2021 Australian Open Expert Analysis -Tennis Betting

2021 Australian Open Expert Analysis -Tennis Betting

Written by on February 4, 2021

Okay, MyBookie racket betting faithful, the 2021 Australian Open is almost here! That’s right tennis betting buffs, with the first grand slam of the 2021 calendar year set to get underway on Monday, Feb. 8, it’s time to check out the value-packed ATP and WTA World Tour tennis betting odds at this year’s Aussie Open. Let’s jump right into action so you can get ready to bet and cash in against their Australian Open odds.

ATP and WTA Australian Open Betting Predictions – Three For the Win!

World No.1 Novak Djokovic is the prohibitive favorite. Second, third and fourth-ranked Rafael Nadal, Dominic Thiem and Daniil Medvedev are behind Djokovic on the odds list while world No. 6 Stefanos Tsitsipas rounds out the top five players on the odds list.

More importantly, I’ve identified three players that could all bring home the hardware when they take to the hard courts Down Under beginning next week. With that thought in mind, and the 2021 Australian Open getting closer by the day, let’s get down to business.

ATP Odds to Win 2021 Australian Open

  • Novak Djokovic +120
  • Rafael Nadal +500
  • Dominic Thiem +500
  • Daniil Medvedev +500
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas +1400
  • Alexander Zverev +1600
  • Andrey Rublev +2500
  • Nick Kyrgios +2800
  • Jannik Sinner +4000
  • Alex De Minaur +4000
  • Denis Shapovalov +5000
  • Milos Raonic +5000
  • Stan Wawrinka +5000
  • Karen Kachanov +6600
  • Felix Auger Aliassime +8000
  • Roberto Bautista-Agut +8000
  • Gael Monfils +10000
  • Diego Schwartzman +10000
  • Marin Cilic +10000

The Reigning Champ

  • Novak Djokovic

Sure, world No. 1 Novak Djokovic ended his 2020 campaign on a downer after getting booted from the US Open for foolishly smacking a ball into a line judge, but the fact of the matter is that it’s going to be extremely difficult for anyone to get past the sweet-swinging Serbian.

Despite the fact that the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic pretty much wrecked the 2020 season, Djokovic still managed to go 41-5 in a whopping 46 matches last year. The 33-year-old superstar won his second straight Australian Open title by getting past world No. 3 Dominic Thiem in a five-set thriller.

Now, Djokovic comes into this year’s event, having won two straight Down Under, four of six and a mind-boggling seven of the last 10 Australian Opens overall. Djokovic has gone a commanding 75-8 all-time in Australia (90%) and has openly admitted that he wants to become the sport’s all-time leader n grand slam victories.

“It does feel like a home for me in Australia, in Melbourne, particularly in Rod Laver,” Djokovic said recently.  “That is by far my most successful tennis court in my career. Had some profound memories in the last 15 years, and you know, won my first Grand Slam back in 2008.”

Dude’s Dangerous With A Capital D

  • Daniil Medvedev

Let me start by saying that world No. 4 Daniil Medvedev is undoubtedly the most cerebral player on the ATP World Tour today.

The 24-year-old Russian went 28-10 last year while capping off his 2020 campaign by winning the Paris Masters and the ATP World Tour Finals.

More importantly, Medvedev showed he can clearly beat any player in the world today by dispatching the likes of Alexander Zverev, Diego Schwartzman, Thiem, Djokovic and Rafael Nadal en route to those two titles. Medvedev has compiled a stellar 131-56 record all-time on hard courts and should enter this even with even more confidence that he’s had the last couple of years.

Say His Name – It’s Sascha!

  • Alexander Zverev

23-year-old German Alex Zverev has had the look of a future grand slam winner for a few years now, but it’s about time for him to cash in on his immense talent level. Zverev went a impressive 28-11 last year with two titles at Cologne 1 and 2. The 6’6″ star reached the semifinals at the 2020 Australian Open before falling to Thiem in four sets.

Later in the year, Zverev reached his first grand slam final where he was up two sets to love against Thiem – before eventually falling in a five-set thriller that concluded with a crushing 7-6 (6) final set. However, that loss is also the main reason I believe ‘Sascha’ Zverev is going to really challenge for his first grand slam title this year. Zverev is 12-5 all-time at the Aussie Open (71%)  and I believe the 13-time tour winner is primed for bigger and better success in the near future.

And The Winner Is…

Let me get started by saying that it’s going to be extremely difficult for anyone to beat Novak Djokovic – as it always is at the Australian Open. However, that’s exactly what I’m predicting will happen. I’m backing world No. 4 Daniil Medvedev to build on his late season success in 2020 by taking out everyone in his path in the 2021 Australian Open – Djokovic included.

