MyBookie returns with an early Tennis betting preview for the 2021 US Open. Today, we look at who are the main favorites to win the fourth and final Grand Slam of the year and where they stand in the US Open Odds.
ATP & WTA Grand Slam – 2021 US Open Early Odds To Win
2021 US Open
- When: August 30 – September 12
- Where: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Queens, New York City, United States
ATP 2021 US Open Odds – Men
- Novak Djokovic +100
- Daniil Medvedev +500
- Rafael Nadal +500
- Dominic Thiem +500
- Roger Federer +600
- Alexander Zverev +1000
- Stefanos Tsitsipas +1000
WTA 2021 US Open Odds – Women
- Naomi Osaka +300
- Bianca Andreescu +700
- Ashleigh Barty +800
- Serena Williams +800
- Iga Swiatek +1000
- Simona Halep +1000
Djokovic (Still) Leading The Way
The men’s US Open betting odds haven’t changed over the last week, which isn’t too surprising as there weren’t any significant shifts in players’ form. The current no.1, Novak Djokovic continues to have a firm hold of the tag as the betting favorite, priced at +100.
At this point, it seems highly unlikely for any other player than Djokovic to be priced as the betting favorite in any tennis tournament that features the Serb in the field. He has been a class above everyone else throughout the year and is only one Grand Slam title away from being crowned as the undisputed best tennis player in history.
Djokovic travels to USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center with a 86% win rate on hard courts over his career and a 88% win rate in 2021 (14/2). He has also won the US Open three times before (2011, 2015, 2018) and would have arguably won it in 2020 had he not been disqualified in R4.
The only player in the field who seems capable of challenging Djokovic is Daniil Medvedev (+500), who holds the second-best hard court record of the year. He has played 16 hard court matches in 2021 and won all but three, which translates to an 84% win rate.
What’s more, Medvedev has already reached the finals of the US Open in 2019 and made it to the semi-finals in 2020, so he should feel confident in his ability to emulate another deep run.
Ladies Fields Feels Open
The ladies’ circuit has felt very open over the past few years, with Serena Williams no longer the dominant force she once was. Although it’s saddening to see a legend lose its stride, it’s also refreshing seeing a much more competitive field, where more than a couple of players can compete for glory.
Still, the bookmakers have made up their minds and priced Naomi Osaka as a +300 favorite, over Bianca Andreescu (+700) in second. Seeing Andreescu priced so much higher than Osaka might seem a bit shocking; however, it’s worth pointing out that Andreescu had never made it past the qualifying round in her previous two US Open appearances until she won the whole thing in 2019.
For Osaka, the 2021 US Open will be her attempt at her third US Open title. If she achieves that feat, Osaka will become the second player in the last decade to secure a hard court double in the same season.
Even though Osaka is billed as the favorite, her hard court record isn’t that much better than the rest of the field. Across her career, Osaka has recorded a 67% win rate on hard courts and a 79% win rate (15/4) in 2021.
In comparison, Ashleigh Barty holds a 73% career win rate on hard courts but the exact same 79% win rate this year. Andreescu, meanwhile, has won 77% of hard court matches in her career and 75% in 2021.
Although all impressive numbers, none can compare to Garbine Muguruza, who has won 80% of hard court matches in 2021, with a 24/6 record. However, she has never made it past R4 at the US Open (2017) and has managed only R2 in 2020.
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