College Football Bowl Game Betting Tips: Trends and Stats to Watch This Season

As college football bowl season approaches, savvy bettors are looking for college football bowl game betting tips to gain an edge. With numerous teams facing off in bowl games, understanding key trends and stats can make a difference when placing your bets. From team performance to individual player stats, these insights can help you predict the most likely outcomes, giving you a significant advantage over the competition.

Trends and Stats to Watch for College Football Bowl Season
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2024 NCAA Division I FBS Football Season | 155th season of college football in the United States
Saturday, December 14th – Monday, January 20th, 2024

College Football Bowl Game Betting Tips

As college football bowl season approaches, fans and bettors turn their attention to the trends and stats that could influence the outcomes of these bowl matchups.

From team performance trends to key player stats, understanding the data can give you an edge in predicting the results. 

In this article, we’ll explore the most notable college football bowl trends and important bowl game stats to watch this postseason.

Writer’s Picks for the College Football Bowl Games

Home-Field Advantage in Bowl Games

While most bowl games are played at neutral sites, some teams enjoy an advantage based on proximity to their home stadiums.

For example, teams playing in the Rose Bowl or Sugar Bowl often benefit from a strong turnout of local fans.

Over the past five years, teams playing within 200 miles of their campus have won nearly 70% of their bowl games, highlighting the impact of fan support.

This season, keep an eye on games like the Peach Bowl, where a nearby team could have a boost from its fan base.

This trend is particularly relevant for bettors analyzing spreads in matchups involving closely matched teams.

Conference Bowl Records

Conference strength plays a major role in bowl season outcomes.

Historically, the SEC and Big Ten have dominated bowl season, with the SEC winning nearly 60% of its bowl games over the last decade.

Conversely, the Pac-12 has struggled, posting a losing bowl record in the same span.

These college football bowl trends can guide expectations for conference representatives this year.

Watch for games where mid-tier SEC teams face non-Power Five opponents.

The conference’s depth often leads to lopsided results, especially in early bowls like the Birmingham Bowl or Music City Bowl.

Key Player Performances

Individual player stats can have a significant impact on bowl outcomes.

For instance, quarterbacks who excel in postseason play often carry their teams to victory.

Over the past five years, teams with quarterbacks throwing for at least three touchdowns in bowl games have won 85% of those matchups.

Scoring Trends in Bowl Games

Bowl games tend to feature higher scoring than regular-season matchups.

Over the last decade, the average points per game in bowl season has been 56, compared to 52 during the regular season.

This is often attributed to teams taking more risks and less familiar defenses facing new opponents.

Bettors should consider this trend when analyzing over/under lines, particularly in games involving high-scoring teams like Texas or Colorado.

Games like the Alamo Bowl and Holiday Bowl, known for offensive fireworks, often surpass their point totals.

Motivation and Coaching Changes

One of the hardest factors to quantify in bowl games is team motivation.

Teams that narrowly missed the playoff or lost their conference championship often underperform in less prestigious bowls.

Conversely, underdog teams or those with new coaches frequently play with added enthusiasm.

This year, keep an eye on coaching changes that could impact bowl game preparation.

Teams with interim coaches or newly hired staff may struggle with consistency, while others may rally around the change to secure a win.

Underdogs vs. Favorites

Underdogs have performed well during bowl season in recent years, especially in games with spreads under seven points.

Since 2018, underdogs in such matchups have covered the spread in over 55% of games.

These bowl game stats to watch are particularly useful for bettors looking to identify value picks.

Trends to Watch for College Football Bowl Conclusion

By analyzing college football bowl trends and paying attention to bowl game stats to watch, fans and bettors can gain a deeper understanding of what to expect during the postseason.

Stay tuned as the matchups are finalized, and keep these trends and stats in mind to stay ahead of the game!

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Full College Football Bowl Schedule. CFB playoffs start Dec. 20, and CFP quarterfinals Dec. 31-Jan. 1 as major bowls. Semifinals major bowls Jan. 9-10 and #NCAAF National Championship Jan. 20. https://t.co/2YgI6RoTbW

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