indianapolis Colts nfl

Week 11 SNF Patriots vs. Colts: Breaking Down the NFL Odds

Written by on November 15, 2014

There are always a couple of games that jump right off the schedule when it is released, and the Sunday night match-up between the Indianapolis Colts and the New England Patriots is one which certainly fits that bill. It’s a chance to see the legendary Tom Brady go up against a QB star in the making in the form of Andrew Luck, and it promises to be a beauty for all football fans looking for valuable NFL odds for this weekend.

Date/Time: Sunday, November 16th, 8:30 PM
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

What’s funny here is that it wasn’t so very long ago that articles were being written about the demise of the Patriots, and how the Brady/Bellicheck combination had lost some of its mystique. It would appear that the stories of their demise were a little premature, though, as Brady and the Patriots have been one of the best teams in the league over the past few weeks. They have won 5 straight games and posted numbers that you usually only see in video games. What can’t be lost in all of that, though, is that they have also given up quite a few points during that stretch.

The Colts started slow, losing their first two games of the season against the Denver Broncos on September 7th and the Philadelphia Eagles the following week, but they have only dropped one more since that time. Andrew Luck has been nothing short of brilliant this season, posting 300+ yards in game after game. They have not had a ton of success on the ground, but who really needs it when you have a QB that can light up the opposition secondary in the way that Luck can? What we are essentially looking at here is a shoot-out for the ages, and what has to be considered must see TV in prime time.

BETTING ODDS

The Colts have been made a 3-point home favorite for this one, as it appears the bookies agree that this might be a game where the team that has the ball last wins it on a field goal. The Colts are an impressive 7-2 ATS this season, which includes a 3-1 record at home. The Patriots are only 5-4 ATS this season, but where they have shined is as an underdog, going a perfect 3-0 ATS.

Game Odds:
PATRIOTS: +3-110, OV 57 ½ -110, ML +140
COLTS: -3-110, UN 57 ½ -110, ML -160

I am definitely in agreement that this will be a close one, but I see the Patriots being the ones who sneak the win here. It could definitely be a late field goal that wins it, so I will be taking the Pats.