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2024 College Football National Championship Odds: Who Will Reign Supreme?

2024 College Football National Championship Odds: Who Will Reign Supreme?

College football teams have begun spring practice, which means, although early, it’s a suitable time to revisit 2025 College Football National Championship odds and make future book picks. Remember, this year’s CFP will include 12 teams instead of 4, which opens the door for cagey longshot plays.

The road to the National Championship is paved with upsets and major victories (ask the Georgia Bulldogs about that). Can you navigate the chaos and correctly predict the champion? Explore our updated betting odds along with expert picks to inform your college football betting strategy.

 

2024 College Football National Championship Odds to Win: Title Prediction | MyBookie Football Preview for the Fight for the Championship

2024 NCAA Division I FBS football season | 155th season of college football in the United States

2025 NCAA Football National Championship
Monday, January 20, 2025
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

 

Early NCAA College Football Playoff Championship Picks

Winner: Ohio State Buckeyes +450

Former Kansas State Wildcats quarterbacking star Will Howard takes the helm at Ohio State. But that’s not the real reason to back the Buckeyes to win the title this season.

Ron Day knew he had to make a significant move to remain relevant in a Big Ten Conference that now includes Washington, USC, UCLA, and Oregon. The move Day made should lead to a national title.

Day hired former UCLA head coach Chip Kelly to run Ohio State’s offense. Howard is going to excel in Kelly’s system. Not only that, but the defense is loaded with seniors and juniors and Caleb Downs, the best defensive back in the nation, transferred to Columbus from Alabama.

Ohio State Buckeye
NCAAF National Championship Winner Pick: Ohio State | College Football National Championship Odds
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Runner up: Georgia Bulldogs +320

Sure, the SEC welcomes Texas and Oklahoma. But Georgia remains the top team in the conference. The Bulldogs had another fantastic recruiting class and Kirby Smart has become a master of attracting transfer portal talent.

Travis Etienne Jr. must get by an issue that happened during the offseason. If he does, the talented running back will motor behind the best offensive line in the nation. Also, Carson Beck is back. Make no mistake, Beck has top pick NFL Draft talent. As always, Kirby’s defense will rank in the top three if not 1 overall.

Georgia Bulldogs
NCAAF National Championship Runner up Pick: Georgia | College Football National Championship Odds
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Third: Oregon Ducks +1000

Dan Lanning, a Kirby clone, recruited plenty of star defensive talent from the transfer portal to step on the field at Autzen Stadium. The defense will be solid.

When it comes down to offense, Oregon should be as good as it was last season when Bo Nix was under center. Dillon Gabriel proved he can lead a Power 5 team when bringing the Oklahoma Sooners close to a CFP spot. Gabriel will excel in Lanning’s offensive system.

Oregon Ducks
NCAAF National Championship Third Pick: Oregon | College Football National Championship Odds
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Fourth: Ole Miss Rebels +1400

Senior Jaxon Dart could be the best quarterback in the SEC. Beck has a reason to expect the title, but Dart is a talented player. So Ole Miss’s offense, like it does every season, will be strong.

The question is on the defensive side of the ball where Lane Kiffin decided the best course of action was to use the transfer portal and load up with juniors and seniors. If Kiffin’s gambit works, the Rebels should challenge UGA for the SEC title.

Ole Miss Rebels
NCAAF National Championship Fourth Pick: Ole Miss | College Football National Championship Odds
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Best Underdog: USC Trojans +3300

USC’s defense was atrocious in 2023. Lincoln Riley did something about it by transferring five starters, including exceptional linebacker Easton Mascarenas-Arnold from Oregon State. Mascarenas-Arnold is one of the top linebackers in the nation.

On offense, Riley shored up the line. In addition, quarterback Miller Moss is a star in the making. Give the Trojans a big shot to make waves in the Big Ten and score a CFP berth.

Underdogs
NCAAF National Championship Underdog Pick: USC | College Football National Championship Odds
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Best Super Underdog: Arizona Wildcats +7500

There’s no way the team with one of the top two best QB/WR combos in the nation should offer +7500 odds. Quarterback Noah Fifita and wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan are going to go crazy in the revamped Big 12.

