Week 11 of the college football season was one that brought a change to the first rankings released by the playoff committee, with no less than 2 teams in the top 4 falling to a loss. LSU knocked off Alabama on the road, an upset win that we called in out picks last week, while Penn State lost their unbeaten status to the Minnesota Golden Gophers, a team likely to make a big leap in the rankings when they are delivered on Tuesday night.
The playoff door has been swung wide open, but which teams will take advantage of the opening? We might get some answers to that question in Week 12, so let’s look ahead and make some SU NCAAF Betting picks for the coming weekend.
2019 College Football Week 12 SU Betting Picks
TCU Horned Frogs over Texas Tech Red Raiders
In the grand scheme of things, this game may not seem particularly important, but the winner of this one will be just one more win away from becoming bowl eligible, while the loser may end up missing out on bowl season entirely. TCU are 1-4 in their last 5 games and are coming off a tough OT loss to Baylor last weekend.
Texas Tech are 4-10 SU in their last 14 and are also just 2-9 SU in their last 11 games versus a conference opponent. The Red Raiders are 3-1 at home this season, but I think they end up losing in a close one.
College Football Week 12 Betting Trends
- Horned Frogs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
- Horned Frogs are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games played in week 12
- Red Raiders are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games this season
- Red Raiders are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference
Georgia Bulldogs over Auburn Tigers
One of the teams who will have benefitted from last week’s results is the Georgia Bulldogs, as they will almost certainly move up a spot or two from the #6 seed that they occupied heading into the weekend. The SEC Championship Game looks to be in their grasp, but they really need to win out if they are to be in the playoffs this season.
Georgia has won 7 of their last 10 meetings with Auburn, and while they lost the last time they made the trip there, I think the Bulldogs win in what will likely be a low-scoring affair this Saturday.
College Football Week 12 Betting Trends
- Bulldogs are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games
- Bulldogs are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games played in November
- Tigers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games
- Tigers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games played in week 12
Minnesota Golden Gophers over Iowa Hawkeyes
Prior to the start of Week 11, the Minnesota Golden Gophers were unbeaten, but their strength of schedule saw them get little love from the playoff committee. After a big win over Penn State last Saturday, they should now officially be on the radar. They are in the driver’s seat for a spot in the Big Ten Conference Championship Game, with a win this weekend all but punching their ticket.
The Golden Gophers are going to need to be careful not to have a letdown week after their massive Week 11 victory, but I think they avoid that on their way to 10-0.
College Football Week 12 Betting Trends
- Golden Gophers are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games
- Golden Gophers are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against Iowa
- Hawkeyes are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games
- Hawkeyes are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played on a Saturday
Arizona State Sun Devils over Oregon State Beavers
This is perhaps a little bit of a dodgy bet given that the Sun Devils have now lost their last 3 games and are about to head out on the road to face a conference opponent. Their defense has gone AWOL over the last couple of weeks, which is not good news with the Beavers coming up.
When they click, their offense is dangerous, but they have been altogether too inconsistent this season. These two have split their last 10 meetings, but the Sun Devils have won 4 of the last 6. A risky one here, but I am taking Arizona State SU.
College Football Week 12 Betting Trends
- Sun Devils are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
- Sun Devils are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played on a Saturday
- Beavers are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games
- Beavers are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games played in November
More Week 12 College Football Betting News
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