After losing to Texas and then struggling to beat South Florida, many put a fork into the Alabama Crimson Tide. But Bama has proven since the tough win over South Florida that they remain one of the SEC’s top programs. On Saturday, the Tide hope to put any doubts to rest when they host the Arkansas Razorbacks.
Will Bama cover what has become a massive spread? Or will K.J. Jefferson and the Hogs keep the game close?
Check out the odds on College Football that MyBookie has for this game, plus the betting analysis and free pick for Missouri Tigers versus Kentucky Wildcats.
Arkansas vs Alabama Odds and Betting Prediction for the Game | MyBookie Week 7 Regular Season Preview
Arkansas Razorbacks at 11 Alabama Crimson Tide | NCAAF Week 7
ATS Odds: Alabama -19.5
Money Line Odds: Arkansas +760 / Alabama -1408
Over/Under Odds: 46.5
Saturday, October 14th at 12:00 pm ET | ESPN
Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
Why Bet on Arkansas versus Alabama
Arkansas is on a 4-match losing streak, but the losses were closer than the spread in this game. The most lopsided loss among the 4 was by 12 points against the Texas A&M Aggies.
The Hogs lost by just 7 to BYU Ole Miss and by 3 in a game against LSU in Baton Rouge. The Razorbacks fell to Ole Miss by 7 points on the road.
So although the Razorbacks will find it difficult to win this game straight up, they’ve already proven that they can hang with quality teams and win against the spread.
Arkansas Razorbacks Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 332.8
- Passing Yards: 221.3
- Rushing Yards: 111.5
- Points Scored: 31.3
- Turnovers: 1
Arkansas Razorbacks Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 340.7
- Passing Yards: 214.7
- Rushing Yards: 126.0
- Points Scored: 25.3
- Takeaways: 7
Why Bet on Alabama Versus Arkansas
After the closer than it should have been victory over the the South Florida Bulls, Nick Saban tore into his squad. The result?
Alabama has gone 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 games. The Crimson Tide beat Ole Miss 24-10, Mississippi State 40-17, and Texas A&M 26-20. The win over the Aggies is huge because it happened on the road.
Saban won’t allow his team to let up. We should expect an old school Alabama squad on Saturday, one that shuts down Arkansas’ offense and moves the ball at will.
Alabama Crimson Tide Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 360.0
- Passing Yards: 216.3
- Rushing Yards: 143.7
- Points Scored: 31.2
- Turnovers: 2
Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 299.5
- Passing Yards: 193.3
- Rushing Yards: 106.2
- Points Scored: 15.2
- Takeaways: 7
Alabama versus Arkansas Final Betting Prediction
Nick Saban got angry and so did his team. The Alabama Crimson Tide have flourished since Saban’s behind closed doors rallying speech.
No player on Alabama’s side has taken Saban’s directive of squashing opponents to heart as much as quarterback Jalen Milroe. Texas made Milroe look like a mediocre signal-caller.
Saban’s master stroke of benching Jalen in the South Florida game lit a fire under the QB. Since Milroe returned to the starting lineup, has played great, completing 81% of his passes against Ole Miss, 83.3% against Mississippi State, and throwing for 321 yards and 3 TDs against Texas A&M.
Bama’s D has also stepped it up. For sure, Arkansas is a solid team. Don’t let their record fool you, the Hogs can ball. However, Alabama is on a different level right now. The Crimson Tide roll to a fourth straight win and cover.
NCAAF Week 7 Pick: Alabama -19.5 | Bet Arkansas vs. Alabama Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game
Arkansas Last 5
| Date | OPP | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 10/7/23 | @ MISS | L27-20 |
| 9/30/23 | vs TA&M | L34-22 |
| 9/23/23 | @ LSU | L345-31 |
| 9/16/23 | vs BYU | L38-31 |
| 9/9/23 | vs KENT | W28-6 |
Alabama Last 5
| Date | OPP | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 10/7/23 | @ TA&M | W26-20 |
| 9/30/23 | @ MSST | W40-17 |
| 9/23/23 | @ MISS | W24-10 |
| 9/16/23 | @ USF | W17-3 |
| 9/9/23 | vs TEX | L34-24 |
NCAAF Week 7: Arkansas at Alabama Betting Trends
- Alabama has a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall over its last 10 contests.
- The Crimson Tide have gone over the total in four of their last 10 outings.
- The Crimson Tide are 11-4-0 ATS in conference action this season.
- The Crimson Tide record 17.8 more points per game (83.3) than the Razorbacks give up (65.5).
- Alabama has a 17-6 record against the spread and a 23-3 record overall when putting up more than 65.5 points.
- Alabama’s 25 games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 153.5 points eight times.
- Alabama has won 20, or 90.9%, of the 22 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- The average total in Alabama’s games this season is 151.9, 1.6 points fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
- So far this season, the Crimson Tide have put together a 17-8-0 record against the spread.
- Alabama has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -400.
- The implied probability of a win from Alabama, based on the moneyline, is 80%.
MyBookie offers College Football futures to win the 2023 NCAA Division I FBS football season.
Who Will Reign Supreme? 2024 College Football National Championship Odds Revealed!
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes | +260 |
| Georgia Bulldogs | +360 |
| Oregon Ducks | +410 |
| Texas Longhorns | +450 |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | +1425 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | +1650 |
| Tennessee Volunteers | +2200 |
| Miami (FL) Hurricanes | +2900 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | +4000 |
| SMU Mustangs | +4000 |
| Indiana Hoosiers | +4900 |
| Clemson Tigers | +5200 |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | +8000 |
| Ole Miss Rebels | +11000 |
| Boise State Broncos | +14000 |
| South Carolina Gamecocks | +15000 |
| Texas A&M Aggies | +15000 |
| Iowa State Cyclones | +19000 |
| Colorado Buffaloes | +19000 |
| Tulane Green Waves | +20000 |
| BYU Cougars | +22000 |
| Army Black Knights | +75000 |
| Kansas State Wildcats | +75000 |
| UNLV Rebels | +95000 |
| Washington State Cougars | +100000 |
| Rest of the Field | +100000 or higher |
2024 College Football Week 16 Schedule
Next Games in the NCAAF Calendar
Week 16 of the 2024 College Football season features a thrilling matchup between top-ranked teams.
| Visit | Home | Time | TV | Venue | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday, December 14, 2024 | |||||
| Navy | @ Army | CBS | Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD | ||
| TBD | @ TBD | 8:00 PM | CBS | Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN | |
We expect this not to be a real competitive game but a great game to bet on. Best of luck with all your College Football betting!
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