UFC 206 Max Holloway vs Anthony Pettis Betting Prediction

Posted by Michael Hunt on Wednesday,December 7, 2016 9:53, EST in

UFC 206 is staged at the Air Canada Centre in Toronto on Saturday and the card was to be headlined by a light-heavyweight championship fight between current champion Daniel Cormier and Anthony Johnson. However, Cormier had to pull out due to injury and Johnson didn’t want to fight anyone else. So the new main event features former UFC and WEC lightweight champion Anthony Pettis taking on Max Holloway for the interim UFC featherweight title formerly held by Conor McGregor. Holloway is a – 190 favorite on the MMA odds with Pettis at +160 and the over/under rounds at 2.5. The card is available on pay-per- view.

UFC 206 Max Holloway vs Anthony Pettis Betting Prediction

There have been reports that McGregor voluntarily relinquished the featherweight belt after beating Eddie Alvarez for the lightweight title at UFC 205 last month. Recently, the UFC announced McGregor had “relinquished” the featherweight title, which he won by knocking out Jose Aldo in 13 seconds last December. Yet McGregor denies he did that. Now Aldo is considered the undisputed champion and should fight the Pettis-Holloway winner next year.

Before Holloway was matched up with Pettis at UFC 206 in Toronto, the Hawaiian featherweight had been rumored for a matchup with Aldo instead. According to Holloway, he heard that a fight with Aldo was potentially coming together for either UFC 205 in New York or UFC 206 in Toronto but then all of a sudden neither actually happened. Holloway has hinted that Aldo is ducking him.

Pettis (19-5) was the lightweight champion but then went on a three-fight losing streak. He responded to that in August by moving down in weight, and he looked spectacular in his featherweight debut by choking out Charles Oliveira. Pettis’ saving grace throughout his losing streak was that all three defeats came by decision. To that end, he was able to pinpoint a couple of small mistakes that cost him in each fight.

Holloway (16-3) goes after his first UFC title. McGregor beat Holloway by decision at UFC Fight Night 26 in August 2013. It was Holloway’s most recent loss – and the only McGregor win in the UFC to go the distance. Holloway said the thought of going up to lightweight to challenge McGregor if he beats Pettis and then Aldo to become the lineal featherweight champ is appealing.

When Holloway entered the UFC, he was 20 years old and 4-0 as a professional. He went 3-3 in his first two years in the promotion, with his three losses coming against the highest-ranked, most well-known opponents he faced. But each of those losses provided formative lessons for the young fighter that have helped him achieve the longest winning streak in the UFC featherweight division’s history. He comes off an entertaining three-round decision over Ricardo Lamas at UFC 199 in June.

Holloway is numerically even with, or superior to, Pettis in most measured areas of striking. FightMetric shows he is more active, better defensively and just as accurate. Pettis absorbs less damage overall, but he’s hit almost as often as he lands, while Holloway lands far more than he absorbs.

UFC 206 Main Event Pick: Max Holloway

Holloway is on a nine-fight winning streak and is younger and bigger than Pettis. Holloway wins by TKO on MMA odds.