Analyzing the Favorites Current Odds for the Belmont Stakes

Discover the current odds for the Belmont Stakes and unravel the probabilities surrounding the question of whether the favorite will clinch victory after the Preakness. The 2024 Preakness Stakes is in the books. Soon to turn 89, D. Wayne Lukas became the oldest horse racing trainer in history when he saddled Seize the Grey to an upset victory over Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan.

Seize the Grey and Mystik Dan now point to the Belmont Stakes at 1 ¼ miles in three weeks. This year’s Belmont Stakes takes place at Saratoga, which is why it is at 1 ¼ miles instead of the usual 1 ½.

Will Mystik Dan or Seize the Grey go off the favorite to win at Belmont?

Check out the likely field along with early analysis for the 2024 Belmont Stakes.   

Will the Favorite in the Third Leg Win the Belmont After the Preakness? | MyBookie Horse Racing Betting Preview for the 3rd Leg of the Triple Crown

2024 Belmont Stakes | 156th Running of the Test of Champions
Grade I stakes race | 1 ¼ miles (10 furlongs; 2,012 m) – Fastest: 2:24, Secretariat 1973
Saturday, June 8th, 2024 | NBC / Peacock
Saratoga Racecourse | Saratoga Springs, New York

Mystik Dan, Seize the Grey, or Sierra Leone will be the favorite to win the 2024 Belmont Stakes

Seize the Grey got an early and easy lead, which is the reason he won the Preakness Stakes. It’s impossible to allow a quality horse to run a quarter mile at Pimlico in over 24 seconds and then hope to catch the frontrunner. That’s what happened on Saturday.

If Mystik Dan had pressured Seize the Grey as soon as the gates opened, the Derby winner likely would have won. Horseplayers know this, which is why Seize the Grey isn’t likely to go off the favorite to win the Belmont.

Mystik Dan has a great shot of going off the chalk to take the Belmont Stakes. The horse showed it’s a true warrior by gamely chasing Seize the Grey. There was no catching the front runner, but like Dan did in the Derby, he kept trying and didn’t throw in the towel.

The other potential favorite to win the Belmont is Chad Brown trained Sierra Leone. The second place finisher in the Derby lost to Mystik Dan by a nose. Not only that, but Seirra Leone is fresh and fresh horses perform well in the final Triple Crown race.    

Among the Three, Sierra Leone is the Prediction to Go Off the Chalk

Sierra Leone has numerous advantages going into the Belmont. For starters, the Brown trainee has rested the legs while Mystik Dan and Seize the Grey ran in the Preakness.

Second, Brown has pointed to the Belmont almost immediately after the Derby. When a trainer like Chad Brown points to a race, he often comes through. Finally, Sierra Leone won’t have to navigate through a twenty horse field to win the Belmont. Eight, maybe ten horses will enter the gate. It could be less than eight if Fierceness, which would be the recommendation, doesn’t go.

Mystik Dan will be Second Choice Followed by Seize the Grey

Mystik Dan will go off second choice or first choice. If novice horseplayers bet the Belmont, Mystik Dan might leapfrog Sierra Leone and go off the chalk because he’s the name horse in the event. But if horseplayers who read the racing form bet the Belmont, they’re likely to back Sierra Leone ahead of Mystik Dan due to Leone’s advantages.

Seize the Grey could go off third or fourth choice. The prediction is that Fierceness won’t run in the Belmont, which means many horseplayers will expect Seize the Grey to grab the lead as they break from the gate the same way he did in the Preakness. Lone front runners have won the Belmont in the past plenty of times.   

Fourth Choice, and the Possible Sharp Play, will be Catching Freedom

If Seize the Grey goes off third choice, then Catching Freedom will go off fourth choice. The Brad Cox trained runner managed a fourth place finish in the Derby and a third place finish in the Preakness.

Whoever rides Catching Freedom will want to start the run earlier than he did in the Derby. The run in the Preakness was at the right time, but nobody was going to catch Seize the Grey. Sharp horseplayers, due to expected odds most likely, will be all over Catching Freedom should the horse enter.

2024 Test of Champions
Betting Lines to Win Belmont Stakes
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Race

2024 Belmont Stakes Field: Post Positions, Betting Odds, Jockeys, Trainers

Curious about the Belmont Stakes?
Find out if the favorite in the third leg stands a chance at victory after the Preakness. Explore the latest insights and odds on our Belmont Stakes betting page for all the matchups and more.

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