NCAA Football Week 11 Parlay Picks

Can things get any worse for Bobby Petrino and the reeling Louisville Cardinals as they get set to visit surprising Syracuse? Can the 2018 season come to an end fast enough for a beleaguered Maryland Terrapins program?

Last but not least, can the Texas A&M Aggies cover the chalk as a double-digit home favorite against an Ole Miss team that looks eerily identical to their Week 11 SEC opponents?

With the 2018 college football betting action nearing its completion and the start of conference championship tournament play getting underway, the trio of Week 11 expert picks that you’re about to get should help you cash in early and often on three contests that are all offering a bunch of betting value in my expert opinion.  

NCAA Football Week 11 Parlay Picks

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Louisville (2-7) at Syracuse (7-2)

• When: Friday, November 9, 2018, 7:00 PM ET
• Where: Carrier Dome, Syracuse, New York
• NCAAF Odds: Syracuse -21

Louisville has lost six straight games while looking increasingly worse with each performance. The Cardinals never put up an effort in their embarrassing 77-16 road loss to No. 2 Clemson on Saturday while failing to cover the chalk as a whopping 39-point underdog. Syracuse has won three straight including their impressive 41-24 beatdown of Wake Forest this past weekend as a 6-point road favorite.

If you’re worried about the Orange covering the 21-point spread in this matchup, I wouldn’t be. Louisville has been on the wrong end of a 24-point loss, a 25-point loss, a 21-point loss and their disgraceful 61-point loss last weekend. Syracuse averages almost 22 points per game more than Louisville while simultaneously giving p just over 12 fewer points per game defensively than the Cardinals.

Louisville is 0-5 ATS in their last five road games and 3-13 in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record. Syracuse is 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win and 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win.

While the Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings against the Orange, I think it’s high time that Syracuse brings that streak to an abrupt halt – even as a three-touchdown favorite. I have absolutely no faith whatsoever in Syracuse and you shouldn’t either.

NCAA Football Week 10 Pick: Syracuse 56 – Louisville 28

Maryland (5-4) at Indiana (4-5)

• When: Saturday, November 10, 2018, 12:00 PM ET
• Where: Memorial Stadium “The Rock”, Bloomington, Indiana
• NCAAF Odds: Indiana -3.5

Maryland has alternated SU wins and losses over their last eight games and probably just want this nightmare of a season to come to an abrupt halt following their 24-3 home loss against Michigan State on Saturday in which they never came close to covering the spread as a 3-point underdog.

Indiana has lost four straight and five of six overall including their 38-31 overtime loss against Minnesota on October 26. Despite their losing ways, 76 percent of public bettors like the Hoosiers to hold it down at home and I’m among them. I know Maryland is the better statistical team on both sides of the ball and that they’ve gone 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit home and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.

I also know that Indiana has gone 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 conference games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss, but the Hoosiers are completely and utterly desperate and playing at home. I’m going with the Hoosiers for the narrow SU win and ATS cover.

NCAA Football Week 10 Pick: Indiana 31 – Maryland 24

Mississippi (5-4) at Texas A&M (5-4)

• When: Saturday, November 10, 2018, 12:00 PM ET
• Where: Kyle Field, College Station, Texas
• NCAAF Odds: Texas A&M -12

Both, Ole Miss and Texas A&M have dropped two straight games with the Rebels ending up on the wrong end of a crushing 48-44 home loss against South Carolina on Saturday and the Aggies suffering an equally close 28-24 road loss against Auburn. For this matchup, I’m going to advise you to back the Ole Miss Rebels to cover the chalk, simply because they shouldn’t even be a double-digit favorite.

While Ole Miss gives up over 14 points per game more than Texas A&M, the rebels also average 10points per game more than their SEC rivals in this matchup. Mississippi might be 1-6 ATS in their last seven games, but Texas A&M is 5-18 ATS in their last 23 games following an SU loss, plus the rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings against the Aggies. Simple math tells me Ole Miss covers the chalk with room to spare.

NCAA Football Week 10 Pick: Texas A&M 31 – Ole Miss 27