2018 Can-Am 500 NASCAR Odds & Preview

2018 Can-Am 500 NASCAR Odds & Preview

Written by on November 9, 2018

Drivers head to Avondale, Arizona for the 2018 Can-Am 500 with news already shaping 2019. Martin Truex Jr., the defending Monster Energy Cup Champion and a Top 4 driver this year, has signed a deal with Joe Gibbs Racing. Truex Jr.’s changing teams. Will that affect his run on Sunday? Check out our NASCAR odds, analysis, and a pick for the each group for the 2018 Can-Am 500!

2018 Can-Am 500 NASCAR Odds & Preview

  • When: Sunday, Nov. 9 at 3:00 pm ET
  • Where: ISM Raceway, Avondale, AZ
  • Distance: 500 km
  • TV: NBC
  • Radio:
  • Streaming Option: NBC Sports App

NASCAR Group 1

  • Kevin Harvick             +160
  • Kyle Busch                 +250
  • Martin Truex Jr.          +350
  • Chase Elliott               +350

Harvick won at Texas. That means he brings a hot hand to ISM Raceway on Sunday. Nobody else in this group was close to Harvick at Texas Motor Speedway. The last time the group chalk raced at ISM, he won. In fact, Harvick has 2 wins in the last 5 races at ISM Raceway. He’ll do enough to beat his top competitors in Group 1.

Can-Am 500 Betting Pick: Kevin Harvick

NASCAR Group 2

  • Kyle Larson                +220
  • Brad Keselowski         +220
  • Clint Bowyer              +270
  • Denny Hamlin             +320

Hamlin’s got 4 Top 10 finishes in the last 5 races at ISM Raceway in Avondale. Although the track’s in Avondale, the race qualifies as a Phoenix event. Like Harvick in Group 1, Hamilton’s got a big advantage over his competitors in Group 2 because he’s been consistent in NASCAR’s Phoenix event. Forget what Hamlin did in Texas last week.

In the last at ISM, he finished 4th behind Elliott, Busch, and Harvick. He’s the play to win Group 2.

Can-Am 500 Betting Pick: Denny Hamlin

NASCAR Group 3

  • Erik Jones +220
  • Kurt Busch +270
  • Aric Almirola +270
  • Joey Logano +270

Erik Jones deserves the favorites odds to win Group 3. He’s got 3 Top 10 finishes in 3 races at ISM with an average finish of 7. He finished 9th earlier this year at the Phoenix NASCAR event. Jones is in good form, having started 12th at Texas Motor Speedway before locking down a 4th place finish. I’m not looking past him to win Group 3.

Can-Am 500 Betting Pick: Erik Jones

NASCAR Group 4

  • Jimmie Johnson +200
  • Alex Bowman +250
  • Daniel Suarez +270
  • Austin Dillon +350

Alex Bowman has a single Top 10 finish from 2 races at ISM. His average finish is 9th. Bowman clocked in at 13th in the last race in Phoenix. He started 4th in that event, though. If he qualifies up there again, he should have no trouble beating Jimmie Johnson, Daniel Suarez, and Austin Dillon in Group 4.

Can-Am 500 Betting Pick: Alex Bowman