Braves vs Marlins Week 1 Odds, Game Preview, and Predictions

Braves vs Marlins Week 1 Odds, Game Preview, and Predictions

Written by on April 5, 2019

The Atlanta Braves will look to build on their offensive explosion the last time out when they host a Miami Marlins team that will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak when they square off at SunTrust Park on Friday night. Now, let’s find out which team looks like the best pick against their MLB betting odds in this matchup of NL East division rivals.

Braves vs Marlins Week 1 Odds, Game Preview, and Predictions

  • When: Friday, April 05 – 7:20 PM EST
  • Where: SunTrust Park, Cumberland, Georgia
  • TV: FSSO, FSFL
  • Radio: Atlanta / Miami
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • Opening MLB Lines: Atlanta -168/Miami +158 (total 8)
  • Starting Pitchers
    • Miami – Pablo Lopez – R (1-0, 5.06 ERA)
    • Atlanta – Kevin Gausman – R (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Why Bet On Miami?

The Marlins are struggling right now, having lost three straight games including a 6-4 loss against the Mets on Wednesday. Miami is averaging a modest 3.7 runs per game (20th) while allowing 4.4 runs per contest defensively (19th). 23-year-old right-hander Pablo Lopez allowed three earned runs on five hits in 5.1 innings in his last start against Colorado in a 7-3 win on March 30. Starlin Castro is batting a team-high .321 with nine hits, four runs, two homers and four RBI.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Runs/G: 3.71
  • Hits /G: 8.43
  • Walks /G: 1.86
  • Strike Outs /G: 8.14
Defense:
  • Runs/G: 4.86
  • Hits /G: 8.86
  • Walks /G: 2.57
  • Strike Outs /G: 9.43

Why Bet On Atlanta?

Atlanta Hosts Miami in Matchup of NL East Rivals

Atlanta exploded on Chicago on Thursday night en route to a commanding 9-4 win over the Cubs. The Braves will hand the ball to right-hander Kevin Gausman in this contest with the veteran taking the mound for the first time after coming off the injured list after tossing just 5.1 innings this spring due to right shoulder inflammation. The Braves are averaging an encouraging 5.6 runs per game (7th) while allowing 5.4 runs per contest defensively (26th).

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Runs/G: 5.67
  • Hits /G: 9.00
  • Walks /G: 6.17
  • Strike Outs /G: 8.17
Defense:
  • Runs/G: 5.17
  • Hits /G: 7.83
  • Walks /G: 5.50
  • Strike Outs /G: 8.50

MLB Betting Trends for Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

  • Miami is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games
  • Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Atlanta is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
  • Atlanta is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 6 games

Expert Analysis and Prediction

There’s a reason why a whopping 80 percent of MLB bettors are backing Atlanta and it’s because Miami is borderline inept in almost every phase of the game. The Marlins are 7-15 in their last 22 versus a team with a losing record and 19-42 in their last 61 overall. Conversely, Atlanta has gone 8-0 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter,  9-1 in their last 10 home games and 12-5 in their last 17 games following a win. Atlanta wins and covers the Run Line in the process.

Pick: Atlanta 6 Miami 3