Stampeders vs RedBlacks 2018 CFL Grey Cup Betting Preview
- When: Sunday, November 25 at 6:00 PM ET
- Where: Commonwealth Stadium Edmonton, Edmonton, Canada
- TV: TSN
- Live Stream: TSN Direct
- CFL Odds: Calgary Stampeders -4.5
- Total: 53
- Offense: Ottawa 26.84 / Calgary 28.63
- Defense: Ottawa 23.53 / Calgary 19.84
- Passing Yards: Ottawa 301.37 / Calgary 281.42
- Rush Yards: Ottawa 93.79 / Calgary 98.42
- Passing Yards Allowed: Ottawa 264.74 / Calgary 231.47
- Rushing Yards Allowed: Ottawa 100.00 / Calgary 87.53
- Turnover Differential: Ottawa -0.48 / Calgary -0.42
Why Bet on Calgary Stampeders?For the third straight year, the Stampeders (10-9 ATS) finished with the best record in the regular season. After failing to win the title in either of the last two seasons, Calgary is highly motivated.
This season, quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell, who is expected to sign a contract in the NFL, finished third in passing yards with 5,124 while leading everyone in TD passes (35) while running back Don Jackson finished fourth with 924 rushing yards.
Why Bet on Ottawa RedBlacks?The RedBlacks (10-9 ATS) overpowered the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in the Eastern final on a record-setting effort from their quarterback to return to the big dance. This season, quarterback Trevor Harris passed for 5,116 yards with 22 TD tosses Wide receiver Brad Sinopoli finished third in CFL receiving with 1376 yards. Harris was the backup to former quarterback Henry Burris in 2016 final. He said he is “fired up” to play in the final.
“I think it’s all about understanding it’s going to be a lot bigger deal on the outside part of things with the media and with the coverage and whatnot and so I need to realize that and let it have its place but also… understand it’s still the same game for myself, it’s the same way to prepare.”
The two teams faced each other in the Grey Cup two years ago when the RedBlacks defeated the Stampeders 39-33 in Toronto. Still, Mitchell, who appeared in these teams’ last Grey Cup matchup, said he doesn’t see this one as a rematch.
“Don’t build it up to be redemption for the last two,” he told reporters Tuesday night, referencing the fact his team has lost two-straight Grey Cup finals. “(Lots of our) guys weren’t even here for those.
“[We only have] eight or 10 guys from that team, I don’t know how many they (RedBlacks) still have from their team… two of the same competing logos but different game.”
On Tuesday morning from the CFL suspended defensive back Jonathan Rose for this championship game for pushing an official during the Eastern final. Rose finished the regular season tied for league-lead in interceptions with five.
Latest Stampeders vs RedBlacks 2018 Grey Cup Betting Trends
- Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
- Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa’s last 9 games on the road
- Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- Calgary is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary’s last 6 games
Expert Analysis and PredictionI’m going to get right to my expert pick on this matchup by saying that Calgary is the statistically better team on both sides of the ball. The Stampeders finished second in scoring (29.0 ppg) and first in points allowed (20.2 ppg) while Ottawa finished fifth in scoring (25.8 ppg) and third in points allowed (23.3 ppg).
Ottawa has gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Conversely, Calgary is just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 playoff games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Grey Cup games.
Still, Calgary going 4-1 ATS against Ottawa in their last five meetings, I like the Stampeders to win and cover!
Score: Calgary 31 – Ottawa 27