Champions League Odds & Prediction: Bayern Munich vs. Sevilla

Posted by Henry Watkins on Tuesday,April 10, 2018 12:55, EDT in

There is no doubt about it, the World Cup is the biggest soccer tournament in the world, but in terms of domestic football, there is nothing that tops the UEFA Champions League. By the time the action is over on Wednesday night, we will be down to the final four in that competition, and it is beginning to look as though that group will be comprised of a lot of familiar names. Barring some major comeback, it would appear that Champions League odds favorites Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Liverpool will be in, as all three of those teams have 3-goal lead carried over from the first leg of the quarter-finals. The one tie that really does hang in the balance is this one, with Bayern Munich holding a slender 2-1 lead from the first leg against Sevilla.

The lead may be slim, but let’s not forget that those are away goals that Bayern have picked up, which would count double in the event of a draw. For example, if Sevilla wins 1-0 in Germany, they would still be out on the away goals rule. Let’s take a look at the latest soccer lines and how this one might play out.

Bayern Munich vs. Sevilla Champions League Odds & Prediction

  • When: Wednesday, March 11 at 2:45 PM EST
  • Where: Arena Munchen, Munich
  • TV: ESPN
  • Radio: UEFA.com
  • Champions League Odds: Bayern Munich -457 (Over/Under at 3.5 goals)

Real Madrid is the Soccer Betting Favorite vs. Juventus on Wednesday

Key Facts

  • Hosts protecting a 2-1 lead from the first leg
  • Bayern secured Bundesliga title on Saturday
  • Bayern eyeing sixth semi-final in seven seasons
  • Heynckes on a record run of 12 straight #UCL wins

Why bet on Bayern Munich?

The Bundesliga has turned into something of a stroll for Bayern Munich this season, as they have built up a 20-point lead at the top after just 29 games. They are far and away the class of the top league in Germany, but they have also proven themselves to be among the best in Europe, as they always find a way to make a deep run in the Champions League. The thing that has to be the most worrisome for Sevilla coming into this second leg is just how well Bayern Munich have been playing at home this season.

In the 14 home games that they have played in their domestic league this season, they have won 14 and drawn 2 while scoring 46 and giving up just 9 goals. It is that latter number that is what makes this tie appear to be over, especially if Bayern add to their tally at any point in this game.

Form Guide

  • Augsburg 1-4 Bayern
  • Sevilla 1-2 Bayern
  • Bayern 6-0 Dortmund
  • Leipzig 2-1 Bayern
  • Beşiktaş 1-3 Bayern

Possible Line-Up

  • 26-S. Ulreich
  • 17-J. Boateng
  • 5-M. Hummels
  • 14-Juan Bernat
  • 32-J. Kimmich
  • 7-F. Ribéry
  • 8-J. Martínez
  • 23-A. Vidal
  • 6-T. Alcântara
  • 25-T. Müller
  • 9-R. Lewandowski

Why bet on the Sevilla?

Anyone who closely follows the Champions League will probably remember that Sevilla was pretty much written off in the Round of 16. They played Manchester United in that round and found themselves in a position where they had to go into Old Trafford and get a win after tying 0-0 in the home leg. No-one gave them a chance, but they pulled the big upset out of the bag, winning 2-1 in Manchester.

Sevilla comes in as huge underdog at the Champions League Odds against Bayern Munich.

The difference there, though, was that they were essentially playing with a blank slate. In this game, they are down a goal and also have two away goals to overcome. Sevilla is not a team that scores a lot of goals, to begin with, and they are not having a great year domestically, sitting in 7th in La Liga, outside of the automatic European qualifying spots. Sevilla has played 16 road games in La Liga, scoring just 15 and giving up 32.

Form Guide

  • Celta 4-0 Sevilla
  • Sevilla 1-2 Bayern
  • Sevilla 2-2 Barcelona
  • Leganés 2-1 Sevilla
  • Man. United 1-2 Sevilla

Possible Line-Up

  • 13-David Soria
  • 4-S. Kjær
  • 18-Sergio Escudero
  • 5-C. Lenglet
  • 16-Jesús Navas
  • 15-S. N’Zonzi
  • 22-F. Vázquez
  • 17-Pablo Sarabia
  • 14-G. Pizarro
  • 11-J. Correa
  • 9-W. Ben Yedder

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

After seeing what Sevilla did to Manchester United, Bayern will not be taking this game lightly. I think they will cruise to a comfortable, workmanlike victory to back their Champions League odds as clear favorites.

Score: Bayern Munich 2 – Sevilla 0