While the opening few weeks of the season are important in college football, most are of the belief that it’s when the conference schedule kicks in when things really start to heat up. The playoffs are the goal of every team in the Power 5 conferences, but the reality is that there is really only a select few who have a legitimate shot at getting in. One of the most effective ways to creep into the conversation and get the attention of the playoff committee is to run the table in conference play and then win the conference championship game.
In the Big 12 Conference, the Oklahoma Sooners have won it back to back after the game was reinstated a couple of years ago. They look good again this season, which means that only one slot might be open. The TCU Horned Frogs made it in 2 years ago and will be looking to do so again as they begin their conference schedule at home to the Kansas Jayhawks on Saturday. TCU is favored by 15 ½, with the point total set at 49 ½.
Kansas vs TCU 2019 College Football Week 5 Odds, Game Info & Pick
- When: Saturday, September 28, 12 PM EST
- Where: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth
- TV: FS1
- Radio: SiriusXM
- Live Stream: Fox Sports Go
- College Football Week 5 Odds: Kansas -15.5 (Total 49)
USC vs Washington 2019 College Football Week 5 Spread & Betting Analysis
Weather Forecast
- Mostly Cloudy: 29°C/84°F
- Humidity: 66%
- Precipitation: 15%
- Cloud Cover: 66%
- Wind: 13 mph S
- Stadium Type: Open
Why bet on the Kansas Jayhawks?
It has been an uneven start to the season for the Kansas Jayhawks. They have split their opening 4 games to post a 2-2 record, but perhaps more importantly, they have already dropped a game in conference play, going down 29-24 to the West Virginia Mountaineers last weekend.With this run to start the season, the Jayhawks are now just 3-10 SU in their last 13 games, and with the bulk of conference games coming later in the season, you get an idea of just how poor they were versus Big 10 opponents last season by looking at that run. In fact, they are now winless in their last 5 against conference foes, as well as being just 1-6 SU in their last 7 outings versus TCU. That said, Kansas did manage to cover the spread in 6 of those 7 games.
Team Stats
Offense- Points per Game: 26.33
- Passing Yards: 195.33
- Rushing Yards: 201.67
- Yards per Play: 6.24
Defense
- Points per Game: 17.67
- Passing Yards: 185.67
- Rushing Yards: 182.00
- Yards per Play: 4.97
Why bet on the TCU Horned Frogs?
The one thing that we can usually always expect from TCU is that we are going to see a lot of offense, which has certainly been the case through their first 3 games of the season. They came out strong, scoring 39 and 34 points, respectively in their opening 2 games, surrendering just 20 points total in those outings.The wheels came off the defense in a big way in their last game, a 41-38 loss to SMU in a game that the Horned Frogs started as a 7-point favorite. That puts TCU at 1-2 ATS this season, taking them to 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games. Things get even worse at home, where they have covered just once in their last 9 games. On the positive side of things, they are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games in September.
Team Stats
Offense- Points per Game: 36.50
- Passing Yards: 179.50
- Rushing Yards: 273.00
- Yards per Play: 5.55
Defense
- Points per Game: 10.00
- Passing Yards: 147.50
- Rushing Yards: 62.00
- Yards per Play: 3.61
Virginia vs Notre Dame 2019 College Football Week 5 Lines & Game Prediction
Kansas vs TCU College Football Week 5 Betting Trends
- Jayhawks are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference
- Jayhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in September
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas’ last 6 games played on a Saturday
- Horned Frogs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
- Horned Frogs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas Christian’s last 7 games against Kansas
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Kansas vs TCU
I think TCU are a good bet to win this one, but I am very much on the fence about the point spread given their recent difficulties in covering. I think the better bet here might be the OVER. If you want to take a bit of a risk, take the Horned Frogs to cover.Score: Kansas Jayhawks 17 – TCU Horned Frogs 35
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