NCAAF 2021 #25 Arkansas at #2 Alabama Betting Analysis

Two of the SEC’s best clash on Saturday when the #2 Alabama Crimson Tide welcome the #25 Arkansas Razorbacks. A lot is on the line for both teams. Alabama must prove it deserves to remain a top four College Football Playoff choice. Arkansas wants to show they’re deserving of a New Year’s Day Bowl bid. Can Bama cover the massive spread? Will Arkansas keep it close? Check out NCAA Football odds, analysis, and a free pick for Arkansas at Alabama. 

NCAA Football – Arkansas Razorbacks vs Alabama Crimson Tide

NCAAF Week 12 Betting: #25 Arkansas at #2 Alabama Game Odds & Info

• When: Saturday, Nov. 20 at 3:30 pm ET 
• Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
• TV / Streaming: CBS / Paramount +
• ATS Odds: Alabama -20 ½ 
• Moneyline Odds: Arkansas +900 / Alabama -1500 
• Over/Under Odds: 58  

Why bet on Arkansas versus Alabama?

The Razorbacks really came on in the win against LSU. Not only did Arkansas outlast the Tigers and win in overtime, but they did so in Baton Rouge and by holding LSU to 13 points. Arkansas’ defense played great in the win. If the defense plays well enough on Saturday to hold Alabama to 28 to 35 points, Arkansas should be in a position to cover the spread. 

Arkansas Razorbacks Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 440.3

• Passing Yards: 206.3

• Rushing Yards: 234.0

• Points Scored: 30.9

• Turnovers: 4

Arkansas Razorbacks Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 346.9

• Passing Yards: 195.7

• Rushing Yards: 151.2

• Points Scored: 22.9

• Takeaways: 10

Why bet on Alabama versus Arkansas?

Although Alabama is just 6-4 ATS this season, the second-ranked team in the nation has gone 3-1 ATS in their last 4 with covers against Mississippi State, Tennessee, and as a -51 ½ chalk versus overmatched New Mexico State. The only non-cover happened versus the LSU Tigers, which makes sense. LSU and Alabama are rivals. So we shouldn’t read too much into LSU sticking with Bama. 

Alabama Crimson Tide Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 484.7

• Passing Yards: 322.6

• Rushing Yards: 162.1

• Points Scored: 44.6

• Turnovers: 5

Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 288.3

• Passing Yards: 206.7

• Rushing Yards: 81.6

• Points Scored: 18.2

• Takeaways: 12

Relevant Trends for #25 Arkansas Razorbacks at #2 Alabama Crimson Tide

• Razorbacks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games
• Arkansas is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog
• Over is 5-1 in the Razorbacks last 6 games as an underdog
• Crimson Tide is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games
• Alabama is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games
• Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings

#25 Arkansas at #2 Alabama Final Betting Prediction

This is the time of the season when Nick Saban starts to peak the Tide. Saban is a master at timing. Alabama may not lose another game straight up.

There’s also a chance Bama covers in every game from now until the National Championship. Even if Alabama struggles against Auburn next week, they should cover versus the Razorbacks on Saturday.

Arkansas is an okay passing team. The Razorbacks depend on a rushing attack that’s one of the best in the nation. But Alabama ranks third versus the rush when allowing just 81.3 per game. 

Bryce Young will light up an Arkansas defense that yielded 52 to Ole Miss, 38 to Auburn, and 28 to Mississippi State. Alabama has no excuses. They should blow out the Razorbacks and easily cover the 20 ½.  

NCAAF Week 12 Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide

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