NFL Week 4 ATS Picks

NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Picks

Written by on September 24, 2018

It was another wild week in the NFL, with some of the big favorites falling to weaker opposition in NFL Week 3. Anyone who tells you that they had the Buffalo Bills beating the Minnesota Vikings SU is probably not being entirely truthful. We still have the Monday night game between the Steelers and Bucs to come before we put Week 3 to rest, but that doesn’t mean that we can’t take a little peek ahead to what is to come in the NFL betting action for NFL Week 4. We are going to be looking at some SU and O/U picks for the coming weekend, but for now, let’s focus on making some picks ATS.

NFL Week 4 ATS Picks

Miami Dolphins (+7 ½) vs New England Patriots

It’s hard to believe that the Patriots would be heading into a critical game in Week 4 of the season, yet that is exactly where they are. They have now lost back to back games to start the season 1-2, and there are some concerns that the Brady/Belichick era may be finally reaching its end.

It’s never a good idea to count out the Patriots, but they are going to have their hands full with a Miami Dolphins team that has started the season 3-0 SU and ATS, which has taken them to the top of the AFC East. They know that a win here would put them in total control in the early going, and while they may not get that win, I do like them to cover.

Latest NFL Week 4 Betting Trends

  • Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Miami is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing New England
  • New England is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
  • New England is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Green Bay Packers (-10 ½) vs Buffalo Bills

Through the opening two weeks of the season, the Buffalo Bills were far and away the worst team in the league, so imagine our surprise when they came out and beat the Minnesota Vikings over the weekend.

They pulled off that feat as a 16 ½ point underdog, which has made the bookies go a little more conservative this week, installing the 1-1-1 Packers as a 10 ½ point home favorite. They are sure to still be smarting after losing on the road to Washington in Week 3, so look for them to bounce back in a big way at Lambeau Field with a dominating win over the Bills.

Latest NFL Week 4 Betting Trends

  • Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Buffalo is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay
  • Green Bay is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • Green Bay is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Detroit Lions (+3 ½) vs Dallas Cowboys

The Lions kept their season alive with a big win over the New England Patriots in Week 3, taking their season record to 1-2. That was a morale-boosting win and one that was well deserved, but the question now is whether they can build on that. The Lions are underdogs against the Cowboys in NFL Week 4. The Lions certainly have an opportunity to do so against a Dallas Cowboys team that has looked pretty awful through the opening 3 weeks of the season. The Cowboys are just not getting the job done on the offensive side of the football, and in a match-up between Stafford and Prescott, my money is on the Lions QB to win.

Latest NFL Week 4 Betting Trends

  • Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Dallas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games

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Atlanta Falcons (-5 ½) vs Cincinnati Bengals

The Falcons are off to a bit of a rollercoaster start to the season at just 1-2 through the opening 3 weeks. They were involved in the game of the week on Sunday against the New Orleans Saints, a game that they ended up losing in OT.

They need to get back to winning ways this weekend to stay in touch in what is sure to be a tight NFC South Division race, and I certainly like their chances to do that against a Bengals team that took their first loss of the season over the weekend. I like the Falcons to win and cover here.

Latest NFL Week 4 Betting Trends

  • Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
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