Top UEFA Champions League Betting Picks of the Week – October 31st
Manchester United (-1 ½) vs. BenficaManchester United play a very different style of football at home than they do on the road, which is why I think this performance may be a little more convincing than their 1-0 win in Portugal. United are coming off a huge win over Tottenham on the weekend, and I like them to put on a bit of a show on Tuesday night. Look for Lukaku to break out of his scoring slump as United cruise to victory.
- United will qualify if they better result of CSKA v Basel
- Benfica on worst ever run of four European losses
- United 19 European home games unbeaten (W15 D4)
- Reds beat Benfica 1-0 in Lisbon on matchday three
- Eagles have never beaten United in England (W4 D1)
PSG vs. Anderlecht (OVER 4)These two met in Belgium in Matchday 3, and it was PSG who cruised to a 4-0 win in that one. With the next meeting set to take place in Paris on Tuesday afternoon, I think we can expect to see Neymar and company take things up a notch or two. A 4-goal total is high at this level of football, but I think PSG might surpass that number all on their own.
- Both sides’ previous meetings in Paris were draws
- Anderlecht seeking first point and goal in Group B
Juventus vs. Sporting Lisbon (UNDER 2 ½)It was Juventus who came out on top in a 2-1 win at home in their previous meeting, but I think this one will be a lower scoring affair. Juventus don’t really need a win here to advance, so look for them to play a more defensive style of football, with a smash and grab 1-0 road win a distinct possibility in this one.
- Juventus through with a win if Barcelona avoid defeat
- Sporting CP lost 2-1 in Turin on matchday three
- The Italians have lost all three previous games in Lisbon
Liverpool (-3 ½) vs. MK MariborIt has been a bit of an up and down start to the domestic season for Liverpool, but they have had some good nights in Champions League play. Perhaps their best effort was a 7-0 win over Maribor in Matchday 3, and they get the chance to try and match that performance on Wednesday night. A win by a 4-goal margin is not out of the question.
- Scoreline in Matchday 3 represents Liverpool record in European away win
- Maribor have lost all four previous UEFA games in England
- Darko Milanič spent 32 days as manager of Leeds United
Real Madrid (+109) vs. TottenhamBoth of these teams will be looking to bounce back after poor weekend performances on the domestic front. While Spurs losing to Manchester United cannot be classified as a huge shock, Real Madrid falling to Girona certainly can. This has all the makings of a 1-goal game, and I like Madrid to put their poor performance behind them with a road win here, so Los Blancos should be your UEFA Champions League betting pick.
- Both teams will qualify if they win at Wembley
- Madrid won both previous games away to Spurs 1-0
- Spurs yet to keep clean sheet in five European games at Wembley
Napoli vs. Manchester City (OVER 2 ½)City is in the driver’s seat in this group after a 2-1 home win over Napoli in Matchday 3. That defeat has left the Italians in dire need of a win if they want to move on, which is why I think they will take an attacking stance in this one. City will be able to hit them on the break, which should help this game easily surpass the UEFA Champions League betting total (2 ½).
- Man. City will qualify if they avoid defeat
- Napoli overcame City 2-1 in 2011
- City’s record in UEFA games in Italy: W1 D2 L3
- Napoli unbeaten in five home games v English sides (W4 D1)