With Week 10 of the college football season now officially in the books, everyone is now just sitting back to wait and see what the playoff committee does with the rankings. It is unlikely that what they come up with on Tuesday night is going to differ too wildly from the AP and Coach’s Polls, but you just never know.
While we wait to see what the committee comes up with, we can look ahead to the Week 11 schedule, with games going off every night starting on Tuesday. We are going to focus on the Saturday games and will be making out ATS NCAAF Betting picks in this piece.
2019 College Football Week 11 ATS Betting Picks
Vanderbilt Commodores at Florida Gators (-25)
The Florida Gators saw their season come to an end, at least in terms of the playoff picture, last weekend with a loss to the Georgia Bulldogs. They could still potentially win the SEC East and get to the Conference Championship Game, but with 2 losses under their belt, the playoffs are gone.They still need to keep winning, though, so look for them to come out big this weekend when they host the Vanderbilt Commodores as a 25-point favorite. Vanderbilt are just 1-7 ATS this season, while the Gators are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6.
College Football Week 11 Betting Trends
- Commodores are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games this season
- Commodores are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played on a Saturday
- Gators are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games
- Gators are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played in week 11
Charlotte 49ers (-11 ½) at UTEP Miners
Let’s cast the net a little wider for our next pick, as we head out of the Power 5 and into Conference USA territory. The 49ers come into this one at 4-5 on the season and will be up against a UTEP team that has just a single win through their opening 8 games of the season.It’s when you look at what UTEP has done against the spread, though, that you realize just how good a bet Charlotte might be in this one. The Miners are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games and are winless in their last 8 games versus Conference USA opponents. This looks to be a little more lopsided than the current 11 ½ point spread.
College Football Week 11 Betting Trends
- 49ers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
- Miners are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games
- Miners are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games played on a Saturday
Illinois Fighting Illini (+14 ½) at Michigan State Spartans
This is one of those games where there are two very specific sets of trends that could sway you in either direction. In the last 10 meetings between these two teams, it has been the Spartans who have dominated, going 8-2 SU and ATS in those games. That would suggest that you automatically take the Spartans to cover, but let’s take a look at what is happening this season.
Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6, while the Fighting Illini is 5-1. Furthermore, the Spartans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games versus Big Ten opposition. I am on Illinois to cover as the underdog.
College Football Week 11 Betting Trends
- Fighting Illini are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
- Fighting Illini are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Big 10 conference
- Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-8) at Duke Blue Devils
The Notre Dam Fighting Irish are another big team that has seen their playoff hopes dashes after going 6-2 in their first 8 games. Things could have been a whole lot worse, though, as they barely escaped with a 21-20 win over Virginia Tech last week.I am going to go somewhat against the grain with this pick, though, as the trends would seem to point to the Blue Devils covering, as they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus an independent, while the Irish are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 November games. The 8-points in this one is certainly manageable for the Notre Dame here.
College Football Week 11 Betting Trends
- Fighting Irish are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games played in November
- Blue Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Independent conference
- Blue Devils are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games played in November
More Week 11 NCAA Football Betting News
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