Week 6 NFL Player Props: Justin Jefferson in Vikings vs the Falcons

Written by on October 16, 2020

Justin Jefferson and the Minnesota Vikings hit the field against the Atlanta Falcons on Monday at home at U.S. Bank Stadium. Here are some betting insights and tips around the wide receiver’s receiving yards and touchdowns prop bets in that matchup.

Jefferson’s Last Time Out

Justin Jefferson’s Last Time Out
Opponent Rec Yds TDs
Week 5 Seahawks 3 23 0

Betting Information

Justin Jefferson Week 6 Prop Bets
Over/Under Over Odds Under Odds
Receiving Yards 62.5 -115 -115
Receiving TDs 0.5 -115 -115

Receiving Yards Betting Trends

  • Jefferson averages 74.2 receiving yards per game, 11.7 more than the over/under of 62.5 set for Sunday’s outing.
  • In two out of five games this year (40%), Jefferson has put up more than 62.5 receiving yards.
  • Jefferson has totaled 27.5 more receiving yards per game (74.2) than the average over/under he’s had set, 46.7.
  • In three of his five games (60%), Jefferson has hit the over on receiving yards prop bets.
  • Jefferson has surpassed his average receiving yards prop bet (46.7 yards) in only 40% of his games (two out of five opportunities).
  • Atlanta has allowed 10 players to rack up more than 62.5 receiving yards in a game this season.
  • The Falcons sport the 30th-best pass defense in the league this season, giving up 345.6 yards per game.

Receiving TDs Betting Tips

  • Jefferson has collected 0.2 receiving touchdowns per game, 0.3 fewer than his prop bet for Sunday’s game (0.5).
  • In 20% of his games this season (one out of five), Jefferson has collected more than 0.5 receiving touchdowns.
  • The average prop bet over/under Jefferson has had set for receiving touchdowns this year is 0.5. He often has fallen short of that value as he has pulled down 0.2 touchdowns per game, 0.3 fewer than his average prop.
  • Jefferson has not hit the over on a receiving touchdown prop bet through five games this year.
  • In only 20% of his games (one out of five chances), Jefferson has outpaced his average receiving touchdowns prop bet total (0.5).
  • Atlanta has given up at least one receiving touchdown to 11 players this season.
  • The Falcons have allowed opposing receivers to haul in 3.0 touchdowns per game this season, the highest mark in the NFL.
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