On defense, Arizona boasts serious talent, including linebacker Justin Flowe who has an unstoppable motor. The Cats are legit Big 12 contenders, which means they have a big chance of scoring a CFP spot. Once you get into the playoffs, anything can happen.

Supra Underdogs
NCAAF National Championship Supra Underdog Pick: Arizona | College Football National Championship Odds
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MyBookie offers the current College Football betting lines for the season to win.

 

Who Will Reign Supreme? 2024 College Football National Championship Odds Revealed!

Team Odds
Georgia Bulldogs +265
Ohio State Buckeyes +390
Ohio State Buckeyes +390
Texas Longhorns +500
Oregon Ducks +1100
Alabama Crimson Tide +1175
Ole Miss Rebels +1425
Penn State Nittany Lions +1900
Miami (FL) Hurricanes +2100
Tennessee Volunteers +2300
LSU Tigers +3900
Missouri Tigers +4000
USC Trojans +4400
Utah Utes +4900
Clemson Tigers +6000
Oklahoma Sooners +6800
Kansas State Wildcats +8000
Notre Dame Fighting Irish +8500
Texas A&M Aggies +9000

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Prediction & Bets For The National Championship Game
 

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While most college football experts and fans were expecting to see the Georgia Bulldogs in the National Championship game, very few felt that the TCU Horned Frogs would beat the Michigan Wolverines. Michigan had been one of the top teams all season, and the Horned Frogs weren’t going to be able to withstand the physicality of the Wolverines. Well, TCU was able to handle it, and they came out with a victory to advance to the title game and a date with the Georgia Bulldogs.

Here’s a quick rundown of each of the two contenders, followed by our prediction for your Against The Spread bets for the 2023 College Football Playoff National Championship game.

Against the Spread Prediction for the National Championship Game

TCU Horned Frogs

Via a big upset win over the Michigan Wolverines, the TCU Horned Frogs earned a spot in the National Championship game. After going 5-7 last season, the one-loss Horned Frogs have had quite the turnaround. With an offense led by Heisman Trophy finalist Max Duggan, the TCU offense averaged 41 points per game. Duggan averaged 273 passing yards per game, which is among the top averages in the country. He’ll face a very tough Georgia defense, so we’ll look forward to this matchup.

Georgia Bulldogs

The defending national champions are looking for another title. Georgia was among the favorites to win the title prior to the season starting. Kirby Smart has built one of the top programs in the country, and Georgia will likely challenge for many more titles in the years to come.

Even though they lost many of their top defenders from last year’s squad, the Georgia defense has still been very good this season. They aren’t as strong as last season’s squad, but this is still a very formidable group.

As for the offense, Stetson Bennett has been a huge surprise this season. Bennett proved many critics wrong by coming out and having a great season. Georgia averaged nearly 40 points per game. Georgia rushed for 39 touchdowns, while getting 27 on the ground. This offense is very well-balanced, and can beat you in many different ways.

Against the Spread Prediction

The oddsmakers have made Georgia an overwhelming favorite in this one. The Bulldogs have been deemed a 13.5-point favorite. This is a rather large spread for a National Championship game. In looking at some of the betting numbers, it’s hard to favor one team over the other. Over their last 10 games, the Horned Frogs are 6-3-1 against the spread, while Georgia is 5-5 against the spread.

On an even larger scale, TCU is 10-3-1 against the spread in its last 14 games. Georgia is 15-7 in its last 22 games at a neutral site.

We just have a hunch that the TCU Horned Frogs, who have overcome a lot of odds this season, will do it again next Monday. While we think that Georgia will win the game, we think it will be much closer than the 13.5 points that the oddsmakers have given. Georgia wins by a touchdown, and fails to cover the spread.

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NCAAF 2021 National Championship Betting Update: Georgia Favorite, Oklahoma Smart Pick, Cincinnati Longshot
 

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With the 2021 college football season drawing to an end, it’s time to take a look at some teams that we think could win the National Championship. It has been a wild and crazy season, and we think there will be even more upsets at the end of the season.

