Who's the favorite to win the NCAAF National Championship 2025?

We are heading into the homestretch of the college football season, with the majority of teams now having just 2 or 3 games left on their schedule.

That is not a lot of time to make a move, especially for those teams sitting outside the top 12 looking in.

My NCAAF Betting Analysis

The final 3 weeks of the season are going to be huge, as are the Conference Championship games, as those will dictate the teams that head into the first ever 12-team playoff.

The bookies have their ideas of who they believe will get in and win it all, but before we get to that, let’s take a look at the current top 12:

POLL ALERT: Oregon remains No. 1 in AP Top 25 ahead of Ohio State, Texas, Penn State and Indiana; Georgia and Miami out of top 10.

Full poll: https://t.co/7dTTUiSC1j pic.twitter.com/biTXKQK6rm
— AP Top 25 (@AP_Top25) November 10, 2024

There are definitely some surprises in that current top 12, but the chances of the current rankings remaining the same after the final few weeks of the season are slim to none, especially when you will have some of these teams going head-to-head with one another before all is said and done.

With that in mind, let’s take a look at the top 3 teams on the bookies board and their remaining games. Once we have done that, we will talk about a few teams that could upset the apple cart and make a run at a National Championship.

Ohio State Buckeyes +330

For a team that is expected to be in the National Championship conversation every single season, the last few years have been disappointing to say the least. The Buckeyes have 3 games remaining on their schedule, including a tricky one against another team currently sitting in the top 5. Their remaining schedule looks like this:

At Northwestern Wildcats
Vs Indiana Hoosiers
Vs Michigan Wolverines

“In November you gotta play your best football game. This is the playoffs and everything is on the line here. Our opportunity to get to Indianapolis is on the line this week and we are playing in November. We have to play our best football in November, so I am expecting just like… pic.twitter.com/87TgWcnJjx
— Ohio State Buckeyes 🌰 (@OhioStAthletics) November 14, 2024

This weekend certainly looks like a lock, but that game against Indiana looms large, as a loss there would likely mean that the Buckeyes would not be in the Big Ten Championship Game. Their loss to Oregon is by no means one that can be considered poor in the eyes of the Playoff Committee, and I would be stunned if the Buckeyes are not in the final 12, unless of course they lose a couple of those final 3 games. Let’s not forget that while this is a down season for Michigan, that rivalry game has a way of delivering the unexpected.

Oregon Ducks +370

There are certainly plenty of fans and pundits who will argue that the Ducks have had an easier schedule than a good portion of the current top 12, as they have only had 2 games against ranked teams. All they can do is play the schedule ahead of them and continue to win in convincing style, which they have certainly been doing to this point. Their chances of an unbeaten regular season look good, as both of their remaining games look very winnable indeed, and those games are:

At Wisconsin Badgers
Vs Washington Huskies

Focused on consistency. #GoDucks x #QuackMinute pic.twitter.com/CJm6gf03mG
— Oregon Football (@oregonfootball) November 13, 2024

I think the chances of the Ducks ending the season at 12-0 are very good indeed, which would put them in the Big Ten Championship Game, likely with a repeat game against Ohio State, or perhaps a matchup with Indiana. At this point, I think they have done enough to make the playoffs, but can they go all the way? They will have some tough games ahead of them, but at these odds, they are a very tempting pick.

Texas Longhorns +470

This has been an excellent season for the Texas Longhorns, who appear to have adapted to life in the SEC rather nicely. They have lost just once this season, with that one coming at home to the Georgia Bulldogs, so no great shame there. That loss could have sent them spiraling, but this team has rebounded nicely with back-to-back wins that has them in very good shape in the SEC West. They still have some challenges ahead of them in the final weeks, with their schedule looking like this:

Quinn Ewers has been named a semifinalist for the Walter Camp Player of the Year award 🤘@QuinnEwers x @WalterCampFF pic.twitter.com/WSVtcXYCyF
— Texas Football (@TexasFootball) November 13, 2024

This is a schedule that looks pretty manageable for the Longhorns, but going on the road in the final game of the season against a ranked Aggies team could be what decides which of those teams goes to the SEC Championship Game. The Longhorns still look like a good bet to make it to the final four, which would mean an opening round bye in the playoffs, but they will be well aware that there is still some hard work to be done before they get there.

Other Teams to Consider

There are a lot of huge games in the final few weeks of the season, but there are perhaps none bigger than the one coming this weekend that will see Georgia and Tennessee square off. This could prove to be the game that decides which of these two teams goes to the SEC Championship Game. If Tennessee (+2300) wins, they could certainly be in a position to land in the top 4.

