CFL Week 21 Odds, Preview and Picks

Written by on November 1, 2019

With the final week of the 2019 Canadian Football League season on hand, it’s time to offer up one more look at the quartet of matchups that are on tap for the coming weekend. The final week of the regular season kicks off with Montreal on the road at Ottawa. The Saturday triple-header kicks off with Saskatchewan hosting Edmonton in the second half of a home-and-home series. Now, let’s find out which teams are offering the best value this weekend.

CFL Week 21 Odds, Preview and Picks

Montreal (9-8) at Ottawa (3-14)

Montreal has the better record in this matchup, but the Alouettes have alternated wins and losses over their last eight games including a humbling 38-26 home loss against Hamilton last weekend. Ottawa has lost its last 10 games and comes into their regular season finale off an embarrassing 39-9 road loss at Toronto the last time out. While the Redblacks recorded a 30-27 upset road win in overtime in their only meeting this season, Montreal is statistically better than Ottawa on both sides of the ball and they have a lot to play for as they look to hit the playoffs on a positive note. Ottawa is 1-8 ATS in their last nine games and 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games while Montreal has gone 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games. The Alouettes win big to cover the chalk!

Pick: Montreal 35 Ottawa 23

Edmonton (8-9) at Saskatchewan (12-5)

Edmonton has lost six of their last eight games and comes into this contest off a narrow 37-24 home loss against Saskatchewan last weekend as a 2.5-point home underdog. Conversely, the Roughriders have won two straight and five of their last six games while limiting the opposition to 25 points or less in each victory. The Eskimos have gone an uninspiring 1-7 ATS in their last eight games and 0-8 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record. On the flip side of the coin, Saskatchewan has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win and 6-0 ATS in their last six games against a team with a losing record. The Roughriders win and cover with room to spare!

Pick: Saskatchewan 42 Edmonton 24

Toronto (4-13) at Hamilton (14-3)

Toronto has won two of three and comes into this contest off a 39-9 blowout win over Ottawa last weekend as a 7-point home favorite. However, over their last seven games, the Argonauts are just 3-4. Red-hot Hamilton has won five straight and nine of their last 10 games overall including a 38-26 win over Edmonton last weekend. Hamilton has also won two straight in this rivalry including a 38-27 home win as an 11-point favorite in September. With Toronto going 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record and Hamilton going a near-perfect 6–0-2 ATS in their last eight games following an SU win, I believe the handwriting is on the wall for a huge win and cover for the Tiger-cats.

Pick: Hamilton 38 Toronto 23

Calgary (11-6) at BC (5-12)

Calgary had their two-game winning streak snapped in their narrow 29-28 road loss against Winnipeg one game after beating the Blue Bombers 37-33 at home. The Stampeders have won six of their last eight games overall. BC has dropped two straight after winning their previous four games and comes into this contest off a 27-19 home loss against Saskatchewan last weekend.

While the Lions are playing at home in this matchup, I’m stunned that Calgary isn’t a bigger favorite. I know the Stampeders are an uninspiring 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss and 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games overall, but BC has gone a just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record and a nearly winless 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games in November. The Stampeders have a ton to play for as they get set for the playoffs and that makes them the easy pick to win and cover the spread.

Pick: Calgary 33 BC 22

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