Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs Expert NBA Pick

Posted by Eric Williams on March 22, 2016 in

The San Antonio Spurs will look to bounce back from their stunning loss the last time out when they take on a Miami Heat team that will be playing the second leg of back-to-back games on Wednesday night. Now, let’s find out why the Spurs look like a lock to get the SU win at the very least!

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs Expert NBA Pick

When: 8:30 PM ET, Wednesday, March 23, 2016
Where: AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas
Live Stream: NBA Stream
Radio: ESPN 1420

Why Bet the Miami Heat

Miami (40-29 SU, 36-32-1 ATS) beat the hell out of LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday and they’ll look to pull off another upset against the Spurs in this contest – after facing New Orleans on Tuesday night.


The good news for the Heat is that they’ve played pretty solid basketball since adding veteran swingman Joe Johnson to their roster almost two weeks ago. The bad news is that Miami had alternated SU wins and losses over their last seven games while suffering losses against Charlotte, Toronto and Milwaukee. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest so they’ve clearly been able to perform well in back-to-back games.

Why Bet the San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio (59-11 SU, 41-29 ATS) looks like great pick to win and cash in – depending on the spread in this contest. The Spurs were stunned by red-hot Charlotte in their 91-88 loss on Monday despite limiting the Hornets to just seven first quarter points. Linsanity erupted for Charlotte as Jeremy Lin scored a team-high 29 points while draining four three-pointers.

The Spurs had their six-game winning streak snapped in the loss. San Antonio had won 14 of their previous 15 and 20 of their previous 22 games overall.

“In the second quarter, I thought our second team was basically out to lunch,” Popovich said. “They stopped moving the ball. It was one-on-one, turnovers, gave up 29 points in the quarter. That sealed the fate right there. Charlotte recovered. They did a good job of hanging in and playing hard and continued to do that.”

Tony Parker led the Spurs with 19 points. LaMarcus Aldridge had 18 points and 12 rebounds, Tim Duncan finished with 16 points and 10 rebounds, and Kawhi Leonard scored 15.

Expert Score and Final Prediction

While the Heat have gone -4 ATS in their last 13 road games, it doesn’t bode well that Miami has gone 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games against team from the Southwest Division.

The Spurs are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against their Eastern Conference counterparts, but the Favorite in this rivalry is 4-0 ATS in the L/4 meetings and the Heat are just 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio.

My final score prediction is San Antonio 104 Miami 97