Arkansas at Auburn NCAA Football Week 4 Preview

Auburn hosts Arkansas in a game where most expect the Tigers to absolutely demolish the Razorbacks. Arkansas hasn’t looked great this season versus suspect competition while Auburn has already battled Washington and LSU. Does Arkansas have any shot at keeping it close?

Arkansas at Auburn NCAA Football Week 4 Spread & Preview

“It’s all phases right now. We’ve got to have more consistency. We’ve got to keep playing.” pic.twitter.com/oVdF5rSgem

— Razorback Football (@RazorbackFB) September 15, 2018

When: Saturday, Sep. 22. 5:30pm Where: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL TV: SEC Network Radio: Arkansas / Auburn Live Stream: WatchESPN ATS Odds: Auburn -27.5 (-110) Over/Under Total Odds: TBA

Weather Forecast

• Partly Cloudy: 27^°C/80^°F
• Humidity: 66%
• Precipitation: 7%
• Wind: 3 mph SE
• Cloud Cover: 35%
• Type of Stadium: Open

Why Arkansas is a good bet?

Arkansas scored 55 points against Eastern Illinois in a great 55-20 victory on Sep. 1. The Razorbacks then had a let down against Colorado State. As a -14 road favorite, Arkansas lost 27-34 straight up to the Rams. It’s still difficult to understand how Arkansas lost that game. They held Colorado State to only 1.7 yards per carry, and 40 total rushing yards while the Razorbacks rushed for 299 yards off 5.6 yards per carry. Arkansas probably should have beaten Colorado State by 3 touchdowns. From that perspective, the Razorbacks have a shot to keep it close versus a superior Auburn team.

Team Statistics

Offense:

• Average Score For: 33
• Total Yards: 402
• Pass Yards: 233.67
• Rush Yards: 168.33

Defense:

• Average Score Against: 32.67
• Total Yards: 387.33
• Pass Yards: 300
• Rush Yards: 87.33

Why Auburn is a good bet?

Auburn’s a solid football team. The Tigers have already battled Washington and LSU this season. Arkansas doesn’t come close to comparing to either one of those Big 5 Conference heavyweights. In between games versus the Huskies and Baton Rouge Tigers, Auburn beat Alcorn State 63-9. Auburn should have no trouble stopping Arkansas’ rushing attack. Auburn held Washington to 102 rushing yards and the Huskies have one of the best offensive lines in the nation.

Team Statistics

Offense:

• Average Score For: 35
• Total Yards: 438.33
• Pass Yards: 203
• Rush Yards: 235.33

Defense:

• Average Score Against: 15.67
• Total Yards: 324.33
• Pass Yards: 234.33
• Rush Yards: 90

Latest NCAA Football Betting Trends

• Arkansas is 4-12-1 ATS in the last 17 games
• Arkansas is 1-5 SU in the last 6 games
• The total went OVER in 4 of Arkansas’s last 5 games when playing Auburn
• Auburn is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games
• Auburn is 11-4 SU in the last 15 games
• The total went OVER in 4 of Auburn’s last 5 games when playing Arkansas

Arkansas at Auburn Final Analysis:

Sounds bad, but Arkansas’ best shot to cover the spread on the road against Auburn is if the Tigers suffer an LSU hangover. LSU is Auburn’s second biggest rival in the SEC. Only Alabama presents a bigger rival to Auburn than LSU. Arkansas must get their rushing attack going to have any shot versus the talented Auburn defense. Unless the Razorbacks figured out something during their bye week, it’s hard to see Auburn not stopping the Razorbacks’ rush. Again, Auburn handled one of the top offensive lines in the nation from pushing them around in their Week 1 game against Washington. Arkansas isn’t Washington. Auburn covers the spread on Sep. 22.

NCAA Football Week 4 Pick: Auburn