Thunder at Jazz NBA Odds & Game 6 Expert Pick – April 27th

Posted by Jordan Walters on Friday,April 27, 2018 9:35, EDT in

The Oklahoma City Thunder saved their season with a Game 5 home win. But the NBA odds are against the Thunder in Game 6 back in Salt Lake City. That’s one of the toughest places to play in the NBA not just because of a good team but the altitude and loud fans.

How to Bet Thunder at Jazz NBA Odds & Game 6 Info

When: Friday, 10:30 PM ET
Where: Vivint Smart Home Arena, Salt Lake City
Stream: WatchESPN
Radio: 98.1 FM (Oklahoma City) / 97.5 FM (Utah)
NBA Odds: Jazz -6 (206)

Why Bet on Oklahoma City?

I recommended the Thunder at -3 in Game 5 against Utah. That wasn’t looking good with OKC down 25 points in the second half. But led by Russell Westbrook and Paul George, OKC staged an amazing rally to win 107-99 and keep their season alive.

The Thunder overcame a 25-point deficit in the final 8:30 of the 3rd quarter to tie the game heading into the 4th. That was the 2,556th time over the last 20 seasons — regular season and playoffs — that a team trailed by 25 or more points at some point in the 3rd quarter. It’s the first time that a team did that and was not trailing entering the 4th quarter.

Westbrook led the Thunder to the third-largest comeback in playoff history by finishing with 45 points, 15 rebounds, seven assists and five 3-pointers. Westbrook scored 20 points in the third quarter, as the Thunder used a 22-3 burst to erase a 25-point deficit in just eight minutes of action. It hasn’t always been a pretty series for Westbrook, with Utah’s defense limiting him to 29-of-79 shooting (36.7%) through four games, but he was unstoppable after halftime.

Who Else Was on Fire for Game 5?

Paul George also got hot in the third quarter on Wednesday, finishing 34 points, eight boards, two assists, two steals, two 3-pointers and one block. George made 12-of-26 field goals and 8-of-10 free throws in 45 minutes, and his ability to manufacture offense was critical to the Thunder comeback. Westbrook (45) and Paul George (34) combined for 79 points, the most by a duo in Thunder/SuperSonics playoff history. Westbrook combined with George to score 60 of the Thunder’s final 67 points in their Game 5 win.

“I think with the magnitude of the game and the excitement to come back, we played off each other very well,” Westbrook said.

Once again, Carmelo Anthony was quiet on Wednesday with seven points (2-of-6 FGs, 3-of-4 FTs), five rebounds and two steals in 25 minutes of action. Melo was on the bench for most of OKC’s game-changing run in the third quarter, and his absence was conspicuous in light of his struggles in Games 1-4. Meanwhile, Jerami Grant was +13 in 23 minutes and continues to make a case for more playing time ahead of Anthony.

Why Bet on Utah?

Are the Jazz a safe bet in Game 6 vs. the Thunder?

The Jazz won both games at home earlier in the series. And they were the better team for at least half of Game 5. The Jazz weren’t just dominating; they were humiliating the Thunder. Light boos scattered throughout the arena as the Jazz poured it on. It looked as if the Thunder lost their heart. Then the ignition came. And not coincidentally after Utah’s Rudy Gobert picked up his fourth foul and headed to the bench.

Gobert finished with 11 points, 10 rebounds (six offensive), two blocks, one assist and one steal in 30 minutes. Jazz coach Quin Snyder gambled by playing Gobert with four fouls in the third quarter, and he promptly picked up his fifth. His absence was immediately obvious. Gobert hadn’t played fewer than 33 minutes in the series prior to Game 5.

Who Else Had a Good Game 5?

Jae Crowder caught fire in the loss, scoring 27 points on 9-of-19 FGs and 3-of-4 FTs with six 3-pointers, eight rebounds, three assists and one steal in 37 minutes. Crowder scored 15 points in the first quarter and went on to tie his career high (regular season or playoffs) with six triples. The rest of the Utah bench was terrible, though. Ekpe Udoh had two points and nobody else got into the scoring column, with Royce O’Neale as the only other bench player to log more than five minutes.

Derrick Favors was limited during Game 5 with 10 points, five rebounds, one block and four turnovers in 24 minutes. The turnovers hurt but Favors made 2-of-3 FGs and 6-of-8 FTs, and the real issue was foul trouble. All five Jazz starters scored in double figures for the third consecutive game.

Rookie Donovan Mitchell tallied 23 points and has finished with 20+ points in every game this series. The Thunder scored 20 points off just seven offensive rebounds. Mitchell is tied with LeBron James for most fourth-quarter points this postseason with 44.

Latest NBA Odds Trends for Game 5

  • Oklahoma City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Oklahoma City is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Utah
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City’s last 6 games
  • Utah is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Utah is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of Utah’s last 16 games

Expert NBA Betting Prediction

Tend to think Utah ends the series here, but I’m taking the points in the NBA odds. Expect a close game.