While Medvedev is 3-4 in seven career matches against Djokovic, the fact of the matter is that recently, the Russian has gotten the best of Djokovic by winning three of the last four meetings after dropping their first three career meetings. Medvedev took out Djokovic by a convincing 6-3, 6-3 in last year’s season-ending ATP Finals and I believe he’s going to claim his first grand slam title at the 2021 Australian Open, no matter who’s in his path.

Pick: Daniil Medvedev

Now let’s move to the WTA side and have a look at what lies ahead in the women’s Australian Open.

Could world No. 3 Naomi Osaka win consecutive grand slam titles after winning the 2020 US Open and sitting out the ensuing French Open a year ago? Will feisty American Sofia Kenin win back-to-back Aussie Open titles after winning the first grand slam title of her career Down Under last year? Last, but certainly not least, could legendary world No. 1 Serena Williams finally Margaret Court’s all-time slam record of 24 majors?

Osaka is the prohibitive favorite. World No. 1 Ashleigh Barty and No. 7 Aryna Sabalenka are co-favorites behind Osaka while Williams and world No. 2 Simona Halep round out the top five WTA stars on the odds leaderboard at this year’s Australian Open. Better yet, I’ve identified three players that could win the first slam of the 2021 calendar year. Let’s find out who they are right now.

WTA Odds to Win 2021 Australian Open

  • Naomi Osaka +550
  • Ashleigh Barty +800
  • Aryna Sabalenka +800
  • Serena Williams +1000
  • Simona Halep +1000
  • Iga Swiatek +1200
  • Sofia Kenin +1400
  • Bianca Andreescu +1400
  • Victoria Azarenka +1400
  • Karolina Pliskova +1600
  • Garbine Muguruza +1600
  • Petra Kvitova +1800
  • Jennifer Brady +2500
  • Elina Svitolina +2500
  • Elena Rybakina +2500
  • Cori Gauff +2500
  • Belinda Bencic +3300
  • Veronika Kudermetova +3300
  • Angelique Kerber +4000
  • Maria Sakkari +4000

The Tour’s Shining Light!

  • Naomi Osaka

The 23-year-old native of Japan played in five events a year ago while compiling a fine, 16-4 mark. Not only did Osaka reach the finals at the Western&Southern Open, but she also won the third grand slam title of her career by bringing home the bacon at the 2020 US Open to cap off her 2020 season before sitting out the ensuing French Open.

Osaka is 15-4 in five appearances at the Aussie Open and while she bowed out in the third round last year, she also won took home the hardware Down Under in 2019. Once, a shy, sweet phenom who rarely let her feelings be know, Osaka has gained global fame and respect for her stance at last year’s US Open on equality and justice for all. Osaka, is young, fast, powerful and hungry – and that means she’s going to be super difficult to beat in the 2021 Australian Open. Make no mistake about it, Naomi Osaka is now the WTA Tour’s biggest and brightest shining light!

She’s On The Prowl!

  • Serena Williams

The living legend might now be 39-years-old and she may not have won a grand slam since taking home the trophy in the 2017 Australian Open, but Serena Williams looks like a player on the prowl to me coming into this year’s event. Williams went 17-5 in 2020 with one title at the ASB Classic in New Zealand.

While Williams was dispatched in the third round of last year’s Aussie Open by Qiang Wang, Williams has won this event a whopping seven times. Williams reached consecutive finals at Wimbledon and the US Open in 2018 and 2019 and made a run to last year’s semifinals of the US Open before falling to Victoria Azarenka.

Still, Williams is 88-12 all-time Down Under (88%) and has reached the quarterfinals or better five times in her last eight appearances with two wins (2015, 2017). Williams looks fit right now to start the year – and she’s definitely hungry. While the WTA Tour’s young performers have gotten better the last few years, no player in the game possesses a better and more effective serve than Williams – and that alone – could be the reasons why she hoists the hardware at this year’s first grand slam event.

Sofia Kenin

The 22-year-old American started off her 2020 campaign by winning the Australian Open to claim the first grand slam title of her career. Kenin lost only one set en route to the title while becoming the youngest American female to win a slam since Serena Williams won Wimbledon in 2002.

Kenin also reached the finals of the French Open last year before falling to ‘sudden star’ Iga Swiatek in the finals. However, her 16-2 mark on the year earned her WTA Tour Player of the Year honors. I love Kenin’s gritty on-court demeanor and I believe she’s going to win multiple majors in her career before it’s all said and done.

The Pick

While I love Naomi Osaka’s chances and believe other stars like Sofia Kenin will have very legitimate chances to win the 2021 Australian Open, I’m going with the incomparable Serena Williams to get it done this year. As previously mentioned, Williams looks extremely fit right now and her hunger definitely isn’t an issue.

Williams still has the best and most powerful serve in the women’s game and I believe she is going to use the most formidable weapon in the women’s game to finally claim the 24th grand slam title of her unprecedented career. Could another WTA Tour player win this year’s Aussie Open? Of course, but my money is on Serena Williams!

Pick: Serena Williams


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