Are the Brewers a Safe MLB Betting Pick vs Mets on Thursday Night?

Posted by Jordan Walters on Thursday,May 24, 2018 9:35, EDT in

This writer predicted the Milwaukee Brewers to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday and complete a three-game sweep. The Brew Crew did just that and they are favored again on the MLB betting odds to beat the visiting New York Mets in the opener of a four-game set on Thursday.

Mets at Brewers MLB Betting Odds & Game Info – May 24th

When: Thursday, 8:10 PM ET
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee
Probable pitchers (away/home): Steven Matz/Zach Davies
TV: MLB Extra Innings
Stream: MLB.tv
Radio: 710 AM (New York) / 620 AM (Milwaukee)
Opening MLB Betting Lines: Brewers -146, Mets +136 (8.5)

Why Bet on NY Mets?

The Mets seem to love adding veterans who are past their prime (Jose Reyes, Todd Frazier, Jose Reyes). Well, they’ve added another in Jose Bautista, whose career looked over when he was recently released by the Braves after hitting .143. The Mets needed outfield help with Juan Lagares likely out for the season and Yoenis Cespedes on the DL with a hip injury.

In his Mets’ debut, Bautista went 1-for-3 with a double and a run scored in Tuesday’s loss to the Marlins. Bautista doubled in his first at-bat with his new club, then came around to score the Mets’ lone run on a sacrifice fly off the bat of Thomas Nido. The Mets seem content on letting him see regular at-bats in left field Cespedes is sidelined. Bautista caught a flight to New York on Tuesday afternoon and officially signed his one-year major league contract with the Mets upon his arrival at Citi Field. Pretty quick turnaround!

Cespedes and Frazier (hamstring) will travel with the team so that trainers can continue to work with both and evaluate their progress but neither appears to be ready to return to the field anytime soon. It could be both are out until early next month.

Setup man Anthony Swarzak (oblique) is close to beginning a minor league rehab assignment. Swarzak landed on the disabled list since April 1 with a strained left oblique and suffered a setback a few weeks later, but he’s on the right track now. The 32-year-old signed a two-year, $14 million free agent contract with the Mets this winter after posting a strong 2.33 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and 91/22 K/BB ratio in 77 1/3 innings last season between the White Sox and Brewers.

Who Will Take he Mound for the Mets?

It’s left-hander Steven Matz on the mound. Matz (1-3, 4.42) allowed four earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out two across four innings Saturday against the Diamondbacks. He did not factor into the decision. After allowing two extra-base hits and an earned run in his first two innings of work, Matz appeared to be settling into his start with a smooth third inning. But things fell apart for him in the fourth inning as he allowed two home runs and was taken advantage of on the basepaths by Jarrod Dyson. The short outing was a continuing trend as he has now failed to work for more than five innings in six of his eight starts this season.

Inconsistency has plagued Matz all season. He’s delivered a quality start just once in eight tries, mostly because he has recorded four outs after the fifth inning in all his starts combined. Matz’s lone win came against the Brewers on April 13.

Why Bet on Milwaukee?

Are the Brewers a safe betting pick for Thursday night?

The Brewers swept Arizona on Wednesday with a 9-2 win, Milwaukee’s third straight victory and eighth in the past 10 as they continue to lead the NL Central.

Travis Shaw hit a three-run homer and Jesus Aguilar had a go-ahead, two-run single during a seven-run fourth inning in Wednesday’s win. Aguilar hit an RBI single in the first, then singled for a 3-2 lead in the fourth. Shaw followed with his 12th home run this season, and Tyler Saladino greeted Fernando Salas with a liner that center fielder Chris Owings misplayed as two more runs scored. Milwaukee’s 31-19 start is the team’s best over 50 games in franchise history.

More good news for the Brewers as outfielder Ryan Braun will be activated off the disabled list on Thursday. Braun was placed on the disabled list on May 14, so he’ll spend just the minimum amount of time on the disabled list. The veteran All-Star has not gotten off to a strong start this season, hitting .222/.268/.413 with five homers and four stolen bases over 37 games. The team sent down Ji-Man Choi to make room.

Who Will Start for the Brewers?

It’s Zach Davies on the mound here. Davies (2-3, 4.24 ERA) returns from the 10-day DL (right rotator cuff inflammation) for his seventh start of the season and second against the Mets. He lost 6-5 on April 13 at Citi Field, allowing two home runs by Todd Frazier.

It was a longer absence than expected; Davies originally hoped to be back after the minimum 10 days, but persisting irritation in his rotator cuff required more patience. Davies developed discomfort in his shoulder during the final inning of his last start against the Cubs. It was described as a precautionary move at the time, but he had to cut short a bullpen session one week later. In a Minor League rehabilitation start on Saturday for Class A Wisconsin, Davies threw 56 pitches and struck out nine batters in 4 2/3 scoreless innings. He experienced no issues with his shoulder.

Latest MLB Betting Trends

  • NY Mets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets’s last 6 games
  • Milwaukee is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
  • Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Expert MLB Betting Prediction

Brewers are rolling right now so keep riding them. Go over the total.