U.S. States 2020 Electoral College Winners Expert Analysis

U.S. States 2020 Electoral College Winners Expert Analysis

Written by on October 21, 2020

The U.S. Presidential Election is almost here! Every week, we’ve analyzed and made U.S. political picks. Because we’re so close to the election, this week we’re talking the Electoral College. The United State’s chooses its president based on how the electoral college votes. Even if the candidate loses the popular vote, like Donald Trump in 2016, the candidate can still win the Presidency if the candidate wins enough states. So, which candidate looks best to win the electoral college in the hardest fought states? Check it out so you can get ready and make your bets against their U.S. Politics odds!

Political Betting News | U.S. States Electoral College Winners

U.S. Presidential Election

  • When: November 3, 2020
  • Where: United States

Updated U.S. Presidential Election States Electoral College Odds

Arizona Electoral College 

  • Democratic Candidate -150
  • Republican Candidate +110

Joe Biden is still in the lead, but Trump has something up his sleeve. He’s scaring seniors, and in AZ there are a lot of them, into going against Biden. Joe’s lead is down to a single point in Arizona. That means the state is trending towards Trump.

Electoral College Pick: Republican Candidate 

Florida Electoral College 

  • Democratic Candidate -110
  • Republican Candidate -130

Florida has moved into Trump’s column. The big reason? Seniors and Latinos. We know it sounds crazy, but Trump has picked up a lot of Latino support. Florida seniors, like Arizona seniors, are worried about Biden’s left-leaning policies, including raising taxes.

Electoral College Pick: Republican Candidate 

Georgia Electoral College 

  • Democratic Candidate +130
  • Republican Candidate -170

Here’s another that looks to be in Trump’s favor. The Donald went to Georgia and talked all about how Biden wants to push through a version of the Green New Deal. That doesn’t play in states like Georgia.

Electoral College Pick: Republican Candidate 

Iowa Electoral College 

  • Democratic Candidate +140
  • Republican Candidate -180

Iowa still has a viable ethanol industry. The state also makes corn and puts it into corn syrup. The entire state appears to be anti-Green New Deal. So, Iowa will go to Trump as well.

Electoral College Pick: Republican Candidate  

Michigan Electoral College 

  • Democratic Candidate -250
  • Republican Candidate +170

Trump believes he’s got a shot in Michigan. Maybe, he does. The biggest problem? Although Joe Biden’s platform appears progressive, it won’t be once he wins. Neither Kamala Harris nor Joe Biden has ever instituted a true leftist idea, which means Joe won’t scare away Michigan voters. Not only that, but Joe is strong with the unions.

Electoral College Pick: Democratic Candidate 

Minnesota Electoral College 

  • Democratic Candidate -500
  • Republican Candidate +300

Minnesota has become an extremely blue state. For Trump to win Minnesota, he must get down on his knees and pray. Unless something crazy happens in the next couple of weeks, Joe takes Minnesota.

Electoral College Pick: Democratic Candidate 

Nevada Electoral College 

  • Democratic Candidate -300
  • Republican Candidate +200

Finally, we get a shot at an overlay. Biden had a path to win Nevada. Trump has shut that path off. The latest polls has Biden by 2. That was on October 13.Trump, more likely, is up by 2 at this point.

Electoral College Pick: Republican Candidate 

North Carolina Electoral College 

  • Democratic Candidate -135
  • Republican Candidate +105

Trump is up by a point. He figures to increase that lead the closer we get to Nov. 3.

Electoral College Pick: Republican Candidate

Ohio Electoral College 

  • Democratic Candidate -145
  • Republican Candidate -190

Trump is ahead in Ohio, but Biden is down by just .2 of a percentage point based on the aggregate of all polls. Although the state will likely go to Trump, it makes sense to back the candidate at the better odds.

Electoral College Pick: Democratic Candidate 

Pennsylvania Electoral College 

  • Democratic Candidate -280
  • Republican Candidate +185

Sleepy Joe is ahead by 3.8% points on the aggregate. No poll has Trump ahead although most polls for Pennsylvania show that things fall within the margin of error, meaning Trump could win. The Orange Man has the better odds. He gets the nod.

Electoral College Pick: Republican Candidate

Texas Electoral College 

  • Democratic Candidate +250
  • Republican Candidate -400

Since Biden mentioned taking away guns, every Texan not named Beto O’Rourke decided they’d vote for Trump. -400 is an overlay on the current Commander-in-Chief.

Electoral College Pick: Republican Candidate 

Wisconsin Electoral College 

  • Democratic Candidate -300
  • Republican Candidate +200

Wisconsin is now a toss-up. Two polls taken on Oct. 19 show different results. One has Trump down by 2 points the other has Donny down by 8 points. Joe could win, but why pass on the overlay odds on Citizen Trump?

Electoral College Pick: Republican Candidate

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