Tulane Green Wave Props & Picks: Will they exceed expectations in 2024?

Tulane Green Wave Props & Picks: Will they exceed expectations in 2024?

One of the strange things about college football is that a great season can mean that you are not quite in the same position to succeed in the following season.

Success tends to mean players leaving for the NFL Draft, or sometimes coaches deciding it’s time to look for a bigger and better job.

 

My Analysis

This is just one of the reasons why maintaining a high level of performance in college football is so tough.

Turnover is a big part of the game now, especially now that the portal plays such a big role in how teams go about recruiting fresh talent.

The Tulane Green Wave have had back-to-back great seasons in the AAC, but they will be starting fresh with a new head coach.

What impact is that going to have on them this year? Let’s see if we can figure it out.

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Tulane Green Wave Regular Season, Conference, and Win Total

Like we just said, it is going to be a new look for the Green Wave on the sideline in 2024, with coach Willie Wirtz heading to Houston and Jon Sumrall taking his place.

The new coach has some big shoes to fill, with Tulane hitting double-digit wins in each of their last 2 seasons, although 2023 wasn’t quite as good as the year prior.

It is never easy for a coach to take over a team and see immediate success, as it takes time to put his system and players in place.

With that in mind, expectations seem to have been tempered this season, with the Tulane win total set at 7 ½.

With a pair of ranked teams in the form of Kansas State and Oklahoma on the schedule in the opening 3 weeks of the season, it could be a trial by fire for the new head coach.

Sumrall is a coach better known for his defensive skills than his offensive skills, and he does not have an awful lot to work with on the offense this season.

The receiving group seems a little light, while the O-Line will be undergoing something of a rebuild, with just 1 returning starter.

This is a team that is probably going to need to lean pretty heavily on the D.

Tulane expects the new coach to come in and work his magic on the defensive side of the football, but again, this is going to take time.

The Green Wave do seem to be stacked in the secondary, as they look to limit the amount of splash plays against them.

All in all, though, this feels like the start of a rebuild, and while I think winning the conference might be tough, the Green Wave should be there or thereabouts at odds of +350 to win the AAC.

Tulane Green Wave to Win ACC: +350
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Tulane Green Wave Postseason Odds

Talking about the playoffs this season, even with the number of teams expanded to 12, seems a little premature.

I think a realistic goal will be to get to the AAC Conference Championship Game and to win a bowl game, the latter of which they failed to do last season.

U think 8 or 9 wins seems like the way to go when betting on Tulane this season.

Tulane Green Wave to Win Championship: +50000
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Tulane Football Schedule 2024

 
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Tulane Green Wave 2023 Season
 

Tulane went from 2 wins in 2021 to 12 wins in 2022. The Green Wave return enough on both offense and defense to be the American Athletic Conference favorite to repeat as conference champs. Aiding the Green Wave is the fact Cincinnati, UCF, and Houston, Tulane’s top three rivals in the AAC, switched conferences to the Big 12. Check out Tulane’s 2022 betting records and our 2023 Green Wave betting guide.

Let’s see if the Tulane Green Wave have what it takes to back the betting odds to win the National Championship.

 

Tulane Green Wave 2023 Season Betting Guide | MyBookie College Betting Preview

Tulane Green Wave | American Athletic Conference during the 2023 NCAA Division I FBS football season
Tulane Odds to Win Championship: +28000
School: University of Alabama
Head coach: Willie Fritz | 9th season
Home field: Yulman Stadium | 30,000

Tulane Green Wave 2023 Season Betting Analysis
2022 Tulane Green Wave records
Green Wave 2022 SU Record: 12-2
Green Wave 2023 ATS Record: 12-2
Green Wave 2023 Over Under Record: 8-6

 

What is Tulane’s Straight Up Prediction this Season?

Tulane went 12-2 last season after beating UCF in the AAC Championship and taking down USC via a comeback victory in the Cotton Bowl.

The Green Wave mustn’t play the Bearcats, Knights, or Cougars this season, which gives Tulane a massive edge over their opponents.

The real key is whether returning quarterback Matt Pratt discovers a new WR1. Pratt lost his top two WR targets from last season: Shae Wyatt and Deuce Watts.

The Green Wave hope to replace Wyatt and Watts with Jha’Quan Jackson and Lawrence Keys III. A couple of transfers, Yulkeith Brown from Texas A&M, and Dontae Flaming from Louisiana, will also contribute.

As far as offensive line is concerned, Pratt should stand upright for the most of the season. Center Sincere Haynesworth and three other starting offensive linemen from 2022 return.

Prater threw 27 TD passes and rushed for 10. If Tulane’s QB develops a decent rapport with his new wide receivers, Prater’s stats could approach Heisman Trophy contender status.

On the defensive side, Tulane lost their top five tacklers from last season. The Green Wave face high-scoring opponents, so Prater and the offense will have to pick it up versus teams like UTSA, SMU, and Memphis.

The offense projects to be so good, the defense has some wiggle room. If the D is just stable, Prater and the offense will ensure victories.

Based on the fact Tulane mustn’t tackle Cincinnati, Memphis, or Houston this season, the Green Wave could go undefeated in the AAC with their lone regular season loss happening versus Ole Miss in their second game. An 11-1 straight up regular season record is a real possibility.

 

What will the Green Wave’s Against the Spread Record be this Season?

Last season, the Green Wave snuck up on oddsmakers. Tulane went 12-2 against the spread counting the victory over the Trojans in the Cotton Bowl and the win against UCF in the AAC Championship.

This season, Tulane won’t sneak up on anybody. The Green Wave will have a fantastic SU record, but against the spread, Tulane should revert to a more sensible 7-5.

 

What will Be the Over Under Total Record for Tulane Green Wave Games in 2023?

The total went 8-6 over-to-under last season. Many didn’t expect Tulane to send one of the conference’s, heck, one of the nation’s, top offenses to the field and the total still hovered around .500.

The total during the regular season should go 7-5 or 6-6 over-to-under.Oddsmakers will adjust game total lines knowing Tulane lost their top five tacklers and Prater and the offense will score plenty of points.

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