The highly anticipated UFC 310 betting pick centers on the flyweight championship fight between Alexandre Pantoja and Kai Asakura. Pantoja enters as a solid -260 favorite, while Asakura looks to pull off the upset as a +200 underdog. With both fighters hungry for the title, this fight is sure to bring fireworks.
UFC 310 Betting Pick for the Pantoja vs Asakura Main Bout
Don’t Miss Out on the Betting Action: The Ultimate Clash of Styles
UFC 310: Jones vs. Miocic – Ultimate Fighting Championship
Saturday, December 7th, 2024 at 10:00 pm ET at 10:00 pm ET | PPV – T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
Betting UFC Line Movements with Pantoja vs Asakura Bouts
Champ Alexandre Pantoja puts his flyweight championship strap on the line on Saturday when he takes on Kai Asakura.
The titlist is a strong -260 favorite.
Before Asakura looks to grab Pantoja’s belt, four fantastic matchups happen on the UFC 310 main card.
Nate Landwehr battles Dooho Choi, Bryce Mitchell takes on Kron Gracie, Cyril Gane throws down against Alexander Volkov, and Shavkhat Rakhmanov goes against Ian Machado Garry.
Which fighters get it done on Saturday?
Check out UFC odds, analysis, and free picks for the main card bouts at UFC 310.
Writer’s Picks for UFC 310: Main Card Bouts
Nate Landwehr -135 vs Dooho Choi +115
There are reasons to back slight underdog Dooho Choi.
The +115 underdog bounced back from 3 straight losses in 2018 and 2019 to draw and win in his last couple of bouts.
The latest fight took place in July 2024, which means Choi has returned to his best form.
Landwehr is fighting great.
The -135 favorite shows 4 wins and a loss in his last 5.
Based on recent form, Landwehr wins this.
But the small spread between the two suggests Choi has a shot.
Backing the dog makes sense.
UFC 310 Pick: Dooho Choi
Bryce Mitchell -850 vs Kron Gracie +500
Gracie shows 3 wins and 2 losses in his last 5.
The +500 on Kron makes sense.
A member of the famed Gracie family, the underdog in this is on a 2-match losing streak.
Bryce Mitchell has lost 2-of-3.
But he’s fought against better competition.
This should be a class bout, meaning the fighter who has fought the better comp scores the win.
That’s the favorite.
UFC 310 Pick: Bryce Mitchell
Cyril Gane -390 vs Alexander Volkov +290
Volkov has gone 4-0 in his last 4.
The underdog is fighting great and has a real chance in this.
The key for Volkov will be to handle Gane’s heavy hands.
Cyril has fought the much better opponents.
But unlike Mitchell versus Gracie, Volkov has a decided 3-inch height advantage.
That could be enough to get the dog over the finish line first.
UFC 310 Pick: Alexander Volkov
Shavkhat Rakhmanov -390 vs Ian Machado Garry +290
At +290, Ian Machado Garry has the look of a possible upsetter.
Garry has a 2 inches height advantage, is 7-0 via TKO/KO, 15-0 overall, and 1-0 via submission.
However, Rakhmanov is 18-0.
The favorite has a much better ground game.
But Garry appears slightly faster on his feet.
Rakhmanov should be the chalk.
The odds may be slightly underlaid on the fave, though.
Take a shot on Garry to hand Shavkhat his first loss.
UFC 310 Pick: Ian Machado Garry
Alexandre Pantoja -390 vs Kai Asakura +210
UFC Flyweight Title
Asakura has won 4-of-5 with a loss.
One of the reasons he’s such a big time dog is because, although he has a 3 inches height advantage, the wins have come at Rizin Fighting.
Pantoja is a UFC Champion.
No doubt, Asakura is going to have to pick up his game.
The main card at UFC, though, has great matchups that make many of the underdogs playable.
Asakura is one of those.
Although 4-of-5 dogs winning is a stretch, the odds on Kai are too nice to ignore.
Taking another shot on the dog.
UFC 310 Pick: Kai Asakura
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What is Live Movement in UFC Betting? Let’s Find Out
Line movement in UFC betting refers to the changes in odds for a particular fight.
Oddsmakers constantly adjust the odds based on various factors, such as:
- Public Betting:
If a significant number of bettors are wagering on one fighter, the odds may shift to reflect the increased demand.
Injuries:
Injuries to fighters can significantly impact the odds.
News and Rumors:
Any breaking news or rumors about a fighter can affect the odds.
Weight Cuts:
Difficulties in weight cuts can impact a fighter’s performance and odds.
By understanding line movement, you can identify potential value bets and make more informed decisions.
To stay up-to-date on the latest UFC odds, lines, and betting tips, check out our UFC News section.
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