For Georgia (+820), this is for all intents and purposes an elimination game. There is probably no way into the playoffs for this team if they pick up their 3rd loss of the season. The fact that the bookies still have the Bulldogs so high on the board is a sure sign that they feel this team is still in it.

We do need to also talk about the Penn State Nittany Lions (+2300), who are not getting a ton of love even though they are currently ranked in the top 4. They have 3 games remaining against non-ranked opposition, as well as a shot at a spot in the Big Ten Championship Game. If they can win out, those odds will shorten, so now might be the time to get in with the Nittany Lions if you believe they can win it all.

🌹🚨SPOILER ALERT🚨🌹

This postseason, tune in for the most dramatic College Football Playoff ever…#CFBPlayoff 🏈🏆@ABCNetwork • #GoldenBachelorette • @ESPN • @ESPNPR • @JessePalmerTV pic.twitter.com/ejm018WOzi
— College Football Playoff (@CFBPlayoff) November 14, 2024

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2021 National Championship: Could Pittsburgh make noise?

Believe it or not, we are now past the halfway point of the 2021 college football season. Georgia (+110), Alabama (+250) and Ohio State (+500) remain the three favorites to win the national championship, but let’s take a look at big riser Pittsburgh (+3300) after the Panthers beat Clemson 27-17 this past week – the Panthers have a two-game lead in the loss column in the ACC’s Coastal Division. They are 6-1, somehow losing to MAC school Western Michigan early in the season.

Let’s take a look at how the teams are coming in so you can place your NCAAF bets.

Analysis College Football Championship 2021

Rising star QB Pitt quarterback Kenny Pickett put his name in the Heisman Trophy race in the win over six-time ACC champion Clemson as he completed 25 of 39 passes to overtake Alex Van Pelt for the most career completions in school history. The fifth-year senior ran for two drive-extending dives late in the fourth quarter after the Tigers had drawn within 10.

Pickett has now thrown 23 TD against just a single interception through seven games. Pickett has 81 for his career (62 passing, 18 rushing and one receiving). He needs one to tie Dan Marino’s career TD responsibility record of 82 (79 passing, three rushing) set from 1979-82. Pickett is also eyeing Pitt’s school record for total offense. He presently ranks second with 10,983 yards and needs just 166 to eclipse Alex Van Pelt’s record of 11,148 set from 1989-92.

Pitt’s 27 points marked the most scored against Clemson this year in regulation. (In its 27-21 double-overtime loss at NC State, Clemson surrendered 14 in regulation.) The Tigers entered the game surrendering an ACC-low 12.5 points per game, the second fewest in the nation. Pitt was also the first offense to top 400 yards against Clemson this season.

Receiver Jordan Addison is meriting strong Biletnikoff Award consideration with his production. Addison is tied for the national lead with 10 touchdown catches, already the most at Pitt since 2016. However, Addison is in the concussion protocol after exiting Saturday’s win over Clemson early.

Addison took a big shot in the second quarter of Saturday’s tilt but remained in the game until the following quarter. Hawaii graduate transfer Melquise Stovall assumed his role and will do so again on Saturday if Addison can’t go. Addison’s loss would sting. The star receiver has a 34-586-9 line this fall.

While Pickett might be the best quarterback in the ACC, Brandon Hill might be the best safety in the league. Against Clemson he had a team-high 11 tackles and three pass breakups, both personal bests. The Tigers completed just 47% of their passes for a mere 151 yards. Hill was named a semifinalist for the Jim Thorpe Award on Monday, going to the nation’s top defensive back. Hill leads the team in tackles (46) and pass breakups (six). He has one interception, a game-clinching pick in Pitt’s 41-34 victory at Tennessee last month.

This week, Pittsburgh is -10 vs. Miami (Fla.). In addition to Coastal implications, a win over Miami would give Pitt a 7-1 record for the first time since 2009.

Pitt could be on track to face unbeaten Wake Forest (+10000) in the ACC title game. The Deacons have started their season 7-0 for the second time in program history (1944). The Deacons seven-game win streak is tied for the program’s longest in school history with the other coming in 1944. Wake rose to No. 13 in the AP poll this week. Wake Forest’s highest ranking as a program in the AP poll is 11th that came on Oct. 20, 1947. This is the first time that Wake Forest has been ranked higher than 14th since that aforementioned date.

The Demon Deacons are one of just nine remaining unbeaten schools in the country, one of five in the Power-5 and the only in the ACC. Wake Forest has scored 302 combined points this season, which is on pace to break the single season record from 2017 when Wake Forest tallied 459 points. Wake Forest is currently averaging 43.1 points per game, which would be another school-record setting season.

The Deacons are -16.5 this Saturday at home vs. Duke. Wake Forest holds a mark of 18-5 vs. Duke since 2000, winning three of the last four matchups.

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