When it comes to wagering on the MLB, it is natural to seek out the best games on the schedule on any given day. This is certainly an appropriate way to make your picks, especially if you are seeing success by sticking to the games featuring the best teams in the league. It’s also easy to forget, though, that there is also money to be made by digging a little deeper and taking a look at some of the less glamorous games on the MLB calendar.
As is the case with any series, there are trends that usually develop, especially when we are talking about a match-up between divisional rivals, where we will usually have a bigger body of work to look at and compare. With that in mind, we are going to jump into the series between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles, a pair of AL East teams who look as though they are in for a long, disappointing season. It was Baltimore who drew first blood in this series, but they are a 1 ½ run underdog on Wednesday, with the run total set at 10 ½.
Blue Jays vs Orioles MLB Odds & Pick for Wednesday Night
- When: Wednesday, June 12 at 7:05 PM EST
- Where: Camden Yards, Baltimore
- Starting Pitchers: Jackson vs. Hess
- TV: MLB Extra Innings
- Radio: 105.7 The Fan
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- MLB Odds: Baltimore Orioles -120 (Total 10.5)
Why bet on the Toronto Blue Jays?
There is a battle going on at the bottom of the AL East, although it’s not one that any team would be proud to be a part of. With a season record of 23-43, the Toronto Blue Jays now have just 2 more wins than the Orioles, the team rooted to the bottom of the division since basically day one. The Blue Jays have gone cold in rather dramatic fashion, losing 5 straight games and managing just 2 wins in their last 10 outings.
Their 4-2 loss to the Orioles on Tuesday night means that Toronto has now lost 3 of 4 to the Orioles this season, so there really isn’t much to like here. The Blue Jays are just 11-21 SU on the road this season while going 1-1 ATS as a road favorite. They will have Edwin Jackson (0-4, 11.90 ERA) on the mound for this one.
- Runs: 3.70
- Hits: 7.24
- Walks: 2.89
- Strike Outs: 9.14
- Runs: 4.97
- Hits: 8.67
- Walks: 3.86
- Strike Outs: 8.26
Why bet on the Baltimore Orioles?
While the Baltimore Orioles have had success against the Blue Jays this season, that’s not a claim that they can really make against any other opponent, as they are sitting just 21-45 on the season. Camden Yards used to be a tough place to go and get a win, but the Orioles actually have the lowest number of home wins of any team in the MLB right now, picking up just 9 victories in their own ballpark. They come into this one having gone 4-6 in their last 10 games.
That’s not a run that any team would be proud of, but it’s better than what we have seen from this team in 2019. As a home dog, the Orioles are 11-17 ATS. They will have David Hess (1-8, 7.08 ERA) on the mound.
- Runs: 4.02
- Hits: 8.14
- Walks: 2.58
- Strike Outs: 8.97
- Runs: 5.86
- Hits: 9.11
- Walks: 3.62
- Strike Outs: 7.71
Blue Jays vs Orioles MLB Betting Trends
- Blue Jays are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto’s last 6 games against an opponent in the American League
- Orioles are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore’s last 7 games at home
- Blue Jays are 10-24 against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons
- Orioles are 68-160 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons
- Jackson is 6-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.069
- Hess is 2-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 0.71 and a WHIP of 0.671
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Blues Jays vs Orioles
Hess was lights out for the Orioles in his first start of the season, which came against the Blue Jays, but he has been brutal ever since. This pitching duel is one that screams OVER, which is the wager I really like here.
Score: Toronto Blues Jays 5 – Baltimore Orioles 7