2017 Nitto ATP Finals Betting Preview & Expert Pick

Posted by Henry Watkins on Monday,November 13, 2017 12:11, EDT in

The final event of the 2017 ATP season is set to go this week, with the Nitto ATP Finals featuring 8 of the best players in the men’s game competing for $8 million in prizes at the O2 Arena in London, England. The players playing here are the ones who have accumulated the most points during the season at ATP events, which automatically tells you that this is a very strong field indeed, which is why the ATP Finals betting business is very serious.

Novak Djokovic won this event 4 years on the trot before Andy Murray stole it from him last year. Neither of these players will be involved at the 2017 event, so we are guaranteed a new champion, which will come from 1 of the following 8 players. Rafael Nadal comes in as the Tennis odds favorite, but it’s not going to be an easy win for the Spanish Bull.

2017 Nitto ATP Finals Betting Preview & Expert Pick

Last 10 Winners

  • 2016: Andy Murray
  • 2015: Novak Djokovic
  • 2014: Novak Djokovic
  • 2013: Novak Djokovic
  • 2012: Novak Djokovic
  • 2011: Roger Federer
  • 2010: Roger Federer
  • 2009: Nikolai Davydenko
  • 2008: Novak Djokovic
  • 2007: Roger Federer

2017 Contenders

Rafael Nadal

  • Career record: 873–184
  • Career titles: 75
  • Highest ranking: No. 1
  • Current ranking: No. 1

Even at the height of his game, this was an event that always seemed to elude the Spaniard. He has a pair of runner-up appearances to his name but has never come out on top. Despite all of that, he comes into this one as the top seed, but there are some lingering injury concerns that we might need to be worried about. I just don’t think Nadal is suited to this tournament, so I will be looking elsewhere to place my final ATP Finals betting ticket.

Roger Federer

  • Career record: 1130-249
  • Career titles: 95
  • Highest ranking: No. 1
  • Current ranking: No. 2

At an age when most players start to lose a step, Federer just seems to keep getting stronger. Federer has made it to the final in this event on 8 different occasions, winning 4 and finishing second in 4. No other player in the game can match that, which is why I like him to go on and get the win here. There is some tough competition, to be sure, but Federer is my ATP Finals betting pick.

Alexander Zverev

  • Career record: 117-68
  • Career titles: 6
  • Highest ranking: No. 3
  • Current ranking: No. 3

The 20-year old German is being pegged as the next great player in the men’s game, and it’s easy to see why. He has already won 5 titles in 2017, moving all the way up to the #3 world ranking. Zverev skipped the Next Gen event to focus on this one, so look for him to be fit and healthy coming into this week. He could be the main threat to Federer.

Dominic Thiem

  • Career record: 170-107
  • Career titles: 8
  • Highest ranking: No. 4
  • Current ranking: No. 4

Thiem has had a bit of an up and down season, managing only 1 title win, but still putting together a respectable 48-25 record on the season. He certainly deserves to be in with this group of players, but current form suggests that he might have a tough time making it all the way to the Final this coming Sunday afternoon.

Dominic Thiem is not the ATP Finals Betting favorite.

Marin Cilic

  • Career record: 435-230
  • Career titles: 17
  • Highest ranking: No. 4
  • Current ranking: No. 5

Winning here was always going to be a tough task for Cilic, and he is already behind the 8-ball after an opening night loss to Zverev. He needs to win his final matches in the round robin stage of the tournament to have any shot at making an impact here.

Grigor Dimitrov

  • Career record: 252-161
  • Career titles: 7
  • Highest ranking: No. 6
  • Current ranking: No. 6

Dimitrov would appear to be in tough among this group of players, but let’s not forget that he has won 3 titles this season, while also putting together an impressive 44-19 record. I am certainly not looking at him as a potential winner here, but he is also not going to be an easy out.

David Goffin

  • Career record: 196-126
  • Career titles: 4
  • Highest ranking: No. 8
  • Current ranking: No. 8

The Belgian will get a serious test on Monday when he opens his tournament with a game against Rafael Nadal, who he has yet to beat in his career. It’s tough to see him recovering from another loss to the Spaniard, so he is not a player that I would consider a serious threat.

Jack Sock

  • Career record: 151-102
  • Career titles: 4
  • Highest ranking: No. 9
  • Current ranking: No. 9

As the lowest ranked player at this event, it would be easy to write the American off, but he is coming off a win at the ATP Paris Masters, so look for his confidence to be high. That said, he did not face players of the quality found in this event while playing in Paris.

Groups

A (Pete Sampras)

  • Dominic Thiem
  • Grigor Dimitrov
  • David Goffin
  • Rafael Nadal

B (Boris Becker)

  • Roger Federer
  • Alexander Zverev
  • Marin Cilic
  • Jack Sock