With Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal both turning back the clock, the start of the 2017 ATP Tour season has undoubtedly been one of the most surprising – and unpredictable – in recent ATP Tour memory.
Now, with the 2017 Mutua Madrid Open getting underway over the Cinco de Mayo weekend, tennis betting aficionados everywhere actually have only one ‘real’ question they need to answer when it comes to the prestigious lead-up event to the French Open.
Mutua Madrid Open Tennis Odds & Betting Picks
Can anyone beat ‘The King of Clay,’ on his favorite surface? Sure, both, World No. 1 Andy Murray and World No. 2 Novak Djokovic, will be in the field, but in reality, all roads to winning the championship will likely have to go through the inimitable Rafa!
Now, let’s find out if anyone can stop Nadal from bagging this year’s Mutua Madrid Open title.
Mutua Madrid Open
Date: May 7-14, 2017
Location: Madrid, Spain
Category: ATP World Tour Masters 1000
Surface: Clay
Mutua Madrid Open Odds
Rafael Nadal +125
Novak Djokovic +425
Andy Murray +600
Stan Wawrinka +900
Roger Federer +1400
Dominic Thiem +1600
Nick Kyrgios +3300
Kei Nishikori +3300
Juan Martin Del Potro +4000
David Goffin +6600
Alexander Zverev +6600
Milos Raonic +5000
Gael Monfils +6600
Grigor Dimitrov +5000
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +8000
Tomas Berdych +10000
Roberto Bautista-Agut +10000
Lucas Pouille +8000
Richard Gasquet +10000
Fabio Fognini +10000
Marin Cilic +10000
Albert Ramos-Vinolas +10000
Jack Sock +10000
David Ferrer +10000
The Favorites
Rafael Nadal
Novak Djokovic
Analysis: Nadal, the fifth-ranked player in the world is a fantastic 29-5 on the season with two titles and two finals losses to Roger Federer at the Aussie Open and Miami. Rafa enters Madrid after recording victories on clay at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters and Barcelona.
World No. 2 Novak Djokovic is off to a shaky 14-4 start coming into Madrid with one title, but the former World No. 1 enter Madrid after falling to David Goffin in the quarterfinals at Monte Carlo. Djokovic has also suffered a pair of losses to Nick Kyrgios this season while getting smacked around by Dennis Istomin in the second round at Australia.
Top Contenders
Andy Murray
Kei Nishikori
Dominic Thiem
Nick Kyrgios
David Goffin
Analysis: Murray is just 15-5 coming into Madrid and just doesn’t seem to have the confidence of being the world’s No. 1 player at the moment. Kei Nishikori has dropped down to eighth in the world and is just 15-6 this season with zero titles. World No. 9 Dominic Thiem is looking dangerous as he comes into Madrid with a solid 22-10 record and one title and World No. 20 Nick Kyrgios has been even more impressive in going 16-4 while beating Djokovic and World No. 19 Alexander Zverev twice apiece this season. World No. 10 David Goffin has compiled an impressive 24-9 record coming into Madrid while recording wins against Djokovic and Thiem at Monte Carlo.
The Pick
With Rafael Nadal playing on his best surface and looking a lot like the Rafa of five year ago, it’ kind of hard to go against the King of Clay at what is basically a home tournament in Madrid.
While Nadal isn’t t shoo-in he used to be to win every clay court event he enters, his recent wins on clay suggest that it will take a superhuman effort for anyone to beat Nadal for the title. I like Nadal to get the win in Madrid with my second and third picks to get the win going to David Goffin and Nick Kyrgios.
The Winner: Rafael Nadal
