The iconic Tour de France is on the horizon, and the peloton is gearing up for another grueling battle across the majestic landscapes of France.
With the yellow jersey and ultimate glory within reach, who will emerge victorious when they cross the coveted finish line of Tour de France in Paris? This analysis delves into our top 3 contenders to conquer the world’s most prestigious cycling race.
2024 Tour de France Odds & Top 3 Picks and Why Each Will Win the Tour | MyBookie Cycling Preview on the Top Event of the Year
2024 Tour de France | 111th season of the Tour de France: Oldest of the three Grand Tours
June 29th – July 21st, 2024
Italy / France
2024 Tour de France Top 3 Picks and Why Each Will Win the Tour
The world’s most famous cycling race, the Tour de France, starts peddling on Saturday, June 29. The race kicks off in Italy and then resumes in France.
Odds haven’t changed with Tadej Pogacar, the Giro d’Italia winner, a solid -220 to take his excellent form to France.
Pogacar’s chief rival, Jonas Vingegaard, offers +200 second choice odds while Primoz Roglic is at +850.
Check out why each of the top three Tour de France choices will, or won’t, wear the yellow jersey on July 21.
2024 Tour de France to Win Odds
- Tadej Pogacar -220
- Jonas Vingegaard +200
- Primoz Roglic +850
2024 Tour de France Top 3 Picks and Why Each Will Win the Tour
Primoz Roglic +850
Why Primoz Roglic will win the Tour de France
Roglic may be due. Primoz finished fourth at the Tour in 2018. In 2020, he finished second.
Since then, he failed to finish in 2021 and 2022 and didn’t even race in 2023.
The fact he’s back in France means he’s feeling good about his chances.
Primoz rides for Bora-Hansgrohe this season after spending most of his time at Jumbo. The team change could do him good.
When Roglic is motivated, he’s one of the top three cyclists in the world. Also, he offers more value than Pogacar or Vingegaard.
Why Primoz Roglic won’t win the Tour de France
If it didn’t happen in 2018, it’s not likely to ever happen. Roglic is an excellent cyclist, but Pogacar and Vingegaard are way ahead of Roglic.
Roglic did win the Criterium Du Dauphine this year.
So he is in decent form, but a win in that Criterium doesn’t mean he can take down the top two cyclists on the planet.
Also, for some reason, Primoz underperforms at the Tour de France.
He always has.
Jonas Vingegaard +200
Why Jonas Vingegaard will win the Tour de France
The Jumbo-Visma cyclist, and the reason Roglic is no longer Jumbo’s top cyclist, will be looking for his third straight Tour de France victory.
Vingegaard looked dead to rights versus Pogacar last year.
All Jonas did was rally to overtake Tadej in the final few stages.
When Vingegaard is at his best, the only cyclist that can potentially, we write potentially, beat him is Tadej Pogacar.
Jonas won the Tirreno-Adriatico this year.
Why Jonas Vingegaard won’t win the Tour de France
Vingegaard got the worst of the terrible crash at the Tour of the Basque Country.
The early April race knocked Vingegaard out of training for a couple of months.
We don’t know in what shape Vingegaard will show in France.
For sure, if he’s one hundred percent, Jonas can win a third straight. But if he isn’t at one hundred percent, Pogacar is the one to beat.
Tadej Pogacar -220
Why Tadej Pogacar will win the Tour de France
Last year, Pogacar had a hand injury before the Tour de France which put a damper on his training.
Even though he had to race not at one hundred percent, Tadej appeared in charge late at the 2023 Tour.
It took a massive effort from Vingegaard to catch Pogacar.
This year, Tadej is determined to close the door on his rival. Pogacar is in excellent form, winning the Volta a Catalunya and the Giro d’Italia.
Why Tadej Pogacar won’t win the Tour de France
Tadej may have peaked too soon. The Giro d’Italia victory was such a smashing win that it’s difficult to see Pogacar getting it done at the Tour de France.
Then again, this is Tadej Pogacar.
He’s as determined as any cyclist on the planet and he’s still smarting after losing the yellow jersey to Jonas Vingegaard at last year’s Tour de France.
At the end of the day, Pogacar gets the nod.
The odds are light, but Roglic isn’t on Vingegaard’s and Pogacar’s level while Jonas must race in the grueling Tour de France after losing training time.
