The Pittsburgh Steelers picked up a hard-fought win over St. Louis in Week 3, but the big question for NFL odds fans across the globe heading into Thursday night is whether or not the Super Bowl-hopeful Steelers can hold it down at home and cash in against the winless – and absolutely desperate – Baltimore Ravens. Let’s find out now!
Baltimore at Pittsburgh Week 4 NFL Game Information and Odds
When: Thursday, Oct. 1 at 8:25 PM ET
Where: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pa.
NFL Odds: Baltimore -3/
Steelers Next 8 Weeks: Ravens at Chargers vs Cardinals at Chiefs vs Bengals vs Raiders vs Browns Bye pic.twitter.com/V8iiHUkKeh
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) September 28, 2015
With Ben Roethlisberger out of the lineup, Pittsburgh has moved from what would have been an opening line featuring them as slight 1.5-point home favorites to 3-point home dogs. Having said that, I can understand why two-thirds (66 percent) of the betting public likes Baltimore to cover the spread with the outright road win. Still, I’m a bit skeptical mostly because Baltimore’s perennially stout defense looks nothing like it generally does on an annual basis.
Pittsburgh averages 25.3 points per game this season to Baltimore’s 23.3 per game, but again, it is on the defensive side of the ball where the Ravens are really struggling. While the Steelers are limiting their opponents to just 17.3 points per game defensively, Baltimore is allowing opponents to put up 28.0 points per game up on the board and I believe that spells trouble against a Steelers team that I believe will be very focused in coming into this important divisional showdown.
Baltimore is just 2-4-1 ATS in its last seven games against Pittsburgh and 2-3-1 ATS in its last half-dozen road games against their division rivals. Conversely, Pittsburgh has gone 6-2 SU in its last eight home games and a bankroll-boosting 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight games overall. With Pittsburgh also going12-5 SU in its last 17 home games against Baltimore, I say the Steelers get the outright win at home to cover the NFL betting line as a home dog.
The Pick: Pittsburgh 27 Baltimore 24