Rafael Nadal is the Tennis Betting Favorite to win the 2018 Roland Garros

Posted by Eric Williams on Friday,June 8, 2018 3:21, EDT in

Okay, it’s not very surprising that World No. 1 and tennis betting favorite Rafael Nadal is in the final of the 2018 French Open, seeing as how he’s won this tournament a record 10 times coming into this year’s version of the second grand slam event of the year. Heck, it’s not really surprising that World No. 8 Dominic Thiem is in the finals opposite Rafa, seeing as how he’s generally regarded as the second-best clay court player in the game today.

If you’re wondering whether Thiem can pull off what would amount to an earth-shaking upset or whether Nadal is the easy pick to build on his unmatched success at Roland Garros, then let’s get to my expert 2018 French Open Final odds analysis.

Tennis Betting Prediction for 2018 Roland Garros Men’s Final

  • Venue: Roland Garros, Paris
  • Date: Sunday, 10 June
  • Time: 14:00 BST

Nadal’s Road to the Final

  • Tennis Betting Odds to Win: -445

Spanish top seed, Rafael Nadal won his first three matches in straight sets and dominated ATP’s No. 11 Diego Schwartzman 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 after dropping the first set 4-6 in the quarterfinal round. The incomparable Rafa then dispatched fifth-seeded Juan Martin Del Potro with the greatest of ease in their semifinal match on Friday, winning 6-4, 6-1, 6-2.

Nadal won a whopping 73 percent of his first serve points and equally impressive 72 percent of his second serves while breaking Del Po five times in the match and winning seven consecutive games at one point. Nadal is only the second man after all-time grand slam leader Roger Federer to reach 11 finals at the same Grand Slam.

“I am very happy to be back in the final here at Roland Garros. For me it’s incredible,” said Nadal. “It’s impossible without hard work and going through tough moments.

“You have to be focused and keep your passion for the game. I never dreamed in 2005 when I played my first final here that I would be in another one.”

Thiem’s Road to the Final

  • Tennis Betting Odds to Win: +345

Austrian seventh seed Dominic Thiem won his opening round match in straight sets but was then forced to go four sets in each of his next three matches before beating an injured world No.3 Alexander Zverev 6-4, 6-2, 6-1 in the semifinals. Thiem won 79 percent of his first serve points and 68 percent of his second serve points in cruising to the relatively easy, but not fair win over Zverev.

Thiem then took out the unheralded World No. 72 Marco Cecchinato 7-5, 7-6 (10), 6-1 in his semifinal match on Friday to advance to the first grand slam final of his career. Thiem stomped the life out of his opponent by winning the third set in just 21 minutes.

“The big key was the second-set tie-break because it was very close and I saved I think three set points,” said Thiem. “If I lost that tie-break it would have been a very close match and I didn’t want that.

“Of course it’s very important to have a good recovery now. I’ll watch the other semi-final to study my opponent and then it’s full power on Sunday.”

Expert Tennis Betting Prediction

Nobody has won more clay-court matches on the ATP tour than Thiem this year and he is the only person to have beaten Nadal on the red dirt in the past two years. Thiem beat Nadal 6-4, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the 2017 Rome Masters and then took out the world No. 1 7-5, 6-3 at the Madrid Masters a couple of months ago.

Dominic Thiem will try to upset Rafa Nadal at the Tennis Odds to win 2018 Roland Garros.

Thiem says he has no ‘real’ pressure on him heading into the finals.

“Of course there is pressure especially in Grand Slam finals,” Thiem said. “I have gone a very long way now and I don’t want to lose the finals; otherwise, it’s not a very nice feeling. But on the other hand, it’s so tough to go all the way in such a tournament. Facing Rafa, I’m not the one who has the pressure.”

While Nadal is going to be the overwhelming favorite in the finals, I’ve got a funny feeling that Dominic Thiem is going to pull off the huge upset to both, deny Nadal an 11t title and claim his first slam title.

Thiem is younger an faster and has a great mind as far, plus he’s got the knowledge that he can beat Nadal in a big tournament on his favorite surface! I’m going with Thiem for the upset in four sets no less.

Pick: Dominic Thiem in Four Sets