The Geelong Cats and Collingwood Magpies will both be going all-out to get the confidence-boosting victory when they square off in their highly-anticipated Round 7 AFL showdown on Thursday. This contest marks the first time these teams will square off since their 2019 qualifying final. Now, with this matchup looking like it could be the very best on the Round 7 docket, let’s find out which team is offering the best betting value against their AFL odds!
AFL Odds and Predictions – Collingwood Vs Geelong
Why Bet On Geelong
Geelong is sitting in second place in the AFL standings with 16 points. The Cats have scored a league-leading 467 points this season while allowing 277 points, good for the second fewest in the league heading into Round 7. Geelong has won three straight and moved up to second in the standings by exploding on unsuspecting Brisbane en route to a commanding 73-46 win on Thursday. The Cats scored a mind-boggling seven goals in the third term to get the win. The bad news is that Geelong will be likely without midfielders Mitch Duncan and Quinton Narkle after both players suffered leg injuries in last week’s win.
Why Bet On Collingwood
Collingwood is sitting in fifth place in the AFL standings with 14 points. The Magpies have scored 374 points while limiting their opponents to a league-low 263 points defensively. Collingwood managed to snap a two-game skid by recording an emphatic 59-27 win over Hawthorn on Friday. The bad news heading into this affair is that the Magpies suffered another injury blow when talented young star Will Kelly (elbow) was seriously injured late against the Hawks. Jamie Elliott (shin) and Matthew Scharenberg (ribs) finished the game on the bench after suffering minor injuries, but both are expected to suit up against the Cats. There’s some good news in the fact that Josh Daicos could return from am ankle problem and Jordan De Goey is expected to be available after missing last week’s match.
General Game Info Collingwood Magpies (3-2-1) vs Geelong Cats (4-2-0)
- When: Thursday, July 16, 2020 at 8:10 PM AEST
- Where: Optus Stadium, Perth
- Collingwood Vs Geelong Live: AFL Global Pass
- Handicap: Geelong Cats +3.5 / Collingwood -3.5
- Money Line: Geelong +106 / Collingwood -133
Expert Analysis and Prediction
Maybe it’s me, but I’m not quite certain why Collingwood is favored in this match. Yes, they are the league’s top defensive unit, but Geelong has the AFL’s top offense. More importantly, the Pies were struggling in allowing at least 63 points in matches against the Giants and Essendon before getting their act together last week.
For me, I’m going with the more consistent Cats to get it done based on the fact that they’re riding the wave of a three-match winning streak into this contest. The last time these two teams met, Collingwood defeated Geelong by 10 points in a 2019 qualifying final at the the MCG in front of 93,436 fans, but that was then and now, Geelong looks more than capable of taking care of business in this one! The Cats cover the chalk as 3.5-point underdogs – by winning outright!
Pick: Geelong Cats +3.5