Champions League Soccer Betting: Juventus Likely to Beat Borussia on the Road this Wednesday

Posted by Alex Murphy on Wednesday,March 18, 2015 7:04, EDT in

Everything is seemingly going well for Juventus this season, both domestically and Europe. In the Serie A, Juventus are the runaway Serie A leaders and are solidly on course for a fourth successive Scudetto, while in the UEFA Champions League, they have a great chance to qualify for the quarterfinals after they defeated Dortmund 2-1 in Italy. Still, the job in the Champions League is half-way done and they have to finish the other half when they meet Dortmund in Wednesday’s Round of 16 matchup. Which of the two Europe powerhouses will win this major Champions League clash? Check out who we think will come out victorious in our soccer betting preview below.

Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Germany
Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2015
Time: 3:45 PM ET
TV: Fox Sports 2
Opening Line: Juventus -175

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Borussia Dortmund vs. Juventus Soccer Betting Preview and Game Analysis

Though Juventus enjoy the cushion of a one-goal lead in Turin three weeks ago, and are narrow Champions League betting favorites to progress to the Quarters for just the second time since 2006, BVB managed to come away from Italy with an away goal, which could easily see them qualify to the next round if they can win Wednesday’s game by a goal or two.

Even so, Juventus have advanced for 31 of their last 39 European ties in which they were victorious at home in the first leg, and have won each of their last three visits to the Ruhr Valley. Also, Juve comes into this matchup on the back of a good domestic form and have won their past two games against Sassuolo and Palermo via similar 1-0 victories.

Meanwhile, Jurgen Klopp‘s team is undefeated at home in the Champions League this season, easily beating Galatasaray and Arsenal this season at the Group Stage games. Also, the Die Schwarzgelben have won 11 of their last 14 European home games and have remarkably managed to progress to the quarter finals 8-of-14 times in which they lost the first-leg away from home. A win and qualification by Borussia would mean Dortmund progresses to their third consecutive quarter final in the Champions League.

Unfortunately, in spite of their impressive run in Europe, Borussia have been struggling a lot in their domestic league. Most recently, BVB bounced back from the 2-1 defeat to Juve with a pair of wins against Schalke (3-0) and Dresden (2-0), but have since slumped to a winless two-game run in the German League (with no goals scored in both games).

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With Dortmund’s struggles, and Juventus low-scoring nature over the recent times, Wednesday’s game is likely to be a low-scoring affair as both teams mostly focus on playing defensively and using counter-attacks to look for the one or two goals that would take them to the next stage of the competition.

Other Noteworthy Betting Trends

•    Borussia’s recent form in all competitions DDWWL, W-2 L-1 D-2
•    Juventus’ recent form in all competitions WWLDW, W-3 L-1 D-1
•    Borrusia are unbeaten in 3 home games in the domestic league, but saw their two-game winning streak halted with a draw to Cologne over the weekend
•    Borussia have lost just 1 of their last 8 games in all competition
•    Juventus have lost just 1 of their last 26 games in all competitions
•    Borussia have allowed 14 goals in their last 5 home fixtures
•    Juventus are unbeaten in their last 4 Champions League games, winning 3 and drawing one
•    Juventus have lost 4 straight and 5 of their past 6 away games in the Champions League

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Game Prediction

Borussia has only managed to keep one clean sheet at home in Europe this year, in spite of winning two games. So, even if a strong game can be expected from Dortmund at home, and both teams won’t probably be treating us to a goal fest, there is a good value for bettors to wager on an OVER total in this game, with both teams getting on the scoresheet.  Game probably ends up in a 2-1 win once again in favor of Juventus.

Predictable Scorers for Both Teams

Borussia: Marco Reus, Marco Reus, and Erik Pierre Aubameyang
Juventus: Carlos Tévez, Paul Pogba, Fernando Llorente