2018 AAA Texas 500 Odds & Preview

2018 With only 2 races left before Homestead, Top 4 Joey Logano, Kyle Busch, Martin Truex Jr., and Kevin Harvick will fight at the AAA Texas 500 to maintain their positions. Brad Keselowski and Kyle Larson will look to add a victory while Chase Elliott and Kurt Busch will try to jump back into the NASCAR Playoffs Top 4. What are the best wagers in the AAA Texas 500? We take a closer look at the odds to win the 2018 AAA Texas 500.

2018 AAA Texas 500 Odds & Preview

Three spots. Two races. The #NASCARPlayoffs continue Sunday at 3 PM ET on @NBCSN. pic.twitter.com/n6eS668g14

— NASCAR (@NASCAR) November 2, 2018

• When: Sunday, Nov. 4 at 3:00 pm ET
• Where: Texas Motor Speedway, Ft. Worth, TX
• Distance: 500 mi
• TV: NBCSN
• Streaming Option: NBC Sports App

Favorites to Win the 2018 AAA Texas 500

• Kevin Harvick             +275
• Kyle Busch                 +325
• Martin Truex Jr.          +400
• Brad Keselowski         +700
• Kyle Larson                +700

Harvick offers low odds, but the last time they battled at Texas Motor Speedway, he finished second. He’s had a terrible time of late, not even coming close to Top 5 finishes. Because Harvick and his crew are motivated, picking him on top makes sense.

But, the odds just aren’t there. Kyle Busch won the last race at Texas Motor Speedway. He offers better odds than what Harvick offers while also finishing 4^th at Martinsville in NASCAR’s last and 2^nd at Kansas two races ago. Kyle looks poised for a win.

2018 AAA Texas 500 Pick: Kyle Busch +325

Smart Choices

• Chase Elliott               +1000
• Ryan Blaney               +1200
• Joey Logano                +1200
• Clint Bowyer              +2000
• Kurt Busch                  +2000

Elliott and Kurt Busch are looking for victories that will propel them into the NASCAR Playoffs Top 4. Both are worth a look. So is Joey Logano, but I’m not sure Kurt Busch, Elliott, or Logano are the drivers to back in the Smart Choices category.

The driver who looks best here is Ryan Blaney. Blaney tends to drive well over specific tracks. He finished 7^th at Kansas, he won at Charlotte, and he also finished 5^th at Michigan. At Texas Motor Speedway in April, Blaney finished 5^th at Texas.

2018 AAA Texas 500 Pick: Ryan Blaney +500

Underdogs

• Denny Hamlin +2200
• Aric Almirola +2500
• Erik Jones +4000
• Jimmie Johnson +5000
• Alex Bowman +6600

Jones, even at +4000, is the easiest pick in this group. Before his 26^th place finish at Martinsville, Jones finished 4^th, 8^th, and 4^th at Dover, Talladega, and Kansas. He finished in the Top 5, another 4^th, in the last race at Texas.

The +4000 odds make Erik Jones the overlay pick on the board. He’s got a huge shot of taking the AAA Texas 500 on Sunday.

2018 AAA Texas 500 Pick: Erik Jones +4000