2020 AFL Premiership Finals Series Expert Analysis

2020 AFL Premiership Finals Series Expert Analysis

Written by on September 25, 2020

With the 2020 AFL Premiership season heading into its opening slate of postseason action as the AFL Finals get underway starting on Thursday, October 1, it’s time to find out which teams look like they’ll advance out of the elimination round to reach the semifinals. With a quartet of elimination matchups on the docket, let’s find out where the best betting value lies so you can make your bets against their AFL odds.

2020 AFL Finals Series | Qualifiers

Port Adelaide Power (14-3) Vs Geelong Cats (12-5)

  • When: Thursday, Oct. 1, 2020 at 7:10 PM
  • Where: Adelaide Oval

Port Adelaide has won five straight, but their last loss was an embarrassing 91-31 smackdown against Geelong on August 14. The Cats have won four of five and so thoroughly dominated Port Adelaide in their last meeting, I’m thinking another upset is in the books for this elimination contest, though it wouldn’t be much of an upset if you witnessed the last meeting between these two title hopefuls. I’m expecting Geelong forward Tom Hawkins and midfielder Sam Menegola to lead the way to victory in this one.

Pick: Geelong 69 Port Adelaide 63

Brisbane Lions (14-3) Vs Richmond Cats (12-4-1)

  • When: Friday, Oct. 2, 2020 at 7:50 PM
  • Where: Gabba, Brisbane

Despite finishing third in the AFL ladder, Richmond is actually the prohibitive favorite to win this year’s AFL Championship. While both of these title hopefuls have won each of their last five matches, Richmond pounded Brisbane unmercifully in their 82-41 rout on August 4 one year after taming the Lions 112-65 in September of 2019. Richmond forward Tom Lynch and defender Jayden Short will star in this one while leading the Cats to the emphatic win!

Pick: Richmond 77 Brisbane 69

St. Kilda Saints (10-7) Vs Western Bulldogs (10-7)

  • When: Saturday, Oct. 3, 2020 at 4:40 PM
  • Where: Gabba, Brisbane

While Western has won three straight and four of their last five, the Bulldogs were also on the wrong end of a stunning 88-49 smackdown at the hands of St. Kilda the last time these two teams met on June 14. Not only that, but St. Kilda also overpowered Western in 2019, winning 116-89 and now, the Saints look poised to make it three straight. The Saints have won two of their last three and will have the two best players on the field in forward Dan Butler and defender Nick Coffield. These teams may have identical records, but St. Kilda is undeniably the better team at both ends of the field.

Pick: St. Kilda 82 Western 70

West Coast Eagles (12-5) Vs Collingwood Magpies (9-7-1)

  • When: Saturday, Oct. 3, 2020 at 6:10 PM
  • Where: Optus Stadium

West Coast has won three of their last four matches while Collingwood hits the postseason having lost two of their last three. More importantly, the eagles soared to an emphatic 111-45 smackdown win over the Magpies when they last met on July 26 and I just don’t expect Collingwood to get past a more explosive and cohesive West Coast squad that has legitimate championship hopes entering the postseason. The Eagles will have the three best players on the field in this one as forward Josh Kennedy, midfielder Andrew Gaff and defender Brad Sheppard all lead the way to victory in this one!

Pick: West Coast 62 Collingwood 45

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