Tadej Pogacar is the pick to win the Tour de France.
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^ Top^ TopA score to settle – New team, same ambition for Primož Roglič at Tour de France https://t.co/xN728r8SlW
— Cyclingnews (@Cyclingnewsfeed) June 23, 2024
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2023 Tour de France Odds Update, Betting Favorites, Top 3 Picks, and More
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The 2023 Tour de France tips off on Saturday, July 1. The most popular cycling race in the world runs from July 1 to July 23. Although more than one hundred cyclists will take part in the Tour de France, odds have settled on three cyclists to win the coveted general classification yellow jersey.
Check out Tour de France lines on Jonas Vingegaard, Tadej Pogacar, and Jai Hindley along with reasons each cyclist will or won’t win the top prize.
Updated 2023 Tour de France Odds, Favorites, and Betting Analysis | MyBookie Cycling Betting Preview
2023 Tour de France | 110th edition of this Bicycle Race
Saturday, Jul 1, 2023 – Sunday, Jul 23, 2023
2023 Tour de France Updated Odds
Jonas Vingegaard +115
Tadej Pogacar +172
Jai Hindley +1825
Tour de France Yellow Jersey Picks
Jonas Vingegaard +115
Why Jonas Vingegaard won’t win the Tour de France
Vingegaard may have peaked too soon. The Jumbo Visma favorite to win it all has already won three events this season: the O Gran Camino, the Tour of the Basque Country, and the Criterium du Dauphine.
Peaking too soon before the Tour de France isn’t optimal to winning the world’s most grueling cycling event. If Vingegaard has peaked too early, he could be in some trouble.
Why Jonas Vingegaard will win the Tour de France
Maybe, Vingegaard didn’t peak too early. Last year, Vingegaard rode on the same team as Primoz Roglic. So in 2022, Vingegaard may have not gotten the full attention of his teammates.
This year, Jumbo is leaning on Vingegaard to win titles. Jonas will have all of his teammates helping him grab the yellow jersey and keeping it.
Tour de France Top 3 Pick: Bet Tadej Pogacar to Win
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Tadej Pogacar +172
Why Tadej Pogacar won’t win the Tour de France
Pogacar, the 2021 Tour de France winner, suffered a wrist injury in May that kept him from competing. Not competing isn’t the issue.
The major issue is training. Has Pogacar lost training time? If so, it will be difficult for the second choice to get to Vingegaard.
Why Tadej Pogacar will win the Tour de France
Pogacar won in 2020 and 2021. Tadej finished second behind Vingegaard last year.
For sure, the injured wrist could have a negative effect on Pogacar’s chances of winning this year’s Tour de France. However, it could also have the opposite effect.
If Tadej didn’t lose any training time, he may have gotten a chance to tailor his training towards the Tour de France. If that happened, a stronger, better Tadej Pogacar could show up at the 2023 Tour de France. When Pogacar is at the top of his game, he can beat Vingegaard and every other cyclist.
Tour de France Top 3 Pick: Bet Tadej Pogacar to Win
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Jai Hindley +1825
Why Jai Hindley won’t win the Tour de France
Based on odds, and how Hindley has performed this year, he’s a long way from having success versus Tadej Pogacar and Jonas Vingegaard.
Both those top cyclists have won the yellow jersey at the Tour de France. Jai Hindley has never touched the yellow jersey at the Tour de France.
Why Jai Hindley will win the Tour de France
Hindley finished fourth at the Criterium du Dauphine this year. The fourth place finish is a sign he’s cycling great.
Also in Hindley’s favor? He loves the mountains and the Tour will give him plenty of mountains to climb. So if Hindley doesn’t cycle as well during the time trials, he should still manage excellent finishes up the mountains.
Finally, the odds make Hindley playable. So if you believe Pogacar missed training due to the wrist injury, and Vingegaard has peaked, Hindley is a viable third option.
Tour de France Top 3 Pick: Bet Jai Hindley to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game
2024 Tour de France Updated Odds
| Racers | Odds |
|---|---|
| Tadej Pogacar | -225 |
| Jonas Vingegaard | +225 |
| Remco Evenepoel | +1200 |
| Primoz Roglic | +3300 |
| Juan Ayuso | +3300 |
| Carlos Rodriguez | +6600 |
| Joao Almeida | +8000 |
| Adam Yates | +100000 |
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