In taking a look at some prospective teams, we’ve picked a favorite, made a smart pick, and picked a team that is a longshot to win it all. Let’s take a look at our picks, and hopefully, we’ve made some good predictions for you to use and bet against the NCAAF National Championship odds.

Updated College Football 2021 Title Odds

Favorite – Georgia Bulldogs -110

At this point in the season, the Georgia Bulldogs are the overwhelming favorite to win the National Championship. The Bulldogs defense could be the best defensive unit in the history of college football. In their nine games, the defense is giving up just over 230 yards per game while only allowing an average of 6.5 points per game.

Giving up less than a touchdown per game is unbelievable, especially when you know that Georgia is playing against some high-powered SEC offenses.

While the Georgia offense isn’t one of the top offenses in the country, Stetson Bennett has been getting better every week, and the offense has increased its scoring.

At this point, it’s hard to believe that anyone will be able to beat Kirby Smart’s squad.

Smart Pick – Oklahoma Sooners +1600

As of now, the Oklahoma Sooners are undefeated. They still have some tough games against Baylor and Oklahoma State remaining, and if they win those, they would then have to win the Big 12 Championship game. Since Caleb Williams took over as the starting quarterback, Lincoln Riley’s high-scoring offense has really taken off.

Over the years, the Oklahoma defense has been the downfall of the Sooners. The Sooners have made a huge commitment to recruiting better defensive players, and it shows. The Oklahoma defense isn’t anywhere near as good as the Georgia Defense, but they have gotten better.

If Oklahoma can win out, they should have a spot in the College Football Playoffs. If they get a good draw and can catch some breaks along the way, they could sneak away with a National Championship.

Longshot – Cincinnati Bearcats +8000

We know that the Bearcats are going to need a lot of things to happen to get into the playoffs. They will need Georgia to beat Alabama in the SEC title game, Ohio State, Michigan, and Michigan State to lose another game, and the Oregon Ducks to slip up. That’s a lot, but if all of those happen, the Bearcats could get into the playoffs.

After beating Notre Dame, the Bearcats haven’t played well. They’ve won some close games against teams that they probably should’ve beaten easier. They should finish the season undefeated, but the playoff committee will take a lot of their schedule and game deficiencies into account.

Do we think that Cincinnati could beat Georgia? Not really, but there have been a lot of crazy things happening this season, so we can’t rule it out.

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College Football Betting Odds for 2024 National Championship
 

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NCAA College Football went through another massive offseason of changes. Those changes will continue. Still, transfer portals are mostly closed and the coaching carousel has stopped, which is why oddsmakers have set lines on teams to win the expanded 12-team College Football Playoff.

Which teams are our favorites, contenders, underdogs, and supra underdogs to win it all?

Let’s look at the College Football betting odds, analysis, and picks to win the 2025 NCAA Football National Championship.

2024 College Football National Championship Odds to Win: Title Prediction | MyBookie Football Preview for the Fight for the Championship

2024 NCAA Division I FBS football season | 155th season of college football in the United States

2025 NCAA Football National Championship
Monday, January 20, 2025
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

NCAA Football National Championship Favorites

It’s tough to look past any of the favorites. Georgia is going to be exceedingly difficult to beat because QB Carson Beck returns. If Trevor Etienne can stay out of jail due to a DUI, he will have an impact. More importantly, Kirby Smith’s team boasts seniors and juniors on the defense.

Texas is likely the one to drop from the favorite’s list. The move from the Big 12 to the SEC will have an impact. The Longhorns must travel to Michigan, play Georgia, play Oklahoma, and travel to Texas A&M.

Oregon will be good, but the Big 10 is also a different league than the Pac 12. Oregon’s speed should ensure they finish with a dynamite record. However, it won’t be as good as Ohio State’s.

The Buckeyes are loaded. Will Howard is going to excel in Chip Kelly’s offensive system and the defense attracted free safety Caleb Downs, one of the best defensive backs in the nation, maybe, the best, from Alabama.

