2023 College Football Betting: #11 Notre Dame vs. #17 Duke Game Lines

For the first time ever, ESPN’s College GameDay will be at Duke for a football game as the No. 17 Blue Devils host No. 11 Notre Dame on Saturday with the Irish favored on the NCAAF odds. They can’t afford another loss for their playoff hopes after a last-second defeat to Ohio State in Week 4 | 2023 NCAAF Expert Analysis #11 Notre Dame vs. #17 Duke | MyBookie Sportsbook | Week 5: Thursday, September 28 to Saturday, September 30, 2023

How to Bet Notre Dame at Duke NCAA Football Odds & TV Info

When: Saturday, 7:30 PM ET
Where: Wallace Wade Stadium
TV: ABC
Stream: ESPN+
Radio: Tunein.com
Opening NCAAF Lines: Notre Dame -5.5 (total 52)

Series History

Notre Dame and Duke will be meeting for the eighth time and the Irish lead 5-2. Saturday marks the first time Notre Dame and Duke will meet with both teams in the Associated Press Top 25. The Irish are 1-1 all-time at Duke, a 13-37 loss to the Blue Devils in 1961 (who claimed the ACC Championship that season) and a 38-17 victory in 2019.

Why Bet on Notre Dame?

The Irish lost a heartbreaker last Saturday, 17-14 at home to Ohio State. DeaMonte Trayanum scored on a 1-yard run on Ohio State’s final play from scrimmage to culminate a 15-play, 65-yard drive to overcome a 14-10 Ohio State fourth quarter deficit. QB Sam Hartman was accurate against Ohio State, completing 17-of-25 attempts but only for 175 yards and a touchdown.

Hartman has thrown 91 touchdown passes since 2021 – the most of any Power 5 quarterback. He has 121 TD passes, on pace to finish as high as second on the all-time FBS passing touchdown list. Case Keenum has the all-time record with 155, while Kellen Moore sits in second place at 142.

Audric Estime, who surpassed 100 yards in the previous three games, was limited to 70 rushing yards on 14 carries against Ohio State. Estime had averaged 142 yards per game on the ground in the previous three games. Tight end Mitchell Evans returned from a one-game absence in concussion protocol to lead the Irish with a career-high seven catches for 75 yards against OSU.

This weekend marks the second consecutive appearance of ESPN’s College Game Day to preview a Notre Dame contest. It will be the 20th time that the show has featured the same team during the regular season on back-to-back weeks and the second time for Notre Dame (2002, at Air Force, at Florida State).

Notre Dame is hoping to extend its 29-game regular-season win streak against Atlantic Coast Conference teams this weekend. The Irish have not lost a regular-season game to an ACC team since 2017. Notre Dame is 11-10-1 (.523) all-time against the Associated Press 17th-ranked team. The most recent match up was a 41-30 setback at Michigan in 2013, with the most recent win a 20-13 overtime win against Stanford in 2012.

Bet Notre Dame Fighting Irish to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for NCAAF

Why Bet on Duke?

In the 30 years of the show, ESPN College GameDay has been to Duke for basketball games, but never for football. Who will be the celebrity guest picker? ESPN may go with an easy choice like retired Blue Devils basketball coach Mike Krzyzewski.

No. 17 Duke, which has climbed to its highest ranking since reaching No. 16 in November 1994, comes off a 41-7 rout of UConn. QB Riley-Leonard and RB Jordan Waters each found the end zone twice in the game to become the first pair of Blue Devils to do so since 2021. Leonard eclipsed the 1,000-yard rushing mark to move into fifth all-time by a Blue Devil quarterback. Jalon Calhoun hauled in five catches for 112 yards to record his sixth career 100-plus yard receiving game.

Duke won the turnover battle, 2-0, against Connecticut, including a fumble recovery scoop-and-score by defensive tackle DeWayne Carter in the third quarter. Under Coach Mike Elko, Duke has won the turnover battle in 12 of its 17 games and has scored 115 points off those turnovers (15 touchdowns, three field goals and one two-point conversion.

Duke is now 17-2 when scoring a touchdown on its opening possession since the start of 2017. The Blue Devils improved to 10-0 when scoring first under Elko. He is now 12-4 (.750) through the first 16 games of his tenure with the Blue Devils, marking the best 16-game start to a head coaching stint in school history. Elko’s 13-4 record through 17 games is the best among current ACC coaches to open their respective tenures at their current institutions. He’s a former Notre Dame defensive coordinator.

The four-game winning streak matches the fifth-longest in-season winning streak for the Blue Devils since 1970. Duke had never previously started a season with four consecutive 20-plus point wins.

The last time a nationally-ranked Duke team hosted a ranked opponent was November 5, 1994, when the No. 23 Blue Devils defeated No. 13 Virginia, 28-25.

Bet Duke Blue Devils to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for NCAAF

NCAAF Expert Prediction

Notre Dame 27, Duke 24

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