth a good 2-3 points. Take New York here.