Surprising 3-0 Kentucky hosts #14 Mississippi State in an important SEC clash on Saturday, Sep. 22. Kentucky looked great when upsetting Florida in Week 2. Can they pull off another big upset win over a ranked SEC rival in Week 4? Check out NCAAF odds, analysis, and a pick against the spread when Mississippi State heads to the Bluegrass State to take on the Kentucky Wildcats!
Forget the wins over Central Michigan and Murray State, the Kentucky Wildcats went into The Swamp and beat the Florida Gators straight up as a +13.5 dog. How did Kentucky pull it off?
Defense. Okay, offense had something to do with it, but they really pulled it off because of their excellent defense. The Wildcats held Florida’s offense to only 16 points by picking off quarterback Feleipe Franks, recovering a forced fumble, and holding Florida’s offense to 360 total yards.
Then when Kentucky got the ball, they ran it right through Florida’s defense. The Wildcats averaged 7.7 yards per carry on their way to 303 total rushing yards. If Kentucky can repeat that performance against Mississippi State, they could upset the favored Bulldogs.
Mississippi State at Kentucky NCAA Football Week 4 Spread & Prediction
When: Saturday, Sep. 22 at 7:00 pm ET Where: Kroger Field, Lexington, KY TV: ESPN 2 Radio: TuneIn Live Stream: WatchESPN ATS Odds: Mississippi State -9.5 (-110) Over/Under Total Odds: 55.5 (-110)⏱️ Tick, Tick, BOOM!#HailState🐶 pic.twitter.com/7ZKsOb0b1C
— MSU Football 🏈 (@HailStateFB) September 20, 2018
Weather Forecast
- Chance of Rain: 19°C/66°F
- Humidity: 73%
- Precipitation: 38%
- Wind: 8 mph NE
- Cloud Cover: 75%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Why Mississippi State is a good bet at -9.5?
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are one of the few teams that averages 50 points per game while holding opponents to less than 10 points per game. No team has challenged the Bulldogs yet this season. Even Kansas State didn’t put up a fight. In a road game versus K-State, Mississippi State went about their business for a 31-10 win as a -6.5 road favorite. Mississippi State blasted Louisiana-Lafayette 56-10 in Week 3. They dominated Stephen F. Austin 63-6 in Week 1. Miss State could be the best team in the SEC and nobody knows it yet.Team Statistics
Offense:- Average Score For: 50
- Total Yards: 587.7
- Pass Yards: 276
- Rush Yards: 311.7
- Average Score Against: 8.7
- Total Yards: 259
- Pass Yards: 174
- Rush Yards: 85
Why Kentucky is a good bet at +9.5?
Forget the wins over Central Michigan and Murray State, the Kentucky Wildcats went into The Swamp and beat the Florida Gators straight up as a +13.5 dog. How did Kentucky pull it off?
Defense. Okay, offense had something to do with it, but they really pulled it off because of their excellent defense. The Wildcats held Florida’s offense to only 16 points by picking off quarterback Feleipe Franks, recovering a forced fumble, and holding Florida’s offense to 360 total yards.
Then when Kentucky got the ball, they ran it right through Florida’s defense. The Wildcats averaged 7.7 yards per carry on their way to 303 total rushing yards. If Kentucky can repeat that performance against Mississippi State, they could upset the favored Bulldogs.
Team Statistics
Offense:- Average Score For: 36.7
- Total Yards: 469.7
- Pass Yards: 187.3
- Rush Yards: 282.3
- Average Score Against: 15.3
- Total Yards: 305.7
- Pass Yards: 183
- Rush Yards: 122.7
NCAA Football Betting Trends for Mississippi State at Kentucky
- Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
- Mississippi State is 5-1 SU in the last 6 games
- The total went UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State’s last 5 games on the road
- Kentucky is 3-9 ATS in the last 12 games
- Kentucky is 5-2 SU in the last 7 games at home
- The total went OVER in 6 of Kentucky’s last 9 games