Favorites
NCAAF National Championship Favorite Pick: Ohio State | College Football National Championship Odds
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NCAA Football National Championship Contenders

Michigan will struggle. So will Alabama. It’s impossible to have a major coaching change like Michigan losing Jim Harbaugh and Bama losing the great Nick Saban and not taking a small backward step.

Also, both teams play in crazy deep conferences. So we can’t put much faith in either team. LSU offers underlay odds. The SEC is incredibly deep this season. How can LSU be +1200 when they must replace WR Malik Nabors and Heisman Trophy winning quarterback Jayden Daniels? The Baton Rouge are at least a +2000 squad.

Of this group, Florida State and Ole Miss look best. Mississippi must navigate a ridiculous SEC schedule. However, Heisman Trophy contender Jackson Dart runs the offense and the defense will be improved.

Florida State could go undefeated again. DJ Uagalelei is a solid quarterback. He posted good numbers in a deep Pac 12 Conference last season. So give FSU a chance to make it to the expanded 12-team CFP where anything can happen.

Contenders
NCAAF National Championship Contender Pick: Florida State | College Football National Championship Odds
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NCAA Football National Championship Underdogs

Two teams stand out. The first is USC. At +4000, the Trojans are a decent play. For sure, USC will have to navigate at treacherous Big Ten schedule. However, is much, and we mean much, improved from last season. Easton Mascarenas-Arnold, the Oregon State transfer, is one of the top linebackers in the country. Also, Miller Moss is going to make everyone forget about Caleb Williams.

Missouri is the other team worth mentioning. QB Brady Cook and Luther Burden III, the top wide receiver in the nation, return. The schedule is workable. Mizzou travels to Alabama, but we don’t know the state Bama will be in this season. Also, no Georgia and no Texas and Mizzou takes on Oklahoma at home.

Between USC and Missouri, the best play is Mizzou. Cook to Burden should be the top QB/WR combination in the country in 2024.

Underdogs
NCAAF National Championship Underdog Pick: Missouri | College Football National Championship Odds
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NCAA Football National Championship Supra Underdogs

One team among this group offers massive overlay odds. Before getting to that team, let’s discuss the other squad that can get it done. Utah will bounce back with a solid season.

Kyle Wittingham is one of the nation’s top coaches. He consistently fields teams that are great on defense and move the football on offense. The Utes had a down season by their standards, but in 2024 quarterback Cameron Rising, a legit Heisman contender, returns. So does TE Brandon Kuithe and the D, like always is loaded with playmakers. Give the Utes a big shot to make it to the CFP.

The top overlay on the board, though, are the Arizona Wildcats. Sure, Zona lost their head to coach to Washington, but Noah Fifita and his top wide receiver, best friend since the eighth grade Tetairoa McMillan, return. The offensive line will be as good as any in the Big 12 while linebacker Justin Flowe leads a defense that made massive strides in 2023.

Also, even though Jedd Fisch left for Washington, coach Brent Brennan promoted Duane Akina to defensive coordinator. Akina will have the Cats playing the same system they played in 2023.

Supra Underdogs
NCAAF National Championship Supra Underdog Pick: Arizona | College Football National Championship Odds
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MyBookie offers the current College Football betting lines for the season to win.

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2024 College Football National Championship Odds to Win: Title Prediction
 

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The College Football Semifinal games between Alabama and Michigan versus Texas, and Washington take place this Monday on January 1. Then a week later, the winners of the semifinal matchups clash in the 2024 College Football National Championship at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas.

Which team will lift the NCAAF trophy, and which will begin the offseason starting on January 2?

Check out final odds to win the National Championship, analysis, and title predictions.

2024 College Football National Championship Odds to Win: Title Prediction | MyBookie Betting Preview

2023 College Football Playoff National Championship | 10th CFP National Championship
Monday, January 8th, 2024
NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas

2024 College Football National Championship Predictions

Winner: Alabama Crimson Tide +190

Not only did Alabama beat the top-ranked team in the nation, the Georgia Bulldogs, in the SEC Championship, but Bama played the fifth toughest schedule in college football and managed to escape with a single loss.

