The question is simple. Can you use past performance to predict a Super Bowl winner – and in this case – the Super Bowl LIII matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and New England Patriots?
Let’s examine that query right now NFL betting faithful!
Using Past Performances to Predict Super Bowl LIII Winner
Super Bowl LIII Game Info
- When: Sunday, February 3, 2019 at 6:30 PM ET
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
- TV: CBS
- Radio: New England / Los Angeles
- Live Stream: NFL Live
- Super Bowl LIII Odds: New England -2.5 / Total: 58
Los Angeles Rams (15-3)
If L.A.’s past performances are any indication, then the LA Rams are in good shape heading into Super Bowl LIII. Los Angeles has won four straight, but it is their last two wins that I believe are a great indicator of what we could see from the Rams in Super Bowl 53, particularly on the defensive side of the ball.
While the rams advanced to Super Bowl LIII because of an awful missed pass interference call in the NFC Championship game, the fact of the matter is that the Rams still managed to keep Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints’ explosive offense largely in check, on the road no less.
L.A. has not allowed more than 23 points in both of their postseason games and that bodes well for them heading into this weekend, seeing as how NFC counterpart Philadelphia accomplished the same feat a year ago by holding the Falcons to 10 points in the divisional round and giving up just seven points to Minnesota in the NFC Championship. Los Angeles has covered the chalk in four straight and that’s another indicator they could win outright or cover the Super owl 53 betting line.
As fas as past franchise history is concerned, L.A. has one Super Bowl title (1999) and two Super Bowl losses (1979, 2001) in the post-merger NFL. The Rams lost to the Steelers 31-19 as a 10.5-point underdog in Super Bowl XIV while beating Tennessee 23-16 as a 7-point favorite in Super Bowl 34. The Rams lost to the Patriots 20-17 in Super Bowl XXXVI,, but easily covered the spread as a huge, 14-point underdog.
New England Patriots (13-5)
The New England Patriots have also won four straight games coming into this affair and have put a stellar 37 points or more on the board in three straight games, including their pair of playoff wins over the Chargers (41-28) and Chiefs (37-31). The bad news is that New England’s defense looks like it could be in trouble against the explosive Rams, seeing as how they’ve allowed 28 points or more in each of their two playoff wins this postseason.
A year ago, the Patriots squeaked past Jacksonville 24-20 in the AFC Championship before giving up 41 points to Philly in their Super Bowl 52 loss to the Eagles. In their 2012 Super Bowl XLVI loss to the Giants, the Patriots also squeaked by Baltimore 23-20 in the AFC Championship. In their 2008 Super Bowl XLII loss to the Giants, New England also gave up 20 points to Jacksonville in the AFC divisional round, making it 3-for-3 that the Patriots lose the Super Bowl when they allow at least 20 points in one previous playoff game.
When the Patriots beat the Falcons 34-28 in Super Bowl LI in 2017, they held Houston to 14 points in the divisional round and Pittsburgh to 17 points in the AFC Championship. In closing, if past performance is any indicator, then the Los Angeles Rams have a great chance of pulling off the outright upset.
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