Astros vs White Sox MLB Lines & Expert Analysis.

Astros vs White Sox MLB Lines & Expert Analysis

Written by on August 14, 2019

Looks to be a massive pitching mismatch on Wednesday from the South Side of Chicago. The Astros are a big favorite on the MLB Odds as surprising lefty Wade Miley, having a career season at age 32, takes the mound against the White Sox.

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Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 24°C/76°F
  • Humidity: 69%
  • Precipitation: 52%
  • Cloud Cover: 54%
  • Wind: 8 mph ENE
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why Bet on Houston?

Houston is on a pace to win 100+ games for the third consecutive season and could become the first team to do so since the 2002-04 Yankees. Since 1972, the Atlanta Braves are the only other club to reach 100 wins in three straight seasons (1997-99). At 77-41 entering Tuesday, the Astros have reached their best 118-game record in franchise history. No matter Tuesday’s results, the 2019 Astros will also own the best 119- and 120-game record, as those currently stand at 73-46 (1998, 2017-18) and 74-46 (1998, 2017).

DH Yordan Alvarez put up 51 RBIs through his first 46 career games, tying the MLB record also reached by Joe DiMaggio in 1936. Alvarez’s 17 homers through his first 46 contests were also an Astros record, topping the 12 homers hit by SS Carlos Correa in his first 46 games of the 2015 season.

It’s lefty Wade Miley on the mound. Miley (11-4) allowed one run on five hits with two walks and four strikeouts across 5.2 innings while earning a victory against the Orioles on Friday. The only run he yielded came on a solo homer. This was Miley’s fifth straight decision with a win, and in those five victories, he’s yielded just two home runs. Miley has 11 wins and owns 2.99 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 116 strikeouts in 138.1 innings this season.

The good times keep rolling for Miley, who now owns a sub-3.00 ERA for the first time since April 6. He’s been tagged for just 11 earned runs over his last eight starts in a combined 48 2/3 innings, good enough for a 2.03 ERA in that span. Miley has faced the White Sox six times in his career and is 1-4 with a 7.22 ERA.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 5.53
  • Hits: 9.49
  • Walks: 3.81
  • Strike Outs: 7.19
Defense
  • Runs: 3.97
  • Hits: 7.35
  • Walks: 2.83
  • Strike Outs: 10.13

Why Bet on Chicago?

José Abreu is attempting to record 25-plus home runs and 100-plus RBI for the fifth time in six seasons with the White Sox. Abreu, who is on pace for a career-high 116 RBI, is attempting to join Dick Allen (113 in 1972) as the only players in White Sox history to lead the American League in that category.

Rookie Eloy Jiménez, 22, has 13 home runs and 30 RBI over his last 43 games, and his three multi-homer games are tied with Daniel Palka (2018) for the second-most by a White Sox rookie behind Abreu (four 2014) and Zeke Bonura (four in 1934). The Sox could activate third baseman, Yoan Moncada, any day now. Moncada (hamstring) said after an intense workout on Saturday that he’s feeling much better. “I’ve been feeling better, way better. I still have some discomfort, just a little bit, not a big deal. But thank god, I’ve been feeling very, very good. I wouldn’t say 100 percent, but much better.”

Astros vs White Sox should be an easy victory for Houston.

Chicago goes with Ross Detwiler. Detwiler (1-3) allowed two runs on four hits with four walks and four strikeouts across 5.1 innings while taking a loss against the Athletics on Friday. The 33-year-old gave up two home runs, but that’s it, as he avoided any of the walks from coming around to score. Detwiler has lost two straight and yielded four homers in his last pair of starts, but he also owns a respectable 3.27 ERA during that stretch. However, it’s unlikely Detwiler continues to post that decent ERA if he keeps giving up homers, especially with that amount of walks. This season, he owns a 5.35 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, and 22 strikeouts in 33.2 innings.

The White Sox are 39-1 when leading after six innings, 40-1 when leading after seven and 40-0 when leading after eight. The two combined losses when leading after innings 6-8 are the fewest in the major leagues.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Runs: 4.12
  • Hits: 8.62
  • Walks: 2.35
  • Strike Outs: 9.61
Defense
  • Runs: 5.13
  • Hits: 8.96
  • Walks: 3.60
  • Strike Outs: 7.95

Astros vs White Sox MLB Betting Trends

  • Astros are 7-1 in Miley’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record
  • White Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series
  • Under is 4-1 in Miley’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record
  • Astros are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Houston’s last 18 games against an opponent in the American League
  • White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi White Sox’s last 8 games at home

Expert Final Score Prediction for Astros vs White Sox

Houston Astros 7 – Chicago White Sox 3