Belmont Park’s racing secretary put together an awesome card for Thursday, July 2. Race 6 and Race 7 are $80,000 allowance optional claiming events. The feature, the Mount Vernon Stakes, is for a $100,000 purse. Check out top plays and Horse Racing Odds from Belmont Park for Thursday, July 2. You can also visit our Online Racebook to place your bets on active racetracks.
Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks
- When: Thursday, July 2 at 1:15 pm ET
- Where: Elmont, NY
- Weather: Partly Cloudy
Belmont Park Picks for Thursday, July 2
Race 6 – 3:59 pm ET – 1 1/16 Miles Dirt – $80,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
We’re willing to give Edge of Fire a mulligan for the last. The 3-year-old Curlin sired James Jerkens trained equine hit the gate and then had to shift 5-wide for his run. Fire still managed to finish third behind beast Casa Grande. With a clean start, Edge of Fire can win this.
6/5 morning line chalk Creed looks like a serious horse. After failing in his first lifetime race, Creed dominated in his second race. That was at 1 1/16 miles over the Belmont dirt. Creed won by 7 ¾ lengths. Visually, it looked like the Honor Code sired 3-year-old was taking a stroll.
Chad Brown trained Mr. Winston can run on for third. Winston broke his maiden at first asking. Brown wins 27% with last-out maiden winners, 30% with shippers, and 33% with those going a route of ground first time. Mr. Winston can win. So, consider for all slots on your exotic tix.
- Win: Edge of Fire
- Place: Creed
- Show: Mr. Winston
Race 7 – 4:32 pm ET – 1 Mile Dirt –$80,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
We can throw out 6/1 on the morning line Nicodemus’ last race. The 5-year-old Candy Ride sired horse raced over the grass for the first time in his career. He didn’t appreciate it. Now back to the dirt, Nicodemus could hang with Spinoff, Sniper Shot, and Complexity. We’ll make him first because he figures to hold his odds.
Of the two Todd Pletcher runners, Sniper Shot looks better than Spinoff. The 4-year-old gelded son of Shackleford has 3 wins and 2 seconds from 5 races. Todd has been smart about where to run the talented gelding. Why would that change?
Wait for It can add value on the bottom of our exotic tickets. The Edward Coletti trained runner scratched out of a stakes race last week to run in this. A 5-year-old gelding by Uptowncharleybrown, Wait for It has a 1-2-1 record from 5 races at the distance. The gelding is a must use for sure.
- Win: Nicodemus
- Place: Sniper Shot
- Show: Wait for It
Race 8 – 5:04 pm ET – 1 Mile Turf – $100,000 Mount Vernon Stakes
Classic Lady takes a big step up in class. Although that would normally be a cause for concern, the 5-year-old mare sired by Jimmy Creed goes first time for trainer Cristophe Clement. Cristophe is one of the top grass trainers in the world. If he believes Lady can hang in a stakes race, there’s no reason for us to doubt him. Picking up Joel Rosario to ride adds to the allure.
Of the two Chad Brown runners, we like 3/1 on the morning line 7-year-old mare War Canoe more than we like 4/5 on the morning line Fifty Five. War Canoe gets 31% winning jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. in her first race for Chad. Brown wins 29% with horses racing off a 90-plus days layoff, 29% with his last out winners, and 28% with horses running in a non-graded stakes.
Brown’s other runner, Fifty Five, has an 11-4-5 record from 22 races. Obviously, the chalk will be tough to beat. But, we can’t endorse for the top spot at the expected worse than 4/5 morning line odds.
- Win: Classic Lady
- Place: War Canoe
- Show: Fifty Five