The loss came early, and it came against a fellow College Football Playoff participant, the Texas Longhorns. Nick Saban worked his magic after the Tide lost to Texas in Tuscaloosa, benching Jalen Milroe and signaling to his team that they required massive improvement to have any shot of winning the SEC, much less making it to the playoffs.

No team beat as many ranked squads, faced adversity, and stepped it up as much as the Alabama Crimson Tide. The Tide are battle tested more than any other squad in the CFP. That makes Alabama the team to back to win it all.

Runner up: Washington Huskies +700

If Alabama knocks out Michigan, the Crimson Tide will face the Texas Longhorns or the Washington Huskies. The guess here is that Washington has enough to beat the Longhorns.

The Huskies played in arguably the top conference in college football this season, the Pac-12. Not only did Washington play against excellent teams throughout the season, but the Huskies had to beat rival Oregon twice, which they did.

Michael Penix Jr. leads Washington’s offense. While at Indiana, Penix Jr. orchestrated an upset of Ohio State. So Penix Jr. knows how to beat favored teams. He has a seriously talented wide receiver in Romeo Odunze in which to throw the ball.

The defense is solid. On paper, Washington gives up a lot of points, but that’s because the Huskies faced teams like Oregon State, Oregon, and Arizona, three high-scoring teams, during the regular season.

Third Ranked: Michigan Wolverines +170

Michigan can win the National Championship. But the Wolverines haven’t had to face much adversity this season. The Big Ten, like it has been the past few seasons, is chockful of mediocre teams.

Not just overrated teams like Penn State, but flat out mediocre teams like Iowa Maryland, Iowa, and Wisconsin. So Michigan’s victories over average teams didn’t impress. Also, in a lot of ways, Michigan got away with playing sloppy football because they used their overall talent to get them wins.

They won’t be able to use pure talent to beat the Alabama Crimson Tide. J.J. McCarthy faces the best secondary in football. McCarthy will struggle.

Fourth Ranked: Texas Longhorns +300

It’s difficult to understand why the team that won the Big 12 is favored over the Pac-12 champ. Texas beat a hard trying but not so good Oklahoma State squad in the Big 12 title game. Washington had to beat Oregon for a second time.

In any case, although Quinn Ewers is a decent quarterback, he’s not as good as Michael Penix Jr. Not only that, but Texas’ defense is going to have trouble against Washington’s massive offensive line.

Washington versus Texas is akin to Alabama against Michigan. The more battle-tested squad, in this case the Huskies, should prevail.

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NCAAF National Championship Final Odds to Win

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2023 College Football Playoff National Championship
 

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This Week’s College Football National Championship Odds: Updates, Picks, Predictions | MyBookie Betting Preview

2023 College Football Playoff National Championship | 10th CFP National Championship
Monday, January 8, 2024
NRG Stadium | Houston, Texas

College Football National Championship odds are out. Georgia, Alabama, and Ohio State are the only four squads that offer odds below +1000. Can the UGA Dawgs make it three straight titles?

Time to provide updates, make early picks, and predictions.

Here’s a look at what to expect from a strong group of programs form last season that have a chance to win the National Championship this year.

Georgia for Sure, but What’s Up with Alabama Offering Second Choice Odds?

The Bulldogs will find a way. Not only that, but although UGA heads into the season off back-to-back National Championships, the Bulldogs didn’t lose a lot.

The key thing is how UGA returns four offensive linemen with starting experience. Kirby Smart must find a quarterback that can throw the 10-and-out, or 10-and-in, and get the pigskin to Brock Bowers the best tight-end in football, and, as always, the D is loaded.

So Georgia should be the top choice to win the title. But Alabama at second? Bama changed offensive coordinators and is in the midst of a QB battle.

Bama should be good if the running game flourishes. If it doesn’t, the Tide will suffer. The secondary is great, but quarterback is a real question where Nick Saban will have to replace top NFL Draft pick Bryce Young.

Michigan Offering the Most Value

The Michigan Wolverines bring back quarterback J.J. McCarthy, starting running backs Blake Corum and Donovan Edwards and both starting guards from last season, Zak Zinter and Trevor Keegan.

Jim Harbaugh also brought in experienced players to start along the offensive line: Myles Hinton and Drake Nugent transfer from Stanford where Harbaugh was coach in the early 2000s.

LaDarius Henderson comes from Arizona State, which shows Jim still has his Pac-12 ties. The Wolverines are legit.

USC, LSU, and Florida State have what it takes to upset Georgia

Let’s start at USC where Lincoln Riley is foregoing fighting for high school recruits and instead invading the transfer portal. Once again, Riley raided lesser programs for top talent.

Wide receiver Dorian Singer and D-lineman Kyon Barrs come from Arizona. RB Marshawn Lloyd is from South Carolina. But although Riley loves to bring over great players from mediocre programs, he didn’t stop from grabbing Georgia defensive lineman Bears Alexander and Texas A&M D-lineman Anthony Lucas.

Lincoln also hired former Arizona Cardinals head coach Kliff Kingsbury to work with QB Caleb Williams and the Trojans return four offensive lineman. USC can rock it this season.

LSU returns the best quarterback in the SEC, Jayden Daniels. The receivers room: Anthony Anderson, a Bama transfer, Malik Nabers, and Kyren Lacy is top-notch. Brian Kelly’s defense is going to be one of the best in the nation.

The FSU Seminoles have a legit Heisman Trophy candidate in quarterback Jordan Travis. Mike Nowell’s squad is a serious contender for the title. Florida State returns 8 starters on offense and 8 on defense.

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Updated Early College Football National Championship Odds and Betting Favorites
 

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The long wait for football fans is finally over, as we will have college football games coming later this week. Yes, it is only a handful of Week 0 games, but there is enough in there to get us all excited about the official opening weekend. With the start of the regular season now very much in sight, it’s time to start seriously thinking about where our betting dollars are going to go this season. That all begins with trying to figure out who will end the season as the National Champion. Some of you will already know who you want to wager on, while others will be adopting a wait and see attitude to see how teams look and how the CF National Championship odds change each week. For now, let’s take a look at the top 4 teams on the bookies board this season.

Early College Football National Championship Odds and Betting Favorites | MyBookie Regular Season Football Betting Preview

Regular Season: August 26 to December 9
Bowls: December 16 2023 to January 1 2024
CFP National Championship: Monday, January 8, 2024

Georgia Bulldogs

CFP National Championship Odds: +220

You have to go back an awful long way to find the last time a college football team won the National Championship in 3 straight seasons. That is the task awaiting the Georgia Bulldogs this year, as they will once again have a slew of new players on the field after sending a bunch of guys to the NFL. While history is not on the side of the Bulldogs in terms of the threepeat, you do have to say that they are still the team to beat in 2023. Yes, they will have a lot of new starters, but this is a team that has had no problem filling those gaps in the Kirby Smart era. The current odds might be as good as it gets for bettors.

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Alabama Crimson Tide

CFP National Championship Odds: +570

When one team rise and becomes the dominant force, as the Georgia Bulldogs have done, another has to fall. The team on the slide right now is the Alabama Crimson Tide, who have now missed the playoffs in back-to-back seasons. It’s hard to imagine a Nick Saban coached team missing out for 3 straight years, but the SEC West looks to be a little stronger this season, with LSU in particular set to pose a tough challenge. Can the Tide make it back to the top of the heap or will they slip even further this season?

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Ohio State Buckeyes

CFP National Championship Odds: +670

This is another powerhouse looking to get back to the playoffs after missing out again last season. The Big Ten is tough to go through totally unscathed, especially in the East Division, where things are absolutely loaded. Of course, the biggest test for the Buckeyes is going to come in the final week of the regular season when they face the Michigan Wolverines in what has the potential to be a playoff elimination game.

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Michigan Wolverines

CFP National Championship Odds: +920

This is where things really start to get a little tricky for bettors. While there is certainly a chance that we will see a pair of Big Ten teams in the playoffs, there is more than likely only going to be just one. If that is indeed the case, then you have a tough choice to make here. The Wolverines have been to the playoffs in each of the past 2 seasons, but can they keep that streak alive, and more importantly, can they actually cross the final hurdle and get to the National Championship Game?

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College Football 2022-2023: Updated National Championship Odds
 

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The 2022 college football regular season has concluded and it’s conference championship weekend. The top four in the latest playoff rankings are No. 1 Georgia, No. 2 Michigan, No. 3 TCU and No. 4 USC. If they all win this weekend, they are all in. Georgia and Michigan probably are regardless. TCU might be out with a loss in the Big 12 title game vs. Kansas State and USC definitely will be out with a loss to Utah in the Big 12 title game. Here are the updated national title odds.

2022-2023 College Football Season

The final CFP rankings will be released at 11 a.m. CT Sunday after the conference championships are played. No two-loss team has ever made the four-team field in the first eight years of existence.

The title long shot is two-loss Alabama at +6000 and the Tide are sixth in the rankings. With Ohio State at No. 5, the Crimson Tide sixth and neither playing this weekend, it’s hard to imagine those two swapping spots in the final playoff ranking release Sunday.

The only way they get into the semifinals are if USC and TCU both lose this weekend. The Tide’s best win came at No. 20 Texas, which played its backup quarterback for the final three quarters. Alabama (10-2) lost to teams with a combined five losses. It did not play the SEC’s toughest team, No. 1 Georgia, but nonetheless finished second in the conference’s weaker division. Alabama’s credentials are worthy of a New Year’s Six bowl, not the playoffs.

USC and TCU are both +1200 even though both are in with wins. USC did lose to Utah earlier this year, while TCU rallied past Kansas State with rematches on tap.

Lincoln Riley’s 11 wins ties for the most by a USC head coach in his regular season debut, matching the 11 wins by Howard Jones in 1925 and John Robinson in 1976. Leading Heisman candidate QB Caleb Williams continues to impress the nation with his dazzling performances. Through 12 games, Williams has 44 total TDs and 3 INTs. He is 268-for-407 (.658) for 3,712 yards. He has also rushed for 351 yards on 97 carries with 10 TDs.

USC leads the nation in turnover margin (1.92) and turnovers lost (4). USC is No. 2 in the nation in 3rd down conversion percentage (.553). It is No. 3 in the nation and leads the Pac-12 in scoring offense (42.5). On defense, Tuli Tuipulotu’s 12.5 sacks are the most in a single season at USC since Kenechi Udeze set the Trojans’ record with 16.5 in 2003. He is also No. 5 in the nation in tackles for loss (1.7) and leads the Pac-12.

TCU is 12-0 for the third time in its history and first since 2010, when it went 13-0 en route to winning the Rose Bowl. TCU is the first Big 12 team to be 12-0 since Texas in 2009. The Horned Frogs are also the first Big 12 member to go 9-0 in conference play since Oklahoma in 2016. TCU’s five wins over ranked opponents surpasses the combined total of the other two undefeated teams (Georgia, 2; Michigan, 2).

The Horned Frogs are making their second appearance in the Big 12 Championship Game at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. TCU dropped a 41-17 decision to Oklahoma in 2017 in the first year of the return of the game after a six-year absence.

Even though Ohio State is No. 5 in the rankings, it has shorter title odds (+800) than both USC and TCU. The CFP is on the brink of a field that doesn’t include Ohio State, Alabama or Clemson. Alabama, Clemson and Ohio State have claimed 17 of the 32 playoff spots. This season, Ohio State and Alabama didn’t win their respective divisions.

For the Buckeyes or Tide to creep back into the conversation, they’re going to need some help — 26 of the previous 32 teams in the top four in the second-to-last ranking have made the CFP. Five of the six that didn’t make it lost in the final weekend.

No. 1 Georgia is the -150 favorite to repeat and Michigan +300 – the Dawgs clobbered the Wolverines in last season’s semifinals. Both UGA and U-M are big favorites in their title games Saturday and will be in the playoff barring 40-point losses or the like. Michigan is 12-0 for the first time under head coach Jim Harbaugh. U-M has won more games (24) over the last two seasons than any two-year stretch in school history.

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