NFL Betting Week 1 Picks: Cash in as Vikings take on 49ers!

Posted by Daniel Strum on September 14, 2015 in

If you don’t know it by now, then you should know…the Minnesota Vikings (7-9 SU, 10-6 ATS) and San Francisco 49ers (8-8 SU, 5-11 ATS) are two teams headed in polar-opposite directions! The good news for NFL betting gamblers is the fact that the direction of these two franchises are currently headed (which one would think would be Superbowl 50) in makes this Week 1 pairing  a virtual lock selection.

Minnesota @ San Francisco NFL Week 1 Game Information and Odds

When: 10:20 PM ET, Monday, September 14, 2015
Where: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, California
NFL Odds: San Francisco -4.5
Over/Under: 41.5

The Vikings come into the 2015 NFL regular season looking like one of the best candidates to improve on their 2014 campaign while the Niners are heading into the new season looking to simply hold it together under their surprising choice for head coach, the inexperienced Jim Tomsula.
Teddy Bridgewater VikingsWhile Minnesota now has one of the league’s best young quarterbacks in second-year star Teddy Bridgewater, the 49ers are hoping that their signal-caller, Colin Kaepernick can get back to playing competent football after taking a huge step (okay, two steps) backwards in 2014. Minnesota will also get a huge boost from the return of likely Hall of Fame running back Adrian Peterson, although the elusive superstar clearly doesn’t want to play for the franchise after they didn’t support him through his child abuse ordeal a year ago.

Game Analysis:

No matter, this game looks like an absolute lock to me – and 54.5 percent of the betting public – although 64 percent of simulations for this matchup suggest a Niners win and ATS cover.

Anthony DavisSan Francisco lost a slew of its best players when linebackers Patrick Willis and Chris Borland, along with defensive end Justin Smith – all decided to retire. Almost an afterthought, offensive tackle Anthony Davis also announced he was taking a one-year sabbatical.

Jerome SimpsonThe Niners also lost wide receiver Michael Crabtree, cornerback Chris Culliver and running back Frank Gore via free agency and had some preseason ‘drama’ in the form of  linebacker Ahmad Brooks being sent home to deal with a misdemeanor sexual battery charge and wide receiver Jerome Simpson likely getting a six-game ban for violating the league’s drug policy.

Adrian Peterson

Don’t over-think this one NFL betting buffs simply because the young Vikings are on the road. Minnesota has the far better head coach, the better and more steady quarterback and the only future Hall of Fame running back suiting up in this affair. Minnesota went 5-1 ATS in its last six games last season and 4-1 ATS in its last five road games. San Francisco went 1-4 SU and a dismal 0-5 ATS in its last five games a year ago, not to mention 0-5 ATS in its last five games at home.
Minnesota Vikings Minnesota gets the outright win and accompanying ATS victory.

The Pick: Minnesota Vikings +